Return Of The Market Mole
Alright guys – it’s very late over here and I haven’t even unpacked – plus I just realized that I left my iPad on the train and as you can imagine I have a few passwords to change. So here’s the skinny:
After giving everyone the run around for the past week the tape started to run like a hare in the previous two sessions. Very very difficult to get a lock on things and I’m sure a ton of people got trapped into bad positions here. If you had any sort of directional opinion you are feeling the pain right now. So let’s talk facts – the E-Mini is on top of the 100-hour and 100-day SMAs right now. That’s slightly bullish but given the recent gyrations it’s still a far cry from being out of the woods for the bulls.
Interestingly however we just completed a bonafide VIX buy signal – which for the noobs I always have to qualify is relative to equities. It’s another ace for the long side but let’s see if we get follow through in the remainder of the week. We may meander around a bit more trapping more retail rats before this thing decides on where to move next.
For the record – it’s been a brutal spring for everyone so far. Although we have dropped a bit lower today’s push above meaningful resistance puts us back into the churn zone and that means we may see more of the high volatility sideways madness we all love to hate.
Now excuse me while I go kick a tree…
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