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The Big Churn
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The Big Churn

The Big Churn

by The MoleAugust 12, 2016

Alright, clearly we find ourselves stuck in yet another sideways summer churn and if we’re not careful we may just turn our trading accounts into green butter. Or worse: margarine! In case you wonder (and I’m sure you are) I actually didn’t lift that pic off of Vivid’s Swedish edition (unfortunately my membership ran out). No, it’s actually from the 2014 Eurovision Grand Finale. The music really sucks but their rather well rounded performance has convinced me to explore my hitherto undiscovered Slavic roots. 

2016-08-12_spoos

In terms of technical context we don’t have too much to work with. Our best guide IMNSHO is the hourly which has us bouncing around in some sort of sideways pennant. As we’re now painted new highs that VIX Sell Signal I highlighted last Wednesday has lost much of its splendor. A correction is of course still a possibility – as it always is. However a low volume market environment which registers continued all time highs is not exactly the setup for a 300 handle drop here, if you get my drift.

A quick stab lower – sure! And that’s what we seem be doing right now. If we breach the 100-hour SMA and touch 2176 then I’ll be watching the Zero for clues to take the elevator back up. But remember – it’s August and it’s Friday. Don’t hold through the weekend unless you’ve got several R of profits under your belt and can afford to lose whatever you’re leaving on the table.

2016-08-12_gold

I’m really kicking myself for missing an entry on gold yesterday. So I’m perfectly willing to convert to any religion which delivers me another dip lower toward 1345. I’m serious about the long term prospects of gold. That daily panel is seriously coiled up and we may see a massive squeeze higher here EOY.

2016-08-12_gold_LT

If you take a peek at the long term panel then you may realize what all the hubub is about. You know what it’s doing right now, right? Building context ladies and leeches! It may go up or it may go down but the more it sits below the 1400 mark the harder it will be later to challenge that 100-month SMA, once broken of course.

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Alright before I sent you off into the weekend a quick reminder that..

… there be no butter in hell!!!

Congregation dismissed – enjoy your weekends!

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About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
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