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The Year After Pill
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The Year After Pill

by The MoleDecember 21, 2018

Merry Christmas everyone, or Happy Holidays if you happen to be one of the 5.3 Billion people on earth who may or may not believe in another deity. Politically correct enough for you yet? Well, you know me better than that but the fact is that my audience is not limited to just one or two countries.

Speaking of my own (physically as well as virtually), this by far has been the craziest most tumultuous twelve months I ever had the misfortune of living through. And I’m not even talking about the financial markets! I’ve done that all year long here after all and it does not bode repeating.

In fact the past year has been so bad that if there was such a thing as a ‘year after pill’ that wipes your memory of all the senseless drama and hilarity that ensued after Jan 1st I would probably pop it right now and be done with it. You know what, screw it, just give me the whole damn bottle…

Of course there was much to celebrate as well. It’s the little stuff we don’t really pay much attention to in our respective daily struggles. And sometimes it’s the things we have the least control over. For example as you probably know I have always valued my personal health and well being and never took a day of it for granted.

Nevertheless several painful injuries and two successive accidents involving rabid steering wheel wielding Spaniards in the past year reminded me of the fact that my time on this mortal coil will be finite. And to be honest bouncing back from various injuries keeps getting more difficult each single year.

I keep reminding myself that just like in trading it is important that we embrace the good along with the bad, otherwise we will neither be able to appreciate the former nor learn from the latter. I just hope there will be fewer lessons to be learned in the next year. Would that be too much to ask? Probably.

A big highlight for me personally was celebrating our 10th anniversary here at Evil Speculator. And I still can’t believe how quickly time has flown since a much younger market Mole launched this very blog in early August of 2008. I had no idea I’d still be posting here a decade later and sometimes it tends to feels surreal. We all have learned so much ever since, and in retrospect I have no idea how we survived 2008 and 2009. By sheer dumb luck and willful ignorance I assume.

Naturally I couldn’t have come this far without all of you – my dear readers and especially my intrepid and most loyal subscribers. The support you have been showing me over the years has been nothing short of astronomical. This site stood the test of time simply by word of mouth and without any marketing whatsoever, which quite frankly is a feat that in this day and age would be impossible to replicate.

In particular since the hard truths I dish out here are often uncomfortable or outright polemical. But through all the madness and occasional despair I take great heart in knowing that there are so many of you out there, hard working intelligent and generous people who are equally determined to live up to their respective potential. And if I can help you advance just a single inch in your own life’s journey then my time on this planet surely must not have been for naught.

We are a far and wide network of people all over the planet who share the same goals. To live a happy and respectable life free of dependency, suppression, or suffering and to be surrounded by the people we care for. It really is as simple as that. We all just want to live a good life, pursue our interests, and spend as much time as possible on this earth in peace, health, and prosperity. None of us shy away from hard work or challenges and we are all are more than willing to put in the extra mile when called upon.

Our mission here at Evil Speculator of course will continue throughout the next year, but there also will be a shift in my own initiatives. Recognizing that ensuring survival of this site without any sort of marketing or advertising would be rather difficult in the face of ever aggressive competition for attention deprived eyeballs I spent quite a bit of time considering ways to generate new traffic without alienating my existing readers or by diluting the original theme of this site.

I eventually arrived at the conclusion that this would be almost impossible to do as the snark and somewhat cynical theme of Evil Speculator would have to change in order to attract a more widespread following (most likely starting with the name). Plus meshing the perspectives of a completely new and often more inexperienced audience into the daily commentary here would most likely end up being too disruptive to most who have supported me now for so many years now.

The solution I devised was to build a more marketing driven presence which will primarily be used to sell educational videos to traders of all stripes, from fledgling noob to aspiring quant. Of course we all know that many will buy but very few will actually end up heeding the warnings or following the lessons offered.

It’s a fact of life that I wish I could change but in the end have to accept. And the few select who follow through on what is offered will be more than welcome to participate here, in what many consider to be one of the best trading blogs out there, period. Naturally I’m a bit biased 😉

And it is with that notion that I want to officially sign off on 2018. We should all been proud of having survived the past year and having come out the other end not only with our trading accounts intact but also our insanity and state of mind. Take some time to celebrate that fact in the final two weeks of this year, you very much have earned it.

Now I’ve been rather clear in my outlook that 2019 is going to be pretty brutal and thus I expect that each and every of us will need all the help we can get. So your mission going forward, should you choose to accept it, is to become the best damn trader you can possibly be and inspire everyone else here to do the same. If we collaborate, put our respective egos aside, and keep each other in check, then I have little doubt that we will be able to prosper, no matter what the market decides to throw at us next year.

Public Service Announcement

This will be my last post for this year and I plan on being back on deck here starting on January 2nd or 3rd. Of course given the current state of affairs I may be forced to interrupt my well deserved vacation if equities are starting to take a serious tumble or a full fledged market crash may be triggered. Not something I would be sitting out of course, although I really hope that it won’t come to this.

Alright, that’s all for now. See you all next year.

 

 

 


About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
Enjoyed this post? Consider a small donation to keep those evil deeds coming!

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  • Ronebadger

    Happy Winter Solstice, Everyone!!! 5:23PM EST.

    Merry Christmas!
    I’m retiring soon, so I’ve been busy cleaning up my work life…I don’t have any positions, so I’m missing this sell-off…and, I’m a PERMABEAR, remember…

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Oh yes, one of my favorite days of the year – but I’m a strange fella.

    Are you checking out completely or will you still be trading?

  • yudhisthira

    Thanks, Mole. Great stuff all these years.

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    Put me in the no deity camp. Nothing but strife over imaginary supernatural entities.

    It’s dawning a gray and wet solstice here in SW Michigan, but I’m here to enjoy it, and enjoy it I will. Props to Mole for another year running the blog. I’ve learned a ton here, and in the past couple of months have stepped up my trading to intraday ES trades. Having success, and working hard to bank coin without any preconceived bias. I’m actually enjoying the volatility, as my targets are hit more quickly.

    For those that have wondered about Bobbylow, I checked in with him about a week ago, and he’s fine. Sticking to his wheelhouse of Crude, and still drying out from the hurricanes.

    Thanks for the effort Mole. I would not be where I am as a trader without it.

  • Jason13

    Good stuff. Thanks.

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho
  • Jason13

    Market hours today? Close early?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    bookmark this.
    you should be ashamed of yourself.
    😉

    https://www.nyse.com/markets/hours-calendars

  • evilasevildoes

    monday half day

  • ridingwaves

    congrats on your upcoming retirement….let the fun begin….

    Merry Xmas to you all….and happy new year….

  • ridingwaves

    Thanks Mole for sharing your experience. Merry Christmas to you and your family. Don’t take time off your vacation. That is not a Mole rule I follow. Unwind and enjoy a couple days of peace….

    best of luck to you in the new year…..8 days of rest would be lucky too

  • ridingwaves

    Biotech is trading at 11.7 Frwd PE next year…I’m scaling into LABU….

  • Sp00nman

    Thanks Sir Mole, I’m relatively new around here and I wish I found this place a whole lot sooner. Not sure how I found it, just stumbled across it one day a few months ago? I want to say this would have helped my trading/investing years ago, but then again I also think many of us (myself included) have to learn the hard way, rather than the easy way, and the very hard lessons are how we learn. We’re all wired a little differently and have natural weaknesses. That’s just a fact of life, for better or worse. Either way, Merry Christmas/Happy Holidays to you and your family!

  • Sp00nman

    Russell, NDX, HYG, are not bullish thus far. Doesn’t look like much conviction on either side but the ball is in the bear’s court right now.

  • evilasevildoes

    full moon winter solstice opex and Italy

  • evilasevildoes

    thank you Sir Mole

  • Mark Shinnick

    Pretty weird….I don’t see anymore support analogs for labu, really flying blind on this one now….its like a baby/bath water thing.

  • mSquare

    Thanks Mole for this blog and all the hard work. Wishing you and all here a Very Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays.

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/sharondsessions/ Sharon

    Thanks, Sir Mole III, I am most grateful for all of your wisdom and insights into the Market and into human behavior. Merry Christmas to everyone and a Happy New Year.

  • ridingwaves

    so overdone I have no clue either…its like they are worthless….yet some symbols are trading below cash in the bank…..unreal….and no tariff or federal shutdown tie in…

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Sp00nman

    Yep.. shorts getting squeezed now. Those are some huge 5 min bars.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Do you think a lot of them set their stops and drove to the airport?
    😉
    I do!

  • ridingwaves

    RUT still down

  • Darkthirty

    algo panic on a NY fed blurb

  • evilasevildoes

    where do i go to get update refresh tool?please my page is not refreshing
    (new computer)

  • evilasevildoes

    sorry asked before too lol and someone kind gave me the link but need to go to where install the auto updater

  • Darkthirty

    Stops at 2500?

  • Sp00nman

    Damn.. definitely a nasty bull trap. Well, probably not a bull trap, just no buyers coming in. Back into the chop zone from yesterday.

  • Mark Shinnick

    I suppose it all qualified as a blowoff today…. a friggin 80% range area correction within 6 months.

  • Darkthirty

    That’s why the squeeze attempts are failing….getting out, not short IMO

  • evilasevildoes

    higher low…but

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    Margin debt on the NYSE recently went to all time highs. Forced selling to reduce debt will likely limit dow rallies.

  • Darkthirty

    Good point, makes sense to me

  • Ted
  • strider

    Thanks for your work Mole. I learned a lot when I traded Crazy Ivan a few years back. I am working on my own system now. I’m going to be a Gold member soon because this place is the best trading site there is. It feels good to be back and looking forward to it.

  • Ted

    RUT new low

  • evilasevildoes

    anybody on how to get refresher?

  • Mark Shinnick

    I guess the past several days/weeks are finally getting people’s attention. This point Gartman made the other day was pretty sound.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Chief … Two words says everything …. THANK YOU !
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    The last pattern on your chart looks familiar……….

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Hey Strider – long time no see! Glad to get some of the old crew back here 🙂

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Jeezzz – you just had to say the g-word!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    THANK YOU as well for all the contributions!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Merry Christmas Chief … All the way from Montana to Spain
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Thank you for the kind words – we are glad to have you 🙂

  • evilasevildoes

    Merry Christmas from Texas!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Felices navidades también Catracho. Me alegro de que hayas vuelto 🙂

  • Mark Shinnick

    25.87 ….FWIW.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Thank you good sir. Enjoy the festivities and try not to blow off a finger this year 😉

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Happy to do it for you guys. Thanks for keep coming around.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Give my regards to BobbyLow as well please.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV .. We were at the Atlanta Airport and we were wearing our cowboy hats and boots A couple came up to us and said “You are either from Montana or Texas . It was a good one EV Merry Christmas to you and your family. Thank You for your trading acumen and market insights
    JULIE

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho
  • Darkthirty

    Same problem on both counts…………I have no clue either

  • strider

    S&P 500 now at 3 standard deviations below its 50-DMA again.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Amazing still no confirmed close above it’s 60 min 8 ema with the pop this a.m and then intraday reversal. The 60 min 8 ema (bullish close above) is a great filter stocks and indices and will usually keep you out of trouble
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    Ok…low is 25.75…so far so good…

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Another buying attempt stomped – wow, I have rarely seen anything resembling this:

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a889cfd66179e41a7c0547e4e9bed19dd459ad20f8d896fd38021c474212b0c8.png

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    I have no idea how I am supposed to go on vacation if we get tape like this next week. Couldn’t those bastards pick a more inconvenient time to take the damn market down? 😉

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Reading the tape Guys Yesterday some buying and closing approx mid range Today some buying but an intraday reversal sold into. The sweet spot could be close. I have indicators showing an intermediate bottom is near BUT as in last night’s post I would like to see a grouping of $TRINs higher. Also a 9 : 1 down day $NYDNV : $NYUPV for a flush . Preferably two in 5 trading days. A daily $TRIN of 5 would do it also
    JULIE

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    have a well deserved break !

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Off to lunch!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    What is very worrisome is that they are now trying to drop the Dollar but it’s not having any effect. A day or more of this and we’re heading into a free fall situation. This shit is serious.

  • TimeToPanic

    I’m deeply peeved with myself. Been stalking this head and shoulders pattern for months, then get caught long playing a little bounce in a high risk week, and multiple chances to step off, but sat hoping for a bounce. Pathetic.

    I’ll close out Monday, it’s a good reminder I’m a decent chartist but a shit trader, and don’t trade whilst on holiday away from your desk.

    A broad spread of gold miners next, it’s been a good few months, +60%, shame I messed up these past 2 weeks.

    It’s only money, remember, there are homeless folk near you that need food and clothing especially in the winter. Spend generously, love the neighbour, for the glory of Jehovah.

  • Jason13

    I’m playing with oil today and I feel saner….never thought I’d say that in this market.

  • Ted

    Well said! I’m in the same boat as you. However, I’m stuck in RUT.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Oh Yes Mole….very much highlights the completely out-of-ammo situation with no particular tailwinds or setups.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Chief In a post last night I stated it could go down to 2325 – 2293 – 2277 before a meaning full bounce. It is serious Chief The weekly 233 ema is approx 2328
    JULIE

  • Jason13

    Yes I agree, I think they think that’s their only recourse

  • evilasevildoes

    since the inverse etfs the trin has been dodgy

  • evilasevildoes

    remember when those H and S’s fail hard reversals but I watch it like a Hawk asa tell

  • evilasevildoes

    it was bullish eaerlier

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    $TRIN 3 sma 1.5 or higher usually a short term bottom along with $CPC 1.2 or higher
    JULIE

  • Jason13

    Yup, just scalping the shit out of it.

  • ridingwaves

    Ok the world is ending I’m going to take out a nice bottle of wine go to my friend’s house roll a big fatty and kiss my ass goodbye

  • Ted

    Should have stuck with the trains. LOL You should know who I am. Merry Christmas to you and your family.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    The world will be just fine and if push comes to shove we’ll be able to enjoy a ton of very juicy buying opportunities 😉

  • ridingwaves

    I posted a p&f chart the other day what was spread triple bottom breakdown pointing towards 2250

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Plan the trade and trade the plan, TTP. Everything else just gets ya into trouble. And that especially holds true if the plan involves big outlier moves.

  • ridingwaves

    sorry I was just being Christmas snarky heck I’m on my way to meet up fintech guy with a really cool UI and software busier than hell

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Chief .. In a bear market timing is everything. A bull you can throw darts at a dart board and come out on top. Like you said yesterday we pick our sector or sectors and nail it Chief
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Merry Christmas RW
    JULIE

  • ridingwaves

    and Merry Christmas to you Julie and all your family

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Hey guys – I just checked my long term P&F and …. well see for yourselves:

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3dcdddbb0f6bb240cad18a9a12a7a6f28a768ed88dfb6c91300117750a496003.png

  • TimeToPanic

    Why is 2030 yellow? Me no understand P&F at all.

  • ridingwaves

    that is the target

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    It’s the bearish price objective, brother. Scary shit.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    This is LT by the way, so there would be bounces on the way IF it plays out.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys 2404 is a very important level …. May have a tradable bounce 2404
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Chart babe – chart!!!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Chief 2404 I have for a possible bounce … Your chart 2030 is solid .. We should watch 2072 also LT
    JULIE

  • TimeToPanic

    Ah, cool, thanks I don’t feel so bad now, still time to ride it down.

    Hey, Merry Christmas to you and everyone here. You’re a great host, and a nice bunch of folk here. I wish you all good health and peace and the joy of knowing God in 2019.

    Thanks for tolerating my weird views and being a welcoming place.

  • Ted

    Thanks for posting the Zero. I wish you and your family a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • evilasevildoes

    Feliz Navidad!

  • evilasevildoes

    says Dec 10

  • Jason13

    Yikes

  • Ted

    Did you mean 2434?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    CHIEF Here is my chart …. We should get a bounce As stated below 2404 very important level. Also I posted 2482 – 2452 – 2433 – 2422 – 2415 …. 2404 Very Important Intersection of two Raff Regression lines https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9be6eb3822131964b2555e952195901b979126391ea3f7520bca6bb961df5144.png JULIE

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes

    oops no it does not my bad

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    INTERESTING: Given the vehemence of consecutive sell offs in the past week seeing the IVTS ($VIX:$VXV) at only 1.09 is rather surprising:

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e82e19b4edc72cc15a2b9a5cc5247dbc97d95be50c8810690d1aef0eec62b0ea.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Ted 2433 is another level posted with chart above to watch
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    Mole

    What are your settings on your PNF chart I use Dynamic color and Reversal

    for some reason mine dont get what yours do?

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Well, I don’t see any price context that would support that theory, sorry. But let’s hope you are right because the way it’s heading we are looking at a new black Friday unless buyers start stepping in here.

  • Sp00nman

    Interesting, that’s the VPOC of the last 5 years.. We’re halfway there..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Chief The weekly 233 ema (green line) is below approx 2328 and I have another important level @ 2325 mentioned below in a reply. Also Chief there has been buying yesterday and today as posted below Watching levels posted above with chart
    JULIE

  • kudra

    woohoo!!! merry christmas, one and all.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Merry Christmas Kudra
    JULIE

  • amity

    Hi Mole,
    Do you have any other subscription price than the standard one,
    like for the seniors, rookies, etc?

  • ridingwaves

    the Napa Valley Wine Train is still running just in case you want to get on it before the end of the world, I just got stuck right behind it

  • Jason13

    Enjoyed that ride. Great food.

  • evilasevildoes

    Merry Christmas Kudra!

  • evilasevildoes

    they are all excellent ,Merrry Christmas Amity

  • evilasevildoes

    GS will be eating them alive or Glenncore or XOM and Shell

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes

    I decorated it

  • Sp00nman

    I’m also surprised we haven’t seen more GMTFO type of days with selling volume eclipsing buying volume 10:1 on this downmove.. We only have 2 thus far in this decline..

  • strider

    $49 a month for a good market education is worth it.

  • ridingwaves

    The people on it seems happy

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GLD Pulling back per chart shown yesterday
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    Signals getting hinky…VWAP 2474.76 or 2328

  • TimeToPanic

    All of this makes one think the worst of it lies ahead.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SP I have SPY VWAP 245.79
    JULIE

  • TimeToPanic

    How far can it fall in 2 more hours? 2300?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Merry Christmas Kud.

  • Mark Shinnick

    If history of when that push actually happens is the guide, more than most anyone reasonably estimates.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Doesn’t matter.

    I’m a genius. Genius, Genius, Genius.
    🙂

    https://disqus.com/home/discussion/evilspeculator/mexed_missages_30/#comment-4242063049

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Captain said he wanted more setups.

    Here’s my original idea. Doesn’t matter how far down, just need the signal to give it a try, back up.
    🙂
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/42f8d5923f61cbc47156b14c9ade8b63a39d1b5d8f8ca9bdf7a63c186f95b754.png

  • Darkthirty

    Stop sweep at 9 AM was 34 pts in 9 minutes, at that rate 453.33 pts

  • evilasevildoes

    hi GG do you have the refresh link?
    (again)?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    refresh link?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    “They” wanted us to go Xmas shopping – Smirk

  • amity

    Merry Christmas!

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    Jeez..CNBC still talking about a Santa Rally.

  • Ted

    Long or short?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    oh Ye of Little Faith.

    Where is your Xmas Spirit?!
    don’t forget, it’s OpX. Quadruple Witching and all that jazz.

    😉

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/35d4474b0167b8a26775e2d9f053a332549897f2b549a22eb803dfb7c61d1bd5.png

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    In my glass 😉

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    long Ted … 2433 level posted an intraday consolidation . There should be some short covering going into the close with bears not wanting to hold over the weekend. Must get above 60 min 8 ema and VWAP which coincides currently with the 60 min 8 ema … Only a nibble if attained
    JULIE

  • ridingwaves

    This will be the funniest sell-off reason you’ve ever heard but I’m starting to warm up to it, it all goes back to Jamie dimon and Trump’s crazy September Twitter smart versus stupid barrage

    he is the only one that could pull this off with some of his buddies of course

  • evilasevildoes

    for zero

  • Mark Shinnick

    Arggg… found one at 24.72.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    The selling started on Fall Equinox.
    If some Congress ctritter pee’d blood after a PSA screening? fine by me.
    I’m trading the tape.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    wasn’t me mate.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Hour to go. throw a log on the fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZY3J3Y_OU0w

  • zzezzezz

    just for fun:

    “Although futures and options generally share simultaneous expirations on the third Friday of every month, quadruple witching days only occur four times a year. The last hour of these trading days, from 3:00 to 4:00 p.m. EST, is referred to as the quadruple witching hour.”

  • Darkthirty

    Looks like it’ll be an interesting close….How much does the PPT have to prop this up? The spikes up are tests, the drops are with no intervention……..

  • zzezzezz
  • Ted

    IWM is so far below VWAP it’s not funny. It’s going to take a monster calvary charge. I’m giving up hope.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Ted

    HYG is above VWAP and not far from flat on the day.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Ted Bear Market so Bear Market rules apply. Small positions long and nibbles until proven otherwise
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    is that yellow snow?
    😉

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX busts down thru 2433 now watching 2422 and 2415 again 2404 extremely important
    JULIE

  • TimeToPanic

    30 cents by the looks of it.

  • TimeToPanic

    No offence Julie, but I don’t think any levels matter at present. It’ll fall til all the leveraged longs puke. No one sane would step in and deploy significant buying funds into a waterfall decline.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    it’s freefall. Then some tactical nukes go off in 3 Major US cities.
    from there’s it’s Walking Dead.

    I should be doing something a little more fun than working for the Man.

  • Jason13

    I’m afraid I have to agree. Having too many levels means “noise”. Yes eventually one will stick but there has to be much more corroborating technical evidence in conjunction with price context as Mole said.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Price is going to tell us when it’s ready to form a bottom. For now it’s LHs and LLs and no LOLs.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    TTP With Bear Markets people miss turns long and short So I watch carefully. So far my levels have been very close on turns
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Julie – where you around in 2008?

  • Darkthirty

    Sounds like fun to me!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    No My husband was trading then .. He traded the Bear Market extremely well
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    First, I need a motorcycle and some weapons.

    then, I go up north. Live off the land.

    https://www.skybound.com/the-walking-dead/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2016/05/NormanB.png

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    If you were you would remember that calling bottoms in a bear market is a fool’s errant. Technical support levels DO NOT WORK in bear markets. Technical patterns DO NOT WORK in bull markets and fail all the time. All you can do is to watch price and get involved when you it’s starting to point higher.

  • Ted

    I’m out. I won’t enter until we reach the bottom which I fear is a long way off. Any bounce will likely be sold into and I will not chase it. Made that mistake in 08.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Can we get a guest appearance? I mean, come on, how hard could that be?
    🙂

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I remember one word distinctly.
    SNAP-BACK.

    I traded options, it still makes me shudder. {shudder}
    one moment everything’s okay, and *poof* it’s gone.
    INTRADAY!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    IMO A snapback rally @2404
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    HWB….eventually to 2600.

  • Darkthirty

    I just went to cash LOLing!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Darkthirty

    Now THAT’S an easy target!

  • Mark Shinnick

    drv

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I sold it yesterday. dam it!

  • Darkthirty

    I was thinking to hunker down for a couple months and let the fools sort themselves out………….

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Ted

    The problem is the bears are smart this time. They are covering at the close and not leaving it for dead.

  • evilasevildoes

    agree

  • Darkthirty

    Phone calls down wall street work!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Alright, looks like we may get the old EOS bounce.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Good timing.

  • BKXtoZERO

    Merry Christmas all. I read Moles post this morning before heading in. Mole Thank you for your work over the years. I have been stuck at work with other people working on deadlines so I am missing out on all this. The Ayatollah of TVIX really missed the boat. I am away for 1 week in the Cascades after Christmas with maybe sporadic net and phone connection. Merry Christmas all! Julie congrats! you rock!

  • BKXtoZERO

    Balls……….

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    You rock too BK Merry Christmas BK
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    Na… Calls !!!!

  • Darkthirty

    Where are Precious & Grace?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Chief I am not calling bottoms or tops I have levels that I watch on advances and declines then watch for turns at these levels. I do not jump the gun. Again 2404 is a very very important level. If it turns there great if not then lower levels that I have determined. Another very extremely important level with this decline is 2072. Chief Merry Christmas and enjoy your vacation You deserve a nice vacation with all the hard work you do Thanks for everything Chief
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    Wall fund is at $12,925,433.00

  • simonn1080

    My guess would be we bounce as this is the first touch of that band in this down move.

    in 08 the bands were sloping down and we had touched that band multiple times.

    Just an observation I wanted to share.

  • Darkthirty

    Ya gotta remember that this is the bastard child of 2008. Twice as mean and empty……..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG SPY 60 min chart WITH CCI (20) with a 21 ema and trend lines. You can easily trade short term (day trade) GG … What do you think I do ! CCI (20) on 60 min and higher CCI (14) on time frames below 60 min You do not get a refund GG….. Merry Christmas GG JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/d6705155349725e0731dd83d8ebb2f573f2bf2503dfbbb246daccfe3c6d285e5.png

  • ridingwaves

    No comparison. Jobs aplenty, no housing meltdown, no fannie, bear Stearns etc

  • TimeToPanic

    Give it time, the rest of the world is totally fucked, the US will feel the heat soon enough, and then it’ll be a real recession, not like the credit crunch at all, a deep grinding slog.

  • ridingwaves

    well from my viewpoint in dealing with a lot of business owners throughout the United States, business is good, just sat down with a guy with centech company that’s looking to expand and then go on the market

  • Darkthirty

    Was told to trade off the indices themselves, too much static in the ETFs. I use the dow to trade ES

  • TimeToPanic

    Peak was probably a couple of months ago. Businesses generally don’t spot the cycle turn, hence so many get into trouble with high stock levels and high debts.

  • ridingwaves

    I added to it

  • ridingwaves

    this is not an economic collapse, and its very far from it

  • Darkthirty

    There’s a sub Saharan African in the organic heating fuel storage area. The 2008 problem was never addressed, they bonused out the TARP funds. No more than a spraypainted and glittered dog turd

  • ridingwaves

    The folks I am actually dealing with for high-net-worth people, they have a much different view

    Peak credit expansion could be in the past

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    D30 VWAP shows up only with my platform with SPY – IWM etc and not the indices. I always am looking at both SPY and SPX — SPY for VWAP and volume and SPX for levels Merry Christmas D30 and Happy New Year. ALSO very important the 60 min 34 ema corresponds closely with the daily 5 ema. On a 30 min chart the 65 ema closely corresponds with the daily 5 ema
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    I did too. Only a couple hundred thousand people have donated, averages out to $65 each. Makes me think we need to shut down congress. They’re incapable and incompetent.

  • TimeToPanic

    Different this time eh? I don’t think so, time will tell.

  • Darkthirty

    I use dow because it runs at 10X s&p, and the same pattern. Basically a magnifying glass. I use prophet live charts for indicators and fibs when I’m scalping. DJI ran truest for EW counting, but that is pretty much in the past since the onset of algos. ES is what they use to manipulate the market, so it’s extremely erratic. You seem to have things under control, do what works for YOU. Caveat, what Mole’s saying about bear markets is true. I was here when he started this blog and learned a whole lot from him and the myriad posters here. Merry Christmas !

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    SPX weekly,
    every major bollinger band I could find?…..Violated like the Avengers Infinity War.
    Fibonacci Fan FTW.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3e9d1376fab31670b8a6bc618dcf5cd64b1cfb4fc6956f26800fa07da5116626.png
    Hopefully “nothing fast, lasts”.
    Hopefully HD’s HWB idea will kick in.
    Hopefully you have a plan or two.
    -GG

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Throw those hourly charts away. The Big boys are playing.

    ..Monthly time-frames most likely. & They play for keepsies.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Violated. Sent to the ER for evidence collection.

  • Darkthirty

    You can’t violate the willing!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    oh you’re bad. a lump of coal for YOU!

    Merry Christmas.
    off to dinner.

  • ridingwaves

    thats for sure, throw in the supreme court and 9th circuit judges also….

  • Darkthirty

    Looks like a textbook zig-zag correction

  • Darkthirty

    Sounds like a tree is in need of water…………………

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX There are some non believers and Julie on the bonfire taking some heat … Love it Guys .. My main level for an intermediate term bounce remain the same 2404 VERY Important.The bonfire is “HOT” and Julie cookin.. with gas ! JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/dfa6abecfcb7e3d9b2c8be561e0e87256d3b7eab4df7cad7a350ada37ad66984.png

  • simonn1080

    Hi Julie, what is at 2404?

    Thanks

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi GG 2404 is a level 1 Remember the infamous 2603 I called … 2606 was a level 1
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Also the 2814 (actual 2815) was a level 1 Also the 2800 actual … 2802 was a level 2
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Write this down The next Level 1 below 2404 is 2072. The Bear should wind it’s way down to 2072
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Forgot to mention the bounce to 2685 … 2687 was a level 2 I posted 2687 numerous times Also I posted 2814 as a target
    JULIE

  • http://www.id9518508.sexyvxl.website mmeyer45

    markshinnick easy

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys … It’s 1:30 am and Julie gonna really be stepping on the hot bon fire coals I am really going to take some heat with this one Julie stepping up to the plate and saying the “Bull Market” is not over. All the Gurus :Wall Street pundits and everyone on this blog is convinced we are in a “Bear Market” My level 2404 stands.What is presently occurring is the biggest “Bear Trap” and fake out of the century. Even EW calling the 2940 5th wave top is wrong.What will lead the charge are sectors that have declined the least % wise.On Saturday I am going to look at sectors that have met this parameter Don’t be fooled Guys — The Chief talks about biases … Well ….. ! Merry Christmas Everyone
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys … Sidebar … Alternate … If a decline below 2404 occurs watch 2325 Then a moon shot..
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys … https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7b330ed8a0b847f8a32e0ccbe1b10431e61ecdd940e32474f4388b76ac25f53a.png Julie getting ready to walk on hot coals … Going to take some heat !

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    One clue guys … THE $VIX … With this decline it should be much higher ! Now I have stated many times that it is not the level of the $VIX BUT the % above and below it’s 10 ema matching the upper and lower Bollinger Bands Approx 20 % above and below it’s 10 ema is the signal. The $VIX presently is 20% above it’s 10 ema and at upper Bollinger Band JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/ba35bbcea7cee048a03b3de9acc43a3dd9645f693cd4eea0899c19e6670a1991.png

  • supervilin

    Merry Christmas Mole and the crew! Thank you for the most excellent trading education.

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    Done.

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    What are you using to identify the levels? I’m finding levels useful in day trading ES.

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    Julie, I don’t know if you were here when Fearless was around. He had what he called the Fear Index, which was when VXO (the original formula VIX) was above 50. That was an indication to buy with both hands for the long term. It closed at 32.11 Friday. I can’t recall for sure, but I think Fearless would start getting interested when VXO was above 40.

    Another long term buy indicator idea I picked up around here at some point in the past was this chart. Might even have gotten it from you. It should be self explanatory.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p23335900540

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Finally, someone who remembers the VXO!

    Yes, me and Julie mentioned the 10/50 several days ago.

  • HD
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    {face palm}
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • HD

    quantified the wave termination 10/11.

    What was the alternative? confusion, frayed, buy signals, lottery tickets….

    Have a great Christmas GG, all. But lets be a little more open to analysis in 2019.

  • HD
  • strider

    I enjoy the levels you give. When prices were slicing thru and not retesting yesterday, it was a good indication they were going to keep dropping. I plan to follow big block trades. When really large blocks match your levels, it should be a good indication a move is about to happen.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Monthly support.
    I don’t know about a reversal, but definitely support.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/bcd2a54f5afab744751b4d42f000e7f3bd4c30a131816a0f86f22ca2835562b7.png

  • LoneRanger

    I think pharmaceuticals have held up pretty well relatively speaking. (even JNJ after their 10% haircut was the last pharm to get beaten down but it required some old news to do it)

  • strider

    This past week, the smallest of options traders bought to open 2.9 mln put options. That’s 27% of their options volume. Since January 2000, only five other weeks saw them panic this much.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    As Official Historian,
    I forget the actual title Mole knighted me with..

    A Fearless Historical tip, wrapped up in a bow.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/690402112b6185fc87afa375c59bc614aaab54d04650620fc45d920030484657.png
    -GG

  • TimeToPanic

    I’m getting the impression, just a bit, that you’re smarter than the average gerbil.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • TimeToPanic

    I too expect a rally for US markets to marginal new highs, but still need to see more panic in this washout first.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Resident Curator Of The Evil Lair.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys I stated an alternative below to 2404 is 2325 SPX could go there. NOW GG showed a monthly chart below showing a support. Not sure what monthly moving averages he uses but I use a 55 ema. NOW very important as with GG’s chart a lower trend line drawn from the 2009 low will intersect the monthly 55 ema approx 2325 NOW 2325 is also a Level 2 that I have computed. NOW 2328 is the weekly 233 ema. Again if 2404 does not hold watch 2325 Then a moonshot
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    TTP … GG is !
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Good job showing SPX monthly chart .. Thanks !
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys — The reason for the alternate level 2325 per a previous post (1) I Would like a higher group of $TRIN readings (2) Would like to see a “FLUSH” i.e. $NYDNV :$NYUPV 9 or greater. Preferably two within 5 trading days. TTP mentioned a flush (panic sell) also in a post below
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    what do cougars & gerbils have in common?
    They both purrrrr.
    😉

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys I have us a short squeeze candidate HEAR Approx 69% of float shorted.This stock has huge moves as Friday dumped – 0.8.96% From August has fallen from 35 down to 13.71 Guys let’s trap the “Shorts” HEAR channels nicely and now sits mid channel and oversold at approx 61.8 % retracement. NOW support exists at 13.58 and very strong resistance at 16.63 approximate upper channel.If it continues to dump we watch the lower channel meeting the upper gap window at 10. If the market goes up and their is pin action on HEAR we can swim in moola with a nice short squeeze JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/88e930ee8091386cc2cb56a6c7f8d89491704e494728c90d8911ac1186610f1a.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys HEAR be on the lookout for an analyst upgrade … “To the Moon Alice” Gonna love it guys!
    JULIE

  • Ivan Hrusovsky
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Three wise men & Baby Jesus pattern?
    Fibonacci Gone Wild?

    Fibonacci Off the Chain.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/27e32677199b8c6511d11fcb2114ac3cdb913593ce6f2f4b7c4134805b8792e9.png
    -GG

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Nice chart … I have a level at 2560 matching your fib fan line … One leg at a time GG
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG One thing to watch for is an impulse up to 2560 i.e. 5 waves in lieu of your 3 waves if this occurs. That will be a huge clue as to direction
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    The January Effect?
    I would be shocked. SHOCKED!
    😉
    2007/2010 article link –
    https://www.cnbc.com/id/18603498
    “First up, the ‘January effect’. Also called the ‘year-end’ effect, this refers the conspicuous rise of equity markets during the period starting the last day of December and ending the fifth trading day of January. Robert Haugen, in an authoritative study, picked out January as the month when average returns are higher than average monthly returns for the whole year.”

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys UUP Quite possible we can short a lower high Going up into it’s 5 ema ; back testing a lower uptrend line and 50% retracement Weekly chart overbought and a rising wedge on the weekly chart Only https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3f383396e438e63e8e0a97f8ab6ef425f8711df73e978f38c7d06450435c50fe.png saying it is possible JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG The January effect also coincides with 401k’s and pension contributions .. Could be interesting
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Then again the Smart Money may sell into it this time .. Going to be very interesting as stated. IMO we can ride the wave either way
    JULIE

  • http://www.id1940085.sexyctbk.website abdessamadhayani

    disqus_3Zji5OL9Wu but

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Even God rested on 7th Day.
    Chill out Jewels.

    I’m off to Christmas Eve Eve service.
    -GG

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    We have already been to service. … Completely chilled GG … Relaxing …
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’m taking a list to the Big Santa for 2019.

    1) Defeat the Evil Bankers
    2) Provide World Peace
    3) Joy for all

    any requests?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’m not worried.
    HD has it all figured out.
    LOL.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Yup .. Intel Bankrupt … Yellowstone Cauldron cooling off !
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    Julie your number hit on ES

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    They work EV .. I have to figure the levels by calculator and takes time But enjoy doing it for the guys like you
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Bozeman Pass MT Between Bozeman and Livingston One of the most dangerous passes thru the Rockies Beautiful scenery Merry Christmas Everyone JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c7374bfa150bfdb166f4503a7f3b4ff5d2f1a69af25aefc173c5434ff979466a.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    FYI This section of Interstate 90 was the last completed section of Interstate 90 and the last section to be completed with the entire U.S. Interstate Highway System.It was completed in 1977 and officially dedicated by President Jimmy Carter who came to Montana to open the highway section
    JULIE

  • Ted

    Merry Christmas Everyone!

  • Ted
  • http://www.id3898597.sexyjtxy.website disqus_K37tal9kYs

    catracho yes

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    jason_whittaker yes

  • http://www.id2103361.sexykc.website linosegundocuba

    molecool 3+

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    A few comments showed up overnight that make me think Disqus got hacked, or they are bot submitted.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Which ones? I don’t see any changes. I think you are a moderator so feel free to zap them.

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    They are deeper in the comment stream. Names I don’t recognize. All are replies to existing posts. I know one was a reply to ridingwaves re: the wall discussion.

  • evilasevildoes

    I WAS LOOKING AT BULLISH PERCENTS man oh man if we drop we can keep dropping cuz it was hitting resistance on daily at high 50’s if it clears 70 then that will pop us up…but after hearing Penetta…here on 60 minutes sounded like a mean threat from you know who

  • TimeToPanic

    I went long the Dow at 22360. In my little spread betting account, stop at the futures low.

    5 pars and a birdie yesterday in 9 holes, finally shaking off this cough virus.

    Spent 2 hours over dinner trying yet again to explain the coherence of Christian faith to my Muslim friend. If you want to say a prayer for his eyes to be opened at Christmas, his name is Jamal.

    Merry Christmas everyone.

  • Ted

    Nice shooting! Hopefully you bogeyed the other three. A picture from my favorite course in Georgia – Barnsley Gardens. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c9418d713582a7ff9a0d76421f673a1d469c7313a0dbf6f5cbf0beda8aede4c4.jpg

  • TimeToPanic

    Looks a nice tricky hole. One double for me.

    I recently bought Hogan’s book, 5 lessons. Very good. Changed my grip stance and backswing. Next up trying to get his leg and hip action. YouTube channel My Swing Evolution is also useful.

  • Mark Shinnick

    9% spread between udow and labu.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Shorting the Greenback per chart and comment below
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    Look like nice products….maybe as more begin to lose jobs….

  • Darkthirty

    close at 12:00 CST?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    You seen one hole, you’ve seen them all.

  • TimeToPanic

    Christmas time, pantomime, all together boys and girls…oh no it didn’t.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Long HEAR for a short squeeze per chart and comment below
    JULIE

  • TimeToPanic

    When does Christmas start?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    trolling me for a count down timer?
    I think not!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    speak up, I can’t HEAR U.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Almost 70% of float shorted .. A bullish close above 13.58 gonna be nice and kick it off ! Shame on those “Bears” all on one side of the boat !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Julie going to go on the floor of the NYSE and give HEAR an upgrade ! Watch them shorts scramble
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    pick the dangly ear rings.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    30 min to go Merry Christmas Everyone and Happy New Year !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Merry Christmas Coug.
    Your contributions have been overwhelming, this year.
    -GG

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Thank You GG … Your contributions also GG
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    love of the craft. thnx.

    ps. with the dollar dropping, gold is signal GREEN.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLD%3AUUP&p=D&yr=1&mn=6&dy=0&id=p15046224099

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I shorted the greenback earlier .. No position GLD … Perhaps a pullback to the rising 13 ema matching a support and lower uptrend line JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/932a8a004e4069e4eee0e4691c0b863950fb4cd91f5c3938d4d0ef03632bb13e.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • zzezzezz

    Screw this, 100% buy in now. I will hold my breath too.
    What could possibly go wrong ……………

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    a gap down open Wednesday?

    “Never go full retard”

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HEAR a nice pop and holding a 38.2% pullback … Bears are going to scramble on Wednesday
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Would you like fries with that?

    HYG McDonalds arch.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HYG&p=W&yr=3&mn=9&dy=0&id=p41255448012

    edit: I’m looking for snap-back squeeze. Winter is here.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Make that curly fries ! LOL!
    JULIE

  • CandleStickEmUpper

    Zero has not been working all day

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Market dumps and HEAR has a positive day showing relative strength . A beautiful setup for a short squeeze ! Gonna love this one Guys ! As stated almost 70% of float shorted … Office is closing and work completed .. Going home ! If travelling Guys Drive safe !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Darkthirty

    Notice the deepstate / trump correlation?

  • Darkthirty

    Everyday you aren’t pushing poseys is a blessed day

  • Darkthirty

    Accurate charts/prices are mandatory………

  • Mark Shinnick

    Last hour was disappointing for a lot of new BTFD’s. REITS closing on lows with momo, appearing right at multi-year necklines. As usual…that is saying something pretty damm interesting for the next market sessions.

  • Mark Shinnick

    That has to be…if Deepstate is going to win it must create maximum fear in those it can successfully manipulate that way. It plays with loaded dice; we all struggle with fear and are most subject in any pain or confusion.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys I believe it was on Christmas Eve World War 2 The German Army attacked the U.S. Army “Battle of The Bulge.” U.S. Army ran of of ammunition and were ordered to fix bayonets. The German command ordered the U.S. Forces to surrender. The U.S. General said “Nuts” and they fought holding off the German advance hand to hand combat.The U.S. Army suffered huge losses but held. General Patton said it was the most remarkable and heroic showing of courage ever
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    I could be…above 13.50….and counting-down. This market has been a baby with bath water sit essentially saying its starved for bids. Buyers are standing aside.

  • Darkthirty

    Nice part is trump mentioned the fed screwing things up. Audit /dissolution maybe? Indict and strip the players of ALL assets, pay off debt, go to gold backed currency, and let the rest of the world fight its own battles…….

  • Darkthirty
  • Mark Shinnick

    A good one…this is another of the sort of things he was elected to do…..along the lines of “promises kept”.

  • Darkthirty

    Were you in the game in 07?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX 2404 level slam dunk Right on thru. Alternate level posted 2325
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Below 2325 is 2277
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Julie,
    don’t bring up this. Mole’s German stock, don’t want to poke the bear.

    https://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1753.html
    airdrops were key.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Anyone short bonds or getting ready too ? I am getting ready too JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/0926cfa89408ac2dd9ad851e52963abeaabb814b87d97fa2b4eafabd30acee04.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Getting ready to go long AAPL Weekly oversold. Down to 61.8% retracement ; support ; weekly 233 ema and lower Raff Regression JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys Unbelievable SP Energy Sectpr https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/15e0d7bf3f09ae724d093a7dcdc606470fbdf6e910ad410b3f4dfe8105bc8ec7.png No stocks above their 200 sma Checkout chart.1 Chart 2 is my sector rotation chart .. A possible rally could rotate to Energy Sector JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys Let’s see if XLE can bounce at this level i.e. support zone and lower Raff Regression line JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/cc79b6f3ae7c4b2d3c7a65d30635de292d94d48e17ef15e946e9c4d839720505.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys Julie might go into the timber business CUT 5 waves down to it’s weekly 377 ema … Watching this ETF Guys JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/781684bd635103c65ad92b54353f0c4f5d953746dac4eecec03b5a089ecf86cd.png

  • Mark Shinnick

    What will be the talk around the Christmas dinner table?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi Mark First a dinner prayer … Then portfolio comparisons. Then choking on Christmas turkey looking at December losses Yikes !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I hope it’s not politics.

    More like ..
    http://e.lvme.me/d8qtt1d.jpg

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I know!
    but, just in case this bear thing goes on for a while..I have an idea. (wait!)

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/64e33c4ae17688c4a56b5d78c0167a80f776c736b624afbc925dee7f3434981a.png
    I sold at 76, I am soooo lucky..or an expert.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • TimeToPanic
  • Ronebadger

    Merry Christmas Everyone! Remember, Santa Claus is not a musician…https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XSH9ryRzHQ4&t=11s

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    DOW weekly.
    This bear is massive, I’m trying to not get comfortable with it.
    I’m using RW’s technique of using a good daily chart, switched to weekly.

    The RSI is nearing 30. Possibility of a bottom, however, we’ve all seen indicators embed and then the fun really starts. (see Rectangle, outside of range)

    At some point, all the weak hands will sell, and the rest will be Honeybadgers.
    What that point is, will be very very interesting.

    -GG
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/cb55e53db1df14aa1e401c1bf3092c00989c2b66eb352b18ab3a5d4ab2ae4013.png

  • Ronebadger
  • Darkthirty

    07-08 we had lock limits hit a few times, this IS pretty tame so far. Told a few people to go to cash in November, their “advisor” said it wasn’t any big deal. Next statement is going to shock a few of them. Might see some capitulation at that point.

  • Darkthirty

    It’s still in 3, the wimpy 2nd will give you a tradeable 4 though, just watch out about HWB on 3………..

  • Darkthirty

    heatwave in the Midwest……..should be ass-deep in a snowbank right now. brown christmas

  • Darkthirty

    Where’d that bear in the pic come from?

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    seems like it but depends on what time frame… but yes this is at best a correction of 2016 move, next worse case is 2008 rally, or even longer term way back to 1980’s

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2345cc26f11ea787a2ae0a1f20ff069e4a7a21bcb3070ac69fe2254eafcf7126.png

  • HD

    BK- TVIX – I underestimated how bad this product is but went to $79, not $89 from $25. My bad.

  • HD

    Ending EW for SPX, for the time being. October’s Price projection close enough. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e7a77a7b2451b891d9bbc7fef142c1c2f3a5ae0688e7820ae410d4079658178f.png

  • HD

    The week after Christmas does not have very impressive stats IMO, last 5 years

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Catracho – a 20% correction is traditionally seen as ending a bull market. Granted I am not a big fan of labeling either, but recognize that this will most likely affect sentiment. This week is historically a downer so let’s see what happens after the holidays when everyone’s back.

  • HD

    “I’m a tariff man” Dec. 3, 2018. SPX drops 16%

    News driven markets, may need a “news” event to reverse, or not.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Funny…how clean the formation looks in hindsight.

  • Mark Shinnick

    ….but that context was entirely different.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Frankly, I’m amazed going into these recent days…that the likes of Soros have finally been directly targeted for take down….that sedition against the USA is being so responded to.
    https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-blocking-property-persons-involved-serious-human-rights-abuse-corruption/

  • HD

    Soros is a scapegoat. Flynn, Manafort etc were directly hired by the POTUS.

  • HD

    working as unregistered foreign agent, Conspiracy against the USA. From inside the WH….

  • Mark Shinnick

    This thing measures a lot lower with gaps then in sight.

  • Jason13

    The toughest part of bear markets are when to sell the bear squeezing rips. Feeling like the theme of next few days.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • TimeToPanic

    It’s much less funny when you spot the head and shoulders pattern in advance and fail to get on board for the fun week, and are long for a silly little bounce instead. Further confirmation I’m better off sticking it all in gold.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Sp00nman

    Yep, that’s what makes bear markets so hard to trade. You don’t want to get reamed in a short squeeze and things just collapse and don’t give you a nice entry.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    a very wise man told me of another wise man….who just found what was going up and play that in place of. (circa 2000-2001)

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’ll hold it for you.
    😉

  • TimeToPanic

    I suspect it might crush a little gerbil.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • ridingwaves

    soros is a pos, nothing more, nothing less…

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Mark Shinnick

    It fascinates me. The last rally to this zone came at the same time the smart money index collapsed. This time around, HY and equities showed true trouble.

  • TimeToPanic

    True. Shit happens, net difference to my account was/is a large sum, mostly potential gain foregone.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    it’s a strange duck. hard for me to range it.
    I held it much too long as a 3X.

    I made some $$$, next trade.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/16169e221fb8a0fa7312d17615059d952e13cb3f5db2d6247ad8b113162f63cb.png

  • ridingwaves

    he economy is humming, leveraged loan sell off and most likely europe-brexit-italy is the main driver of this overextended sell off…its not trump, tariffs, the fed etc…

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    @GG I see everything. Don’t make me ban your ass!

  • Mark Shinnick

    Survey the REIT indexes for a similar picture…sort of like a defensive sector fortress.

  • ridingwaves

    with the yield I would think it has a tendency to be last bastion of safety

  • Mark Shinnick

    In that perspective as a predator…perhaps the most ripe for picking.

  • ridingwaves

    I’m with ya, it will fall hard when it becomes the target….fear circles are pretty wide….its all in the timing….the leveraged loan sell off starting in October was the clue but it was so covered up by all the other stuff, hardly anyone saw it….margin call city and last one out mentality killed the bull….

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • ridingwaves

    the $HUI starts hitting resistance at 164.50….

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Mark Shinnick

    Some nice potential short covering looks near.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Let those shills write up the New Year’s articles first.
    😉

    “Why the Bull may not be over”
    “As January, so goes 2019”
    “Stay in it for the long haul”
    “2019, not so bad after all”

  • Mark Shinnick

    I covered most of the drv calls ….for the time being.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    You strike me as the trailing stop kind-of-guy.
    ;-D

  • https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEx52bnnbLmh2dnV_Vyq1ErXT79LSU6pT xenoson

    Bearish argument:
    second bullish 30 min candle fails lately.

    Bullish argument:
    First inside day since breakout.

  • Mark Shinnick

    I’m a slo learner, but the company around here is pretty good.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/sharondsessions/ Sharon

    yahoo SPX missed the bear market trigger by 2 points. goodness will wonders ever cease. such a riot.

  • ridingwaves

    pretty close….

  • Mark Shinnick

    Generation of Confusion
    Here’s a snapshot of why not to have that boob tube running in our personal space.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/96166401059269c900328fd60713408944e9c694ea64023cf34d87f08f3e1d9a.jpg

  • Mark Shinnick

    Its about sucking blood, after all.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Bears backing off. lunch in 30..
    I’m so hungry from yesterdays 2.5 hr workout.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/fef3a52537ac1c06f20afcd8bfe6eff6a0407f5230b449a0b4c27ef8b15e5740.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Parasite’s gotta parasite.

    Hard work certainly isn’t rewarded anymore.

  • Jason13

    Wouldn’t surprise me if this continues for this week but next week…..

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    we make a good team. Now, if Yoda would just get his ass back in the shop.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • ridingwaves

    come on spock, raise the dead…..

  • ridingwaves

    gold gerb, here’s wishing you a peaceful and prosperous 2019, I know I’m the hated bull here but someone needs to be the lackey….

  • TimeToPanic

    In the spirit of the season, I think you’ll be correct for a decent proportion of 2019. There could even be a rally to new highs around 3300 SPX. But it’s all very fragile and eventually the money flowing into the USD will kill the US economy dead. But not yet. Merry Christmas.

  • ridingwaves

    Merry Christmas and Happy New Year TTP and a peaceful and prosperous 2019 to you also.. 2019 summer will be the tell on early recession signs, so toss up is the call right now. I don’t like the crude sell off and fear it more than the index sell off, last big crude crushing in 2015 was bad for domestic GDP. I do understand your point of view though its hard to tell in replies….After watching every damn rescue of zombie corps, banks etc in the last debacle, I have become attune to how much they will throw out to save them…..thus my bullish stance….which was wrong the last 2 months….

  • HD

    RW- that’s the 5th new “it’s this- not this” comment about the sell off. I’d just point out that it is a global thing and the tariff man is part of the equation. No way around it. Can’t take credit on the way up and avoid blame on the way down. It just doesn’t work that way.

  • HD

    He might be but I don’t even know why he’s in the conversation. Can’t we just address the elephant in the room?

  • TimeToPanic

    I’m hopeful the US will escape the worst of it, and have even been considering the US as a potential home in recent weeks, as I think it might turn back to its Christian faith again. You’re blessed to have Trump and other patriots fighting for your heritage. In England we have Mayor Khan and his ilk, and zero faith. Doomed we are.

  • TimeToPanic
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Cheer up mate. Once the Queen passes, Prince Harry will make it all better.
    Make Britain great again!

    check out that redhead!
    https://i2.wp.com/jozigist.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/281.jpg

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Only iffy trade I have is short greenback. XLE ; AAPL Yes per charts below. Bonds short Yes per chart below
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    “charts below charts below” – you have more charts below than Australia.

  • Darkthirty

    ES VWAP 2377

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Charts don’t lie Wall Street does ! LOL!
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Bot CUT per chart below too – Julie now in the timber business ! LOL!
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    The phrase was popularised in the United States by Mark Twain (among others), who attributed it to the British prime minister Benjamin Disraeli: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.”

  • TimeToPanic

    Two things.
    A very accurate South African prophet said this Queen will be the last monarch for England. He predicted this over 100 years ago. Also predicted both world wars and Obama.

    Second thing, Harry is not the son of Charles but of Diana’s fling, James Hewitt.

    I’m optimistic, our side wins in the long run.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    UUP Gap resistance and MACD signal line will keep UUP in check JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c6c2b9a8b88a63b0da30b9406281ea21a8e6919503d6b5ac57363f8c6e96ec71.png

  • Darkthirty

    which one of thousands are you referring to?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    ever since I hooked up with the Great USD.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ABcg6zaH9j8

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I will refrain from the Wood jokes.
    😉

  • Darkthirty

    10GA semi jacket hollow point slug in 3″ mag might slow him down

  • Sp00nman

    Headline on CNBC should be “market approves of government shutdown!” lol

  • Darkthirty

    What time do you daytraders pull out and wipe it on the curtain?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Better watch @ 2439 it’s daily 5 ema overbought 60 and 10 min charts. Could be a pullback. I have levels @ 2482 – 2452 – 2434
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    2434 not 2433
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    88 S&P reversal points swing. Yep, it’s a bear Market.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Has CNBC ever helped you make any coin?….once even?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    not much of a trap door, getting close to quittin time however.

    any whales in the group? 😉

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/14e15148d623151d0b5cdfa1f9b9660d99c32f1f18e481c84b6424556fa82a29.png

  • Darkthirty

    The real elephant is why do laws matter now?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG UUP pulling back at gap resistance .. May add to short. Better watch SPYvolume on this rally
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    End of Year. against my rules.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    The tape never stops GG
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    nor do the blondes.

    LOL.
    ;-D

  • Sp00nman

    Nope, I don’t watch it. I just think that’d be a funny headline. I just love how people love to assign bullshit reasons as to the “WHY” the market moved a certain way.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Yes. I’m thinking Mole will cover that topic soon.
    WHY’s are dangerous.
    Don’t think – just trade the tape. It’s working more & more for me.

  • Sp00nman

    For sure. I like to know the WHY, and I TRY to assign a WHY, but it’s not critical. Also, there’s probably a decent chance my WHY is wrong.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Thank You for your forum participation – here’s a Gem.
    I think Captain would still endorse.

    https://evilspeculator.com/how_to_debug_your_brain/
    -Curator GG

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    UUP The daily PMO attempting to bottom but no cigar Weekly PMO topping at overbought level. I guess no one joining me in shorting the green back . Love being the lone wolf against the crowd
    JULIE

  • ridingwaves

    Feinsteins assistant for 20 years….

  • ridingwaves

    fair enough, I’m just saying the obvious is usually not the driver of things, its the unseen….

  • Darkthirty

    You just don’t like diane…LOOK SQUIRREL !!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX above 2482 level is 2506 — 2506 will intersect an upper down trend line
    JULIE

  • Sp00nman

    Thx. Ya fighting the caveman side of me is always a struggle that will never go away. I’ll say it also very much depends what kind of person you are. I tend to overthink/overworry. As much as I’d like to change that it’s one of my weaknesses. I have thought about having a couple drinks while trading.. lol

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    start trading as a strong hand.
    before making an entry, ask yourself “is this a strong hand”?
    why? why not? trade accordingly.

    imagine if you held your nose and got lucky at open this morning.
    now that the Market is up 116 S&P F’n points, you think you would be a strong hand? I think so. Do you care if 20 or 40 pts drops later this week?
    🙂

  • Darkthirty

    WELL! That was lame, only 130 ES points?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’d blame Pluto.
    LOL.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys UUP going to love a failed back test of a broken lower uptrend line and gap resistance Way too many dollar bulls JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/26dd5727dab37f9ad837e0cf5ecbc72dace83dfcb0afbfc05399735129c2c438.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    No GG Blame it on “Rio” LOL!
    JULIE

  • Darkthirty

    2506 is also 382 correction of previous

  • Darkthirty

    Might be Neptune ……. got a fork?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Ted

    Played golf today and missed all the fun. I agree with you GG.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Just watch SPY volume and SPX daily RSI @ 50 – 60
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Wicked Evil, Prognostication!
    or should I say ‘Margaritas B!tchez’?
    https://disqus.com/home/discussion/evilspeculator/mexed_missages_30/#comment-4242545444

    Thanks You Cougar, BK, & Catracho.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • ridingwaves

    yeah, anyone who sleeps with Soros is something to stay away from….she is disgusting….the only reason she is around and in her position is someone shot Harvey Milk….she was a nothing until tragedy struck….plus she is senile today…..no congress person over 70 should have the chance to be re-elected….

  • Ted

    LMAO

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho
  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    A bounce of this vehemence usually enjoys follow through. IF it fails and we drop back then it’s Armageddon day. Zero margin of error for the bulls here.

  • TimeToPanic

    6350 NQ or so and I’ll be happy to exit my ill-timed long entry just before Fed day. A small loss, but a good lesson. Onwards.

  • HD

    or why do laws not matter now…. that works both ways 🙂

  • HD

    I’d like to point out the HWB at 2370, again, but who really cares 🙂

    If you were trading in 2009 you recall one of the first rallies in the SPX was 100+ handle 5% squeezer.

  • Darkthirty

    Exactly ! I refuse the dem/rep bullshit. Mc Cain-Paul Ryan-Flake – et al all dems / progs. They ALL need stripped of ill gotten assets, prosecuted, and jailed. America is a monarchy……………..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD One day does not make a trend
    JULIE

  • HD

    my account was trending all day and maybe something in my pants was too 🙂 LOL

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    HD I had e great day too But finger will be close by sell button
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys A characteristic of Bear Market rallies is that they can be strong enticing people to believe that the “Bear” is over and then “Whamo”
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Mole said it was difficult. this would (characteristically) file under that category.

    Hey Kudra, ‘hope you’re hedged’.
    Muwahahaha.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I care. but you’re a Wildcat. not to be trusted.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Plastics
    Follow-Thru.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    (double face palm)

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    yes..I’m sure there will be follow through ..but it will be take more than 2 days to get out of the down trend normally a correction of 4-7 days after such a move down – trick is to bide your time

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    NDX weekly – you can see RSI has broken support level since end of 2008 fall, prior to that it also broke in Feb 2008 then went to new lows https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9c6d36b9dbe0b4aa56831bfb7795922c16977b60cef710f9af9155b25efb35c9.png

  • ridingwaves

    HD, here’s hoping you and your family safe prosperous new year, I will save you the time of having to here my take much in 2019 as I’m going to be slammed by work because the economy is running on all cylinders but I will pop in occasionally and promise no predictions, political viewpoints etc.
    I’m going to be making a lot of money on the economy next 6 years, not too worried about the market and will not have time for it as in the past.

    I will continue to be bullish though as I have long term investments that are tied to innovation in health care that does need people around to use it and heal them..

    I was a big time bear in the past, fought the fed, treasury, Clinton, Bush and Obama to speak for citizens to busy to see what was happening but what good is that when all that will follow will be death, despair, pain and suffering….

  • Mark Shinnick

    Quite satisfying.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Oh GG Do you HEAR me now ! The short covering rally HEAR Approx 70% of float shorted YES !
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys On Thursday IMO watch 2482 2490 and 2506 for a pullback
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    watching oil

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi EV .. I hit XLE this a.m per charts shown Nailed CUT – HEAR and short bonds . I am down slightly short the greenback But confident it will go my way. UUP back testing a broken up trend line and gap window. Volume today UUP not significant should be more for a continued advance
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    yeah talk about a rocket launch

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV It was a 9 – 1 day so should have continued upside. Ultimate target 2579
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Outside targets 2639 and 2657 at most
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV .. Watching XLE @58.09 and 60.36
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    exaquiri daquiri

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Also 61.54
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV Still Around ? This will really spook yo Bro ! Now I did not have a level at 2346 but had levels at 2325 and 2355- JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/ed15cc8e2bb0d7d71997f30f98f127fc153b4c0ac6b78210dd534265b64d596c.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV The Chief does not believe in Raff Regression…. AAPL hit Raff Regression also along with XLE on the nose !
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    3 4 7 9 14 21 24 27 31 all turn days

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV Still around? This will really spook ya Bro ! I did not have a level at 2346 but did have levels at 2325 and 2355 JULIE https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/af0a3b9a61dfc23d34409053cd485332ba682646c27ae41370d629a5b46d4dc5.png

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes

    CHINESE MILITARY JET ENTERED SOUTH KOREA AIR DEFENSE ZONE THURS: YONHAP

  • evilasevildoes

    2448, 2497, 2546, 2571, 2597, 2571, 2547, 2624, 2650, 2675, 2700, 2725,
    2751, 2751, 2778, 2804, 2830, 2856, 2883, 2909 and 2936. The master
    support levels for the S&P 500 Index are 2425, 2400, 2375, 2351,
    2327, 2302, 2289, 2255, 2221, 2198, 2174, 2148, 2125, 2100, 2081, 2055,
    2033, 2011, 1993, 1967, 1949, 1923, 1905, and 1879.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV That would closely match my outside targets 2639 and 2657 .. Have you ever used RSI (7) IMO better than RSI (5) on daily RSI (5) weekly is OK Always remember RS(4) at 84 look for a pullback
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    thx

  • TimeToPanic

    Do you mean for a further rally Julie? In England a pullback would mean downwards.

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho
  • Ronebadger

    Did anyone mention the VIX Step 2 Buy Signal yesterday?

  • http://www.captainboom.com/ captainboom

    I suggest you read the book, One Nation Under God – How Corporate America Invented Christian America, by Kevin Kruse for an accurate historical picture. Well documented.

    The Cliff Notes version, the US has never been a ‘Christian Nation’.

    On a personal note: Please keep it to trading here. I don’t come here to be proselytized to. Moderators, can we do something about this?

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    as in buy the VIX? or BUY the market?

  • Ronebadger

    Buy the market…we’ve been talking about these VIX signals for years…check out some old posts for the VIX Signal rules…can Anyone dig these up?

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    ok..yes I know – too much mulled wine for brain to get in gear

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    that old signal? it never works.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    for a price. Curators aren’t cheap Ya’know?
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    this isn’t your Father’s Oldsmobile Market.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    lottery numbers? seriously!
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    you don’t have to Yell.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    No.

    (LOL)

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    the whole index (enchiladas) link regarding VIX
    https://www.google.com/search?q=evilspeculator.com+VIX+buy+signal&rlz=1C1GGRV_enUS751US751&oq=evilspeculator.com+VIX+buy+signal&aqs=chrome..69i57j69i60l2.6319j0j9&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8&safe=active&ssui=on

    Bookmark it. I may not be around much longer.
    -GG

  • Darkthirty

    Was trading soybeans, signals on Friday said massive ramp. Loaded up long. Mississippi valley flooded Saturday/sunday……Did the signal cause the rain?

  • Sp00nman

    Wow.. you are totally responsible for the flood Saturday/Sunday.. At least be man enough to own up to it.. 😀

  • Darkthirty

    EW’s fault. The moral of the story is trading is a zen thing, do what works for you. Some talking head will come up with a reason for the move whether it is based in fact or not……………….

  • Ted
  • Ted

    TLT has regained all of yesterday’s lost ground.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Taking profits CUT – HEAR and XLE — Re enter above daily 5 ema’s. I did not have a position SPX
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Greenback short now working and in the black. Bonds (short) just below stop. … may get stopped out
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX goes below the 61.8% retracement approx 2396 could get ugly again. Chief mentioned same yesterday if no follow thru today. Need the bullish close above 5 ema which did occur yesterday. Wow … I have only 2 open positions .. Greenback short and bonds short
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    ..don’t forget the monthly averages, under the surface. not easily crossed.

    edit: and don’t forget the BPSPX, I mean – COME ON. be a Honeybadger.
    😉

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24BPSPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p34026304719

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Monthly 55 ema @2319 which meets a lower uptrend line connecting the 2011 and 2016 lows Dumps below that confluence not good. I have a level at 2325 closely matching and that was what I was watching . Perhaps GG there will be a test of this area 2319 – 2325
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I don’t have access to monthly charts at work.
    what is a 55 ema monthly? 238 weekly?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Monthly 55 ema @2319 Weekly 233 ema @ 2328 Very important level I have is 2325 GG This was my original target area 2319 – 2325 ..Could still happen
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    ema or sma, 233 is spot on. We have it’s range now.
    😉

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/dcaf7c30bea0d54ef923aff90b95dd5c852968dafb9e35b6ab4acd99a83f0820.png
    edit: load up your carbine.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Yup GG Now SPX going above 2439 today would be a positive for the bulls. 2439 is the 60 min Ichi Cloud baseline (21)which would signal a buy on the 60 min chart
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Miiss type 2439 is the 10 min Ichi Cloud baseline (21) not 60 min 60 min baseline (21) is 2425 MY BAD
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    look at the 2015/16 drops. sudden move down, and then futz around for weeks and weeks. then move back up.

  • TimeToPanic

    Do you work in that hourly/daily chart store? Heard it’s shit.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    It is! but they have an excellent 401K plan. {snort}
    😉

  • TimeToPanic

    It’s a lot of cash 401,000. Cheese galore.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX I feel like taking a short against 2443
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    feelings? really?
    that’s not like you.

    you’ve got all the indicators to tell you the truth.
    Can you handle the truth!?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG It’s a hedge on Bonds short … LOL! I am bout to be stopped out Bonds short .. Too much GG
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Julie – a day or so of consolidation is fine but it would need to start picking up tomorrow again.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I agree Chief … Yesterday was a momentum kickoff being a 9 – 1 day. Going to need follow thru soon tho or otherwise it was just short covering
    JULIE

  • ridingwaves

    I think weeks of consolidation with move to 2700 afterwards and back down to 2400….I used a combo of Julie, GG, HD, TTP, Spoonman, Ted, Catracho and Ronebadger to create an evil algo, I called it – Dancing with wall street wolves

  • TimeToPanic

    Do or die I think right now at 6106 for NQ. Pissed off the market gapped down, 6300 I would have escaped lightly. Come on bulls, BTFD.

  • evilasevildoes

    i just keep selling bounces lil scalps worked on RTY

  • evilasevildoes
  • Sp00nman

    Interesting thing is if we close lower we’ll probably end with a > 9 – 1 day to the downside..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • evilasevildoes

    6106 support NDX

  • evilasevildoes

    6083 now

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    crowded trade!
    no edge. no edge. bring-out-yer-dead.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Go against the crowd then !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    cat on a hot tin roof. RSI 48? don’t walk the fence girl.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    That’s what us Bears want GG An RSI below 50 !
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    6062

  • evilasevildoes

    ndx careful lil db

  • evilasevildoes

    flat

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX better bounce @ 2408
    JULIE

  • TimeToPanic

    Gold n silver looking perky. Silver leading indicates risk on normally.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX Maybe there stop running the people that bought the close yesterday. Rid the weak hands then up we go. I think that is what they are attempting
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’m thinking of starting a blog.
    “EmbracetheGrizzly.com”
    😉
    We’ll have scenic landscapes with occasional wild animals. Everybody will go to cash, and enjoy outdoor activities while the bankers jump.

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/93ea43d7f8a87c438dee8181787ba7e88cf83eacb7eea0cdd3fdc63175bc3a8b.png

  • evilasevildoes

    nice 34 ma?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • Ted

    Genius!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    only for Gold Members.
    tee hee.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    10/50/600 on the legend.
    you need glasses?

  • evilasevildoes

    I am in lol

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX A confirmation IMO a bullish close above 2474 with a bullish MACD signal line cross.. Needs to happen
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    ..RSI and birthdays.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    off-to-lunch!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I signed up for the 10% discount before January 1st
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    13%, got to stick with Fib numbers.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG Better make the cut off January 3rd then ! LOL!
    JULIE

  • evilasevildoes

    my 5 min pnf saying 2450 my 1 min 2413

  • evilasevildoes

    Art Cashin: “From the collapse of Lehman to the financial crisis bottom in March 2009, the S&P 500 rallied more than 4 percent on 13 different occasions

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    EV I have a level at 2452 and 2482. I am using 2474 as it is the daily Ichi Cloud conversion line (8) NOW important I posted previous threads a level also at 2415 which has been important today. 2422 is also a level that I posted previously. I believe Captainboom was using the levels for day trading and working out for him
    JULIE

  • TimeToPanic

    NQ since yesterday’s peak, possible falling wedge.

  • Sp00nman

    Ya big move in silver.. I remember a friend telling me about the “permanent portolio” a while ago and it’s an interesting balance of assets. Here’s a decent article for anyone interested: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4056395-permanent-portfolio

  • TimeToPanic

    Or just a falling knife.

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    a-b-c correction – A yesterday B today and C ….(up) tomorrow or Monday for year end? https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/de0b60f4c22345fb4c0c702a9b82b588ca345e9485767372f1cc0376634ce4b1.png

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho
  • TimeToPanic

    Possible, needs a decent close today, no waterfall.

  • TimeToPanic
  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Gonna have to post a comment cleaner tomorrow…

  • TimeToPanic

    What’s your record comment count boss?

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    AT least not breaking recent lows.. just breached 38.2 % Fib of yesterdays rally from the lows..

  • TimeToPanic

    Back in Blighty. Celebrated with a Cornish pasty on the train back to deepest Devon. Mmmm. Morocco is a shithole, only good friendship gets me back there, plus the golf in the winter.

    Any readers be kind enough to look at XAUGBP, as I have house sale monies to invest, but price has run up in the past month, just my luck. I’m thinking wait for pullback or buy the breakout if it comes.

  • Jason13

    I think a long between 2400-2385 is a good low risk try. Nibbling now.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    When do you announce the changes?

    I saw a preview of it by accident a few weeks back.
    Hey, don’t worry. Mum’s the word, and I support whatever your direction.
    -GG

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX The 61.8% retracement is mid channel drawn from yesterday’s high
    JULIE

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    There will be no changes here. Just working on a new place which will be used for marketing educational material. I may make them available for subs here as well but it’s going to be pretty low key and won’t interfere with what we’re doing here.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    I think we are getting close. We never had such a busy Christmas season and I never take this much time off without posting during the year!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Subs are flat though, so it’s mostly leeching. I should bring advertising since you bastards are too stingy.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • TimeToPanic

    I admire your diligence, but rest up, it’s Christmas time.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Don’t be a ZeroHedge, you’re too good for that.
    😉

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX nibbling long like Jason
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    well, looking at the 15min.
    it *is* halfway back.
    HD is the expert.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG mid channel and 61.8% retracement as posted below
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Oversold 60 min too
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    DRV, what a fight.

  • https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEx52bnnbLmh2dnV_Vyq1ErXT79LSU6pT xenoson

    nice hourly hammer candle in the making if this has legs

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Right at 2404 level too
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    Personally I’m still out awaiting a better re-entry.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    looked like a full reverse last night.
    now looking like Feb’s cluster.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Generally looking so far in here like a short covering continuation. If equites blast out likely to be very strong.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • Mark Shinnick

    ….Give Julie some serious competition.

  • TimeToPanic

    Well played you and Julie.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    You’re a smart guy.

    You realize DRV is just ‘another safe haven’ like GLD?

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9cabe664647ba1545e76efc8659b24e7d822ec4263624f99d561d19ff87eb61f.png

  • https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEx52bnnbLmh2dnV_Vyq1ErXT79LSU6pT xenoson

    lol

  • maxcherry
  • Jason13

    Should be another good bear squeeze til end of day tomorrow. I’m hoping to hold til then.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    no, it’s perfect.
    see the divergency?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Mole has a really nice advance/decline chart somewhere.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Hope is not a strategy!

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    There should be one more leg up GG
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’d love to join you.
    some ATM options expiring Friday sounds exciting!

  • Mark Shinnick

    I guess they share a similar real estate 🙂

  • TimeToPanic

    Ssshhh.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Hi Max Everything close to the vest
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Diversify, buy some gold!
    😉

  • maxcherry

    ok

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    [Insert vest cleavage-shot here]

  • maxcherry

    buy puts and calls near the money take the profit on one, wait a couple of days take the profit on the other.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Just us Evil speculators here, slitting throats taking booty. No need!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I think the options sellers do the same thing but inversed.

  • maxcherry

    sometimes seasonality does work

    maxcherry 9 days ago
    the day after Christmas, DEC 26th, is the best trading day of the year, being positive 31 of 38 times since 1950 in the spx

  • TimeToPanic

    I was right first time.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    “Never tell me the odds” – Han Solo

  • maxcherry

    yes but they have more risk

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    really? aren’t the premiums & volatility & Greeks all ‘jacked up’?

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX should intersect the upper down trend line approx 2482.2482 is a level that I have and posted previously
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • maxcherry

    sellers have unlimited risk, theoretically, anyway

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Julie,
    did you leave the Freezer open? what did your mother tell you?
    “we can’t afford to refrigerate the whole outdoors”

    I had to wear a windbreaker to lunch! At least it was sunny. 53. Brrrrrr.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/c8a4c51c5b6d85b564d81f326f59c1e9cf7268ff7b29ec197f78582f1bc4cf3d.png

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG All you have is a windbreaker ? Sheeesh ! How would you handle the snow and sub zero ? We love it ! Winter sports and activities. Ice skating tonight at the ponds ! Can’t wait GG
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    You’re right! What was I thinking??
    Time to up my game. Bears are in style ya’know?

    https://80steess3.imgix.net/Main-Headless/polar-bear-coat.main.jpeg?w=500&h=750&fit=fill&usm=12&sat=15&auto=format&q=60&nr=15

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG There are 3 ponds adjacent within the city. One is for hockey. 2 is for guys with gals. The 3rd is for guys meeting gals. A lot of fun GG!
    JULIE

  • Jason13

    High five Julie…so far good trade…first position for me 2402 on ES

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Jason the 61.8% pullback mid channel and oversold 60 min chart was my entry. We timed it nice Jason. Good trade Jason Holding 2404 level was important
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    you mean there’s no transgender ponds?!?
    😉

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Not in the Big Sky GG … Maybe CA but not here !
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    SPX next hurdle is 2482 level intersecting the upper downtrend line mentioned in post below. Must watch very important
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Yes closed above 2474 and 2482 with a bullish MACD signal line crossover … Yes ! Back to work Everyone Have A Great Rest Of Day !
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III
  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Check the Zero sig guys – this spike was mainly driven by institutional buy programs.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Year End. meh.

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    It ain’t over until Julie sings.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    LOL!
    edit: wait, was that a fat micro-insult?
    😉

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    Don’t tell her I said that or she’ll cut my allowance.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Friends with Chart benefits.
    edit: I’m not judging.
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    Hope for the best and prepare for the worst.

    Thomas Norton & Thomas Sackville (1536-1608)

    Kᴇᴇᴘ ʏᴏᴜʀ ᴇʏᴇs ᴏɴ ᴛʜᴇ sᴜɴ ᴀɴᴅ ʏᴏᴜ ᴡɪʟʟ ɴᴏᴛ sᴇᴇ ᴛʜᴇ sʜᴀᴅᴏᴡs.

    Aᴜsᴛʀᴀʟɪᴀɴ Aʙᴏʀɪɢɪɴᴇ Sᴀʏɪɴɢ

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    DOW daily – down trend still there..even if it gets above will be tough going up..sell the rips but pick your moment…

    one more leg up then new low to finish 5 waves down
    then a retrace – 60 % so sucks in bulls
    Then down big in spring

    speculative road map

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/e81d3cfd8efce63447e523548576fa2b33e72fb841a82718992090e707842520.png

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    3 months down, 3 months up.
    bears need to be stopped out. baby bulls need encouragement in.
    the human mind forgets fear after a while.
    target RSI 50.

  • evilasevildoes

    God Bless you Sir Mole always saving my ass

  • evilasevildoes
  • TimeToPanic

    2530 I think is the place to short, or just before. I’m home again, unpacking and charting and shopping tomorrow.

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I certainly wish I had my trading station at work.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/1a95e11743f1595a71b7ec49f2fe372ec20070a28c2e5779e7fa8a5e20d8b1f5.png
    Pull back to fan line, and Squeeze!
    You must must watch the futures to have an edge over the day slot.
    My 2 cents.

  • evilasevildoes

    i used pivot points to set off buy and sells …if you can check out statzmans running fib in wikiforum there awesome

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Woodie? Classic? or Cammarilla?

    https://www.pivotpointcalculator.com/

    I used to like them. Kind of strayed to other things.
    Frankly? I got tired of plugging in the damned numbers!!

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    is that a good box size? someone always hits me with that.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Julie, evil is burying you.
    a dozen charts!!

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes

    bwahhaaaaa
    look at that rsi

  • evilasevildoes

    ALWAYS for years loved your charts

  • evilasevildoes
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Yes.
    notice how it got under 30, and it looked like a bottom.

    NOPE. one more move down to 20 as a F’U grinch move.

    ‘Never go full retard’.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    not sure what this has to do with charting.

    Nice view?
    {smirk}

  • evilasevildoes
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    wait…you’re a stalker?

  • evilasevildoes
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    whoa. evil. evil. slow down.
    put a few words next to the charts.

    We can’t read your high functioning Asperger thoughts.
    =P

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    that. or you’re an experimental chat-bot from MIT!

  • evilasevildoes
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I just walked in the door .. Now home checking the blog … WHAT ! I have been upended on charts ! LOL! Good charts EV .Nolo Contendre ! .
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    all your fault. he’s gone nuts. too much HOliday liquor!
    😉

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    I’m off to dinner.

  • evilasevildoes

    she

  • evilasevildoes
  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Going to make dinner now. Elk steaks and salad with fresh green beans
    JULIE

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    well. that explains it THEN.
    I always thought evil was a she.
    that’s why god kicked her out of heaven,
    and into Hell’s kitchen.
    😉

  • evilasevildoes

    ahahaaa the rat race

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    for the record, it’s a Gerbil. big feet.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Do you keep them in the frig, or just leave them in the garage?
    =P

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes

    saying not doing….

  • evilasevildoes
  • evilasevildoes

    ANYONE WATCHING LIGHTS IN nyc?

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Gold.
    what if….after a few months of this ‘bear, no bear, bear’ crap.
    and a month of no food stamps, and yada yada.

    gold just went higher? two months. that’s all it would take.
    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/7f67e87cc641f54a9438c24dc71f2a85e9b209d89f2b69e5c5b36d2dbe22e3e9.png
    -GG

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    The price of a Big Mac is rising.
    Why shouldn’t a hunk of precious metal?

    https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2017/11/1/3948-1509552555842769.jpg

  • Sp00nman

    Certainly possible. Given the historical “trend” of gold, this certainly seems likely if it is a true form of money. Currency don’t last forever and always depreciate..

    With that said, what Gold has against it is it’s another form of “currency” like bitcoin, etc, which banks, governments, etc. do NOT want to challenge their own fiat currency. That’s the big problem with Gold. Some folks are looking for a move back to ~$900 which could be possible if things liquidate and TSHTF, but it certainly hasn’t been acting that way of late.. I’m still holding long but am torn between it being a short term trade and a longer term hold..

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    GG $GOLD is going up into very strong resistance … price and trend line. A pullback is a buy. Bullish daily chart. Weekly MACD moves above center line would be the icing on the cake
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    Guys SPX This rally could fail at this level.My stop is in place …Now or 2506 – 2519 could be it .. i am dead serious
    JULIE

  • Mark Shinnick

    a month of no food stamps…there’s a friggin mess.

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36

    I may bailout of my short bond position a.m
    JULIE

  • Julie 35 – 25 – 36
  • TimeToPanic

    I’m out of my NQ longs. A small loss much better than the large one I stared at on Christmas eve. Onward.

  • TimeToPanic

    Two key things re gold.

    It’s not money, it’s just an asset, Bernanke was correct.

    The ECB own a load of it on behalf of member states, they will endure the paper markets vanish very soon.

    All part of the plan, 5 figure gold within 5 years, but physical, not paper. New world.

  • TimeToPanic

    Interesting thoughts GG, thanks.

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/93ee432785f40887c056aeb3eeecc0b3580ff5c773f03738bd43c4c5b98d006a.png

    Might have a bit more in it..
    Just cos year end,
    plus a 62% retrace of decline from 3/12 is around 24200 so probably happens soon!

    But yes caution warranted – I’d rather sell strength than buy

  • evilasevildoes

    well done

  • TimeToPanic

    Great, back from holiday, fire up the laptop, nothing. Dead. Repair shop closed til 2nd. Brilliant.

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    gremlins

  • TimeToPanic

    A well stocked larder is a great hedge these days.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Yes… equipment failure….just one of the many gotchas of this business.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    Always have a backup plan

    Chromebooks are relatively cheap.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb
  • TimeToPanic

    Never heard of those.
    Have been thinking of upgrading, but don’t want windows 10.

    In other news, I bought some Feb 2350 SPX puts. Just a few.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    My kids use them for school.
    The only thing missing is a delete button.
    Everything is online or a school shared folder per classroom.

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    evilas should get psychedelic chart of the Year award.

    COMMENT CLEANER.

  • http://iberianviews.blogspot.com/ catracho

    alt-backspace= delete

  • http://gerb-reloaded.blogspot.com Gold_Gerb

    yeah, took me 10 minutes to figure that one out.
    I’m gettin old!

  • https://evilspeculator.com Sir Mole III

    ¤ø„¸¸„ø¤º°¨¤ø„¸¸„ø¤º°¨
    ¨°º¤ø„¸ N E W „ø¤º°¨
    ¸„ø¤º°¨ P O S T “°º¤ø„¸
    ¸„¸„ø¤º°¨¤ø„¸¸„ø¤º°º¤ø„¸

  • TimeToPanic

    It was a good comment thread, I’ll miss it.