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Top And Bottom Performing Stocks For Week #50

Top And Bottom Performing Stocks For Week #50

by The MoleDecember 10, 2017

I can’t believe it is Sunday afternoon again – how time flies! And once again it’s time to review the performance of last week’s historical top and bottom stock symbols in the S&P 500. As you may recall these symbols are the result of parsing a database containing over 50 years worth of statistical performance data. The idea is to extract the prospective top ten winners and losers of the coming week purely based on historical statistics. The result is then sorted by liquidity and any symbol that is scheduled to report earnings or pass ex-dividend is being excluded.

How To Trade Along

Although being no guarantor of success, the long and short candidates posted here each week are intended to perform along their respective historical bias. One way of trading along would be to simply create a small one-week portfolio by buying the long candidates and selling the short candidates on Monday morning shortly after the open. There are no official stops or targets and all transactions are reversed Friday afternoon right before the bell.

For anyone who wants to keep track I have created a new WP category that allows you to pull all pertinent posts up to date. Eventually I’ll be putting together a summary spreadsheet once we have accumulated sufficient stats.

Results For Week # 49

This week both the shorts and the longs ended in the green, netting us a respectable total profit of 33.03 relative percent, which means the return of the overall portfolio of 20 stocks is 1/20 of that, or 1.65%. Wohoo!!

Long Profits: TEVA=5.24, SYMC=-3.88, USB=0.84, FCE.A=-0.29, TER=1.0, NVO=0.27, ADSK=0.09, KIM=-1.14, RDN=3.78, DDR=-0.26

Long Profits Total:

Short Profits: CHK=10.02, S=8.88, CLF=6.01, JCP=4.17, CVS=2.7, NKE=-2.37, COG=3.24, WMT=0.82, HAL=-2.16, KR=-3.93

Short Profits Total: 27.38

Combined Profits Total: 33.03


Public Service Announcement

Now before we get to the candidates for this week a quick public service announcement which is that week #50 statistically speaking is the most bearish week of the year:


We are still in #49 as I’m writing this so this is why that bar is still highlighted. Starting Monday morning we are in week #50 and as you can tell from the graph it’s only slightly less bearish statistically speaking than week # 25 (sometimes in June). So watch your six this week!


Top 8 performing stocks for week #50

About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
Enjoyed this post? Consider a small donation to keep those evil deeds coming!

BTC: 1MwMJifeBU3YziDoLLu8S54Vg4cbnJxvpL
BCH: qqxflhnr0jcfj4nejw75klmpcsfsp68exukcr0a29e
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  • Sir Mole III

    Boy you guys are chatty today! 😉

  • Ronebadger

    You ain’t heard nothin’ yet…..literally….

  • Gold_Gerb
  • Sir Mole III

    I’ve seen this one before – it’s rare and should be gone on a reload. But if it happens again please let me know right away.

  • Sir Mole III

    Bitcoin futures are opening today!!!

  • Sir Mole III

    I’m kind of stunned how little interest there is in statistical trading. If I remember correctly our picks have been in the plus 10 times and down 3 times thus far.

  • Edgy

    Would you say there’s “lack of participation” in statistical trading? I believe I was just reading some post about lack of participation. I’ll have to dig it up and share… 😉

  • Julie

    Mole and Everyone. What is the scoop on Bitcoin ? ….. Have not been following. Can you buy shares or short it ? Now parabolic as shown by the vertical MACD on weekly and daily charts. I will short this MoFo with 1/10 of a share ! LOL ! What the F%$&. Shown weekly and daily charts. The daily chart is a line chart showing closing prices. A close below the lower channel dotted line on the daily chart IMO short it ! JULIE

  • MonkeyBusiness

    I am very interested in this trading strategy, as it works well for someone that cannot trade everyday and have little time to monitor the markets daily. Do you think this strategy can be improved by putting in a stop loss for each position of lets say 2%.

  • Julie

    Mole posts this every Sunday. He puts in a lot of hard work and I and everyone are extremely grateful

  • ZigZag

    Sorry, but The Crown season 2 came out this week. Damn you Netflix!

  • Sir Mole III

    It’s a statistical edge based on historical precedence. If you introduce a stop without understanding the MAE/MFE of each single symbol then you are most likely unwillingly affecting the odds. It’s not just one symbol or a pair trade in which you are able to factor in the excursions after a specific entry rule and then know what the optimal stop loss would be (again based on historical precedence). Also 2% may be fine on some symbols and may be too wide on others whilst being too small on yet another set of symbols. Every stock has its own ATR and you would have to measure that and then decide on your stop.

    In summary: yes, there are probably ways to modify the system but it’s not yet clear to me that a tight stop would be an improvement. It’s fair to set an emergency stop of course, e.g. 20% or so away in case of a major dislocation. But even then your shorts would benefit, right? As you can see a portfolio needs to be handled differently than a single system or a pair trade.

  • Sir Mole III

    Or maybe it’s because Sundays – still a bit of a downer.

  • Mary

    Hi Mole.

    I very interested in this but I currently trade an IRA so no shorts allowed.

    It would be interesting to see the results while only using symbols with weekly options.

    Rather than shorting stock, buying a deep ITM weekly put with a delta close to 1.00 could serve as a suitable proxy. Same with the calls side to keep it even. If the options are kept consistently at 10% ITM, then equal dollar amounts of all options should provide balance.

    If not enough symbols are available, then mayba a top/bottom five would suffice.

    Just my thoughts. Thank you for your efforts.

  • Mary

    Another thought about (seemingly, but not necessarily) low interest …

    On Monday mornings you usually post your main thread of the day. I think that draws most of the posting activity and the Sunday night thread doesn’t get the exposure because of that.

  • pete

    I love this stuff, Mole. Just the day job has been keeping me super busy going into end of year.

  • Ronebadger

    There’s always short/bearish ETFs

  • Ronebadger
  • Gold_Gerb

    Bomb in NYC? 1 injury – bomber himself.

    {yawn} nothing new under the sun.

  • Mark Shinnick

    Pieces of the wagon’s ill-fated horse landed hundreds of yards away

  • Gold_Gerb

    I’m sure some food vendors profited mightily that day.

  • Mary

    Mole’s picks for the top/bottom 10 are always stocks.

  • BobbyLow

    The bomber is probably pissed off because he’s still alive. No virgins for him.

  • Mary

    BTW there are single stock futures, but there appears to be no volume. How have they survived this long?

  • Gold_Gerb

    I’m curious too A) time of residency in the U.S. B) nationality C)Ethnic slant.

    but hey, if we can sweep the largest shooting in Vegas (if not the country), under the rug, what’s a little pipe bomb? right?

  • HD

    total volume /XBT 2900 contracts. what a huge miss on demand for BTC futures

  • StockTalker

    Look at the obvious, that tail on /NDK. Short this market, W3 about to begin.

  • Gold_Gerb
  • Gold_Gerb
  • Sir Mole III

    I just threw up a little…

  • Sir Mole III
  • Mark Shinnick

    HS…too funny..this logical fallacy can’t possibly be serious ??