Trouble In Paradise
Everything but the U.S. Dollar seems to be ramping higher these days. Bitcoin is back over $19k with HODLERs projecting it to be at $30k sometime next year. The smugness in the crypto waterholes I monitor is literally oozing out of everyone’s pores.
Which is AWESOME as the big smack down is most likely just around the corner.
Having been around the block a few times and being a cantankerous old cynic in general I mused and in yesterday’s email update (make sure you’re on my list) that making money ‘should never be this easy’.
Quite on the contrary, it should feel uncertain and scary as hell every step on the way up. Remember the old aphorism ‘bull markets climb the wall of worry’?
Well that’s not exactly the sentiment I sense out there right now. It’s more like along the lines of ‘we are all f…ed so let’s make some FU money before the world falls apart.’
That’s the kind of investor sentiment that usually ends up in tears.
It’s also worth pointing out that the ‘new normal’ as they now call it has the VIX in a holding pattern near 21 while equities are scraping new all times highs on almost a daily basis.
And then there’s this which henceforth should be known as the ‘long walk of 2021’. Meaning consistent contango in the VX futures all the way from January into May after which we see a flattening and then finally backwardation into August.
So what to do about it? Stupid question – turn it into coin of course!
In order to demonstrate what I have in mind let’s go back one day when I posted this chart in the email update which most likely you didn’t read and therefore missed out on a YUGE entry opportunity.
The basic take away was that we’d be seeing a pretty big move in the EUR/USD in a short order and I suggested to get positioned accordingly (either down or up). Well, I did both via my patent pending ‘hammock options strategy’.
J/K – it’s not patent pending, just a creative contraption that allows you benefit from large moves without getting killed by theta burn should it take longer than you think.
Anyway, this is the trade I took out – a backratio that printed some mighty coin just a day later when the EUR/USD unfortunately busted higher as if juiced by rocket fuel.
I say unfortunately because I happen to reside in Europe but earn in U.S. Dollars. Which means life is getting more expensive here for me on a daily basis.
But that’s neither here nor there. What matters is that I could have held this cheap little back ratio all the way into early January without losing much of my debit.
However any big moves – which were almost baked in – had the potential of printing extraordinary gains.
Such is the power of trading options.
Which is why I keep scratching my head over people who insist on guessing direction and losing large amounts of their trading capital doing it. But to each his/her own I guess.
Now having set the stage so to say let’s talk about the ‘future’ – meaning what shenanigans we can employ to profit from this big IV spike the VX futures appear to be anticipating:
It's not too late - learn how to consistently trade without worrying about the news, the clickbait, the daily drama and misinformation. If you are interested in becoming a subscriber then don't waste time and sign up here. The Zero indicator service also offers access to all Gold posts, so you actually get double the bang for your buck.
Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.
By the way, speaking of trading options…
Why should you buy it?
Most option traders already know how to create and place a butterfly spread as modern platforms like ThinkOrSwim make the basic mechanics fairly easy.
What the majority of traders however do NOT know, and where most of the educational material you find on the topic fails to deliver, is how to MAXIMIZE your edge by constructing a fly that has high odds of banking any coin come expiration day.
So once again I dug deep and started producing a course that not only teaches you the basics of how to analyze and place a butterfly. Much more importantly it introduces you to a comprehensive systemic approach for trading butterflies successfully while conveying important fundamentals related to trading options that will accompany you for the remainder of your trading career.
Months of hard work culminated in the most comprehensive guide to trading butterfly spreads profitably you are going to find.
So get off the damn fence and buy it now!