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Wednesday Wrap Up
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Wednesday Wrap Up

by The MoleMarch 18, 2009

Good day for the Zero again – believe it or not – despite the crazy tape:

Early in the morning Zero Lite got us short to ride the sucker drop down. It was pretty clear to me that this wouldn’t last and the sudden rise above zero at 10:50am EDT confirmed that. Since then we’ve been wiggling around but never broke strongly below the zero line. We did test below for a few minutes but it always swung back. Watch the signals explode at 2:15pm EDT at the Fed announcement – boy – I’m glad I wasn’t caught on the short end of the stick for that one.

I did ride the tape down from 800 as that was close to one of today’s RLs and I knew that the MMs would whip us before the close. I was quick to swap positions back to long when we bounced off the upper boundary of the price channel (not shown in this chart – but I’m sure you can see it) and Zero Lite began to point back up. Technically that was a violation because the signal only briefly dropped below zero and snapped back up – well, I’m taking my liberties sometimes (which has backfired – usually I don’t). If you stayed long all the way then you ended up in nice profits, especially since the futures kept crawling up after the close.

Dang, what a crazy day. I need a break now rats – probably will chime in later.

Cheers,

Mole


About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
Enjoyed this post? Consider a small donation to keep those evil deeds coming!

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  • de3600

    goldman 20 day boy this looks intresting http://www.screencast.com/users/reggiebar/folde

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    It was a great day for me with the help of Zero Lite.

  • Susannah

    Zigzag, I wanted to thank you again for your TLT and $TNX charts! They came true, and you kept me out of some trouble.

  • Lordted

    Have downloaded Jing – succesfully saved a chart but am trying to get a link to past into the room…Can anyone tell a simple sole like myslef how to do it??

    Ta in advance

  • molecool

    Do tell! How did you play it?

  • lester

    there may be hope for FAZ Bears. Max Pain is 45 to 60. Even 45 woul be a gift.

  • Mr. L

    I wouldn't look to max pain for something like that in this market. The big parts of the market are dragging the way they want to, FAZ is a small, dependent security. Now SPY at 75 is interesting to me, at least.

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    I will post in detail when I go home.

    I was going nuts today but made some coins and that's what counts at the end. lol

  • Keirsten

    When you save the chart, it gives you the option (one of the little icons) that will let you publish it to the web. Right after that it will flash a message pop-up with the link, and from there you can grab the link and voila. G/L, can't wait to see what you have. πŸ™‚

  • slartybardfast

    Not sure exactly where you are up to in the process, but if you defined the image (measured it up with crosshairs on your screen), and have then captured it, then you need to press the button that uploads it to screencast.com.

    Once you have done all that, Jing will automatically copy the address onto your computer's clipboard, so you simply need to paste it into your comment here (e.g. crtl-p. or go to the edit menu in your browser, and choose “paste”).

    Hope that helps. Otherwise, the help center is here: http://help.jingproject.com/

  • ablebonus

    Check Setser. He says foreigners have quit buying long bonds. If the market wakes up to this as the reason behind Ben's buying…
    http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2009/03/18/a-bit-mo

  • Lordted

    Done Jing… Thanks to myself.. LOL

    http://www.screencast.com/users/Plug21/folders/

    First chart posted so can't expect as work of art.

    Top of the chanel today. So short one contract. No hurry to load up if it is the top. Would really ilke to see a Butterfly pattern up here to confirm.

  • http://jadedapprentice.com JadedApprentice

    based on the fact that TBT was able to make a partial recovery, I'd say there are more than a few people playing that angle.

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    Here is how i did today.

    I will get you guys more info how I used Zero lite today to gain +31.22 handles

    Today’s total is 34.47 – 3.25 current position = +31.22 handles.

    This is my open position right now and I am down 3.25
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1209.0029 minutes ago from web

    -5.75 Handles [+40.22 – 5.75 = +34.47]

    β€’ Covered /NQM9 @1206.75 – stop hit37 minutes ago from web
    β€’ Short again /NQM9 @1201.00about 1 hour ago from web

    +18.25 Handles [+22 + 18.25 = +40.22]

    β€’ Covered /NQM9 @1200.75about 1 hour ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQ @ 1219about 1 hour ago from web

    -2 Handles [+24 – 2 = +22]

    β€’ Out of Long /NQ 1219about 1 hour ago from web
    β€’ Long /NQ 1217about 2 hours ago from web

    +1.25 Handles [+22.75 + 1.25 = +24]

    β€’ Sold /NQ 1218.25about 2 hours ago from web
    β€’ Long /NQM9 @1217.00about 2 hours ago from web

    +9.25 Handles [+13.50 + 9.25 = +22.75]

    β€’ Covered /NQ @ 1210.00about 2 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1219.25about 2 hours ago from web

    -13.25 Handles [+26.75 – 13.25 = +13.50]

    β€’ Covered /NQM9 @1212.25about 2 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1199.00. did you guys see that jump. Damn. I wish didn't had this working order. anyways staying short.about 2 hours ago from web

    +1.75 Handles [+25 + 1.75 = +26.75]

    β€’ Covered /NQ @ 1196.25about 2 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1198.00about 3 hours ago from web

    +5.25 Handles [+19.75 + 5.25 = +25]

    β€’ Sold /NQM9 @1199.50about 3 hours ago from web
    β€’ Long /NQM9 @1194.25about 3 hours ago from web

    +3.5 Handles [+16.25 + 3.5 = +19.75]

    β€’ Sold /NQ @ 1197about 3 hours ago from web
    => Long /NQ @ 1193.50

    +1.25 Handles [+15 + 1.25 = +16.25]

    β€’ Long /NQM9 @1193.50about 4 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1194.75about 4 hours ago from web

    -3.75 Handles [+18.75 -3.75 = +15]

    β€’ Cover /NQM9 @ 1197 – stop hitabout 4 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1193.25about 4 hours ago from web

    +8.5 Handles [+10.25 + 8.5 = 18.75]

    β€’ Sold /NQM9 @1193.50about 4 hours ago from web
    β€’ Long /NQM9 @1185.25about 5 hours ago from web

    +2.75 Handles [+7.5 + 2.75 = +10.25]

    β€’ Cover /NQM9 @1185.25about 5 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1188.00about 5 hours ago from web

    +4 handles [3.5 + 4 = +7.5]

    β€’ Sold /NQM9 @1187.25about 5 hours ago from web
    β€’ Long NQ 1183.25about 6 hours ago from web

    +3.5 handles

    β€’ Cover /NQM9 @1183.50about 6 hours ago from web
    β€’ Short /NQM9 @1187.00about 7 hours ago from web

  • http://www.triathlontrading.com TriathlonTrader

    Any FAZ/FAS holders check out the research this guy did on these ETFs.

    http://x3etfhell.blogspot.com/

    click on the FAS/FAZ Spreadsheet link on the left hand margin.

  • ZigZag

    Hi Susannah,

    That TNX signal was the strongest one I had ever seen…What I need now, is that darn VIX signal to start working it's mojo. πŸ™‚

  • Yux

    I will post this again – just to show what happened when Bank Of England started their bond buying.

    http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/878

  • LeTrader

    Thanks for the “short-cut” instructions.

    I didn't know that you can use the “paste” button for the link.

    I have always been logging into screencast.com, after capturing the image, and then find the picture and use the “share” button to find the link…lol

    Live and learn something new everyday…

  • http://jadedapprentice.com JadedApprentice

    Would love to see 45 myself but that implies price action that so far has eluded us – with C not wanting to stay down under 3 and BAC solidly in 7 territory, it would take one hell of a momentum shift now.

  • Lordted

    You're a busey little bee

  • prozor7

    Zero was great today it show that something wasn't right, save me a lot of money because I didn't trade.

    here is my post from today, it was couple of minutes after XLF bounce from 8.50:
    I'm watching zero lite and for the first time zero lite pointing down but XLF is going up, something is wrong here!
    I'm not putting my money in to this πŸ™‚
    XLF usually took about 3-4 minutes to follow zero lite but not today.
    look now at the channel that mole draw on 0 XLF is holding 8.72-3

    erikd (thx erikd) said that XLF was leading the market, 15-20 minutes later market was exploding.

    hoping this observation will help someone in the future.

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    Ya i was going nuts all day long. Anyways day after tomorrow is my last day at this job so hardly working. LMAO

  • Mr. L

    Possible seven wave corrective count, correct me if I'm wrong:

    http://www.screencast.com/t/yu4oEXzl

  • Tecla

    Agreed, so far the zero is the most useful tool I've subscribed to. When my belief doesn't mesh with what it's showing it helps me snap out of my “certainty”. Today it helped me switch to the long side after getting stopped out BE on the morning push down. When the lite didn't make a lower low I figured it was probably time to jump in long. The The lite is especially helpful. I don't play the longer trends and the there and gone signals of zero grande can put me off balance sometimes, I generally only follow them after the bar has closed as watching the signal flip flop flip puts me off my game. I do find the line portion of it somewhat useful for seeing divergences.

    Your explanation of the mole4 has been helpful. I am assuming it figures volume into the equation sort of like an upvol downvol summary. What does the center line of it mean though? And also, at times I have seen the red line creep above zero, I'm not sure what to make of that.

    Lastly the commentary and drawn objects you put on the chart is very helpful. I don't have the time to update charts while at work so having someone else do it is great.

  • Lordted

    Thanks Keirsten.. Dig the cat (if it is a Cat?)

  • Lordted

    Thanks you…. What a motley crew of characters we look like in this icon pics.. Glad i picked one of Father Christmas in civies for mine.

  • slartybardfast

    I should have clarified…. That's what Jing does on it's Mac version. I assume it is the same thing across other platforms too. G/L.

  • slartybardfast

    Sorry m'lord, that link isn't working πŸ™

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    What do you do after this job? Full time trading – I dream to do that too

  • Keirsten

    yep- cat eating a snow cone. πŸ™‚ And you're very welcome.

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    That day is not yet come. I am going to start a new job on 30th March.

    I will be full time trader for 1 week. hehehe

  • http://www.ryanbarr.com Covered (kzhat)

    Waffle, I'd love to know how you use the ZLite to trade. I did pretty well today as well – nothing close to 32 points. I'm trading /ES, but enjoy /NQ as well.

  • molecool

    Nice trading – looking forward to some charts + info.

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    I was without a job back in Oct when the plunge was happening… I kept trying to catch knives sitting at home… it was quite painful catching knives full time… I am on west coast.. .So, I try to actively monitor till 8am… then multi-task dayjob and monitoring (sometimes on my cell phone) till 1pm and then work hard to finmish job related activities till 5pm to go back to my wife and my daughter…

    I am quite confident that in another year I will not have a full time job and will be trading full time… I have gotten the lesson of risk and money management quite well and will use that to the best effect till this volatility lasts.

    ________________________________

  • Mr. L

    Number of technicals topping out on the $SPX daily:

    http://www.screencast.com/t/Xg88JfgMd

    Slight retreat after:
    Touched top of BB
    Touched 50D MA

    Overboughts:
    Stoch overbought
    Williams R overbought

    Up vol/dn vol:
    Another significant up accumulation day, about 9:1

    Retracement to 750 expected (middle of BBs, would get market back from overboughts)

  • http://www.oxyinvestor.com oxyinvestor

    Initiated a decent-size FAZ position here. Before you down that (well-deserved) drink tonight, take a look at this.

    http://www.oxyinvestor.com/2009/03/another-look

  • Keirsten

    Using Jing minimally right now because I suspect it has been part of my computer problems. Anyway.. I've been testing the Aroon and thought I'd share some observations on the SPY.

    GS Daily:
    http://tinyurl.com/c4znwy

    SPY Daily W/Aroon U/D
    http://tinyurl.com/dkcmf8

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    Set your daily target and if you can make 15-18 handles a day it's not bad
    at all. I lost 100% of my investment in 2008 so I paid a high fees for the
    education. I always use stop and trailing stop. Even if you make 2 or 3
    handles a trade you are booking your profit I am not greedy so if i can make
    15 -20 handles a day i am a happy camper. lol.

  • http://jadedapprentice.com JadedApprentice

    as a holder of FAZ myself, I like your logic but I think the likely pullback won't last long and the trendline you highlight will be cleanly broken soon enough.

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    I will be posting a video explaining how I made this trades.

    cheers!!

  • chemE

    Max Pain has not been working well lately. Don't trust it. I'd be happy with 40 at this point.

  • Osso

    Me thinks that the most amazing (= unpredictable) event after the Fed announc. was the revenge move in Gold/Goldstocks as an Inflation effect / US$ devaluation effect was clear message of the Buying Treasuries back policy. My works have Gold correcting around this time of season ( maybe a bit later)…into May. It did amaze me that it was at one point very close to Lower BBand…..and above a previous 86.00 low….but never thought that this technical set up (which may have called for a long), was going to trigger such a move. I was planning on buying Gold quite lower indeed……but seems once again its going to be negated.
    Will be watching GDX at 35.50, which is the broken uptrendline…to figure out if there is some pullback…..

  • LeTrader

    Can't wait to see it, T.Waffle!

    Thanks for sharing your experience with us.

  • LeTrader

    Works the same on a PC.

    Just tested it.

  • Henny

    “A five-wave decline from October 2007, Primary wave 1 (circle), bottomed on March 6 at 666 “

    – EWI via Kenny

  • MayDaze

    Someone posted somewhere that Jing activated his firewall program's malware warning. Just FYI, FWIW.

  • LeTrader

    Mole,

    For those of us that didn't get to follow Zero very long (it was like 2-3 days for me) and now with Zero light included, would you consider putting together a tutorial on how to use both?

    I know when I was observing Zero, for those 3 days, it was always printing “indecision” marks so I didn't know what to make of it.

    Seeing the success of people using these two tools in combination, it would be great if there is some instructions for newbies that are not sure how to apply them.

    Thanks!

  • Lordted
  • Keirsten

    Thanks May. I suspect my system is not a happy camper with it running, so I'm only using a non-trading machine with it from here on out.

  • http://www.triathlontrading.com TriathlonTrader

    how do we find Kenny? I cannot find my link. thanks!

  • alphahorn
  • alphahorn

    he's looking for a pullback from here to 720

  • ZigZag

    Well, my charts from yesterday didn't pan out very well today. Shit, I mean, news happens.

    SPX new lows by next week
    http://tinyurl.com/dyl2wl

    SPX hit the 55 ema today
    http://tinyurl.com/cwage6

    BTW, I kicked BKX in the nuts today, apparently he was wearing a cup. πŸ™‚

  • Susannah

    Zigzag, I was wondering what the difference is between your chart for the SPX and the one Eric_in_sfl (sorry if I butchered the username) posted? The targets are quite different. Was his the target for the current wave and yours is for the next one?

  • http://www.oxyinvestor.com oxyinvestor

    That is definitely possible. But I'm not wedded to my FAZ, and at this time do not plan to hold it for more than a day.

  • Fujisan

    Here is my update on DNX and SPY.

    As SPY is getting into a major resistence area both horizontally and vertically (i.e., 50 day SMA, the upper edge of the current downward channel, Feb 17 gap), I am expecting a pullback tomorrow, but I'm not sure if SPY is trying to fill the gap from Feb 17 before moving downward. Any comments?

    SPY:

    http://www.screencast.com/users/Fuji-san/folder

    NDX:

    http://www.screencast.com/users/Fuji-san/folder

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    Hey ZZ: how are you playing the SPX chart…

    The financials were amazingly strong in this bounce back… The candidates to ride down are again banks, financials, oil/energy, small cap, tech… what are you playing… what are your current positions.

  • fa_q

    A very good point from one of Karl's threads. This is Halloween 2007 part 2. You can look up the charts at the aftermath of the pump after the Fed announcement on that day. I'm short from 775 and 795. I wish I had seen that before or I would have loaded up more at 795 – thinking about adding here at 790. If this chart plays out even half as nice as that one it will be quite a payday.

  • salvadorveiga

    Attention… Elliott Wave International is now within the Primary 2 scenario…

  • salvadorveiga

    According to them we're indeed in green scenario…

  • Lordted

    http://www.screencast.com/users/Plug21/folders/

    Here's my S&P offering – notice a lot here like indicators so added a few of those… We hit 127.8 Extension on that 800+ so good reason to try short.

  • http://www.ryanbarr.com Covered (kzhat)

    Sounds good, thanks T. Waffle

  • http://www.ryanbarr.com Covered (kzhat)

    Hey what is your twitter name? I noticed that “from web” as the twitter posting πŸ™‚

  • slartybardfast

    Great, thanks!

  • http://jadedapprentice.com JadedApprentice

    Take a look at this: http://adamsoptions.blogspot.com/2009/03/citi-n

    “Bottom line: if you want to buy C stock for whatever reason, put on a June conversion instead, you're almost $1 ahead of the game.” – That's PER SHARE

    Or buy the preferred. According to the WSJ, “Last Friday, one Citi 8.125% Series AA preferred security could be bought for $12, but was exchangeable for a fixed 7.3 shares of common stock valued at $13. Now, the preferreds are valued at $13, but 7.3 shares of common are $22.” (Actually based on after-hours pricing it's more than $23)

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123739700104873

  • Zeusmith

    I have a thousand at 28.99. I don't think I'll ever play that turd again after this time. Way too volatile for my liking.

  • http://www.oxyinvestor.com oxyinvestor

    I'm posting this on Slope, Xtrends & Mole's site:

    Two weeks ago, when thing were at the nadir, I asked in Mole's site what the Govt could do to take the market higher. There were a few answers like M2M, Uptick rule, etc. But the big boost came from unofficial/unaudited bank results (if you can call it that) & Fed's moves today.

    Now it's time to flip the question around, and ask what will be the triggers to take the market down from here. The purpose is not to divine the exact trigger, but to be prepared to recognize it should it happen & have an action plan. Here is my take:
    1. USD crashes against other currencies
    2. Foreign governments (China, Russia) which bought US Treasuries see an opportunity and start dumping their holdings on Ben
    3. Morgan Stanley's results not meeting expectations
    4. Bank results next month 'really' stink
    5. Geithner resigns (I remember Liddy saying the Treasury knew about the AIG bonus 2 weeks ago, while Obama said Geithner knew about it only last week)

  • fa_q

    How about #6) Violent correction after 20% gain in 7-8 days.

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    When I decide to short this market, here is what I intend to get into – all April calls:

    FAZ 30 or SKF 125 – most likely SKF is a better play
    SRS 65
    TZA 65 – I have to check and compare if TWM is a better play
    QID 55 or SDS 90 – I have to check which will give better mileage
    VIX 50

    I may enter one or more of the above based on the potential downside in these individual markets/sectors. Also, even if all we go down to is 730 (50% retracement of the move up), these options (except VIX) should all give very good returns.

    On the ride up from abyss (when we get there), the best plays IMO are OTM puts on SKF, FAZ, SRS, TZA, SDS (ultra inverse ETFs which have a high $$$$ value)…

    On a side note, I strongly believe that FAS will be a penny stock once we hit the abyss. TNA should be sub-$5 and BGU, ERX should be in single digits. These thoughts are for those who are looking to short the ultras instead of going long the inverse-ultras.

  • Zeusmith

    Good read thx.

  • victorberry

    Mole … You and T.K. are the best bloggers I've found on the world wide web … absolutely without a doubt the BEST! Why? Because when the market behaves badly, you guys don't run off and hide like some other bloggers I shall not name. You own up to the setbacks, reassess the situation, and forge ahead with a new plan of attack.

    In particular, I very much appreciate you presenting multiple prediction scenarios which could play out. Then, it's up to the readers to do their own research and decide which way to go. It seems too many people are just trying to find a successful trader to copy from.

    Anyway, the only concern is that too much bear market bias may cause some to ignore a huge bear market rally in order to maintain a bear's purity of essence. Why not take advantage of what the market is giving, become a temporary bull, and ride the rally rocket up. When the Fibonacci's, retracement levels, chart patterns, intuition, etc say the top of the wall of worry has been reached, then change back into a full-time bear and profit all the way back down the slope of hope.

  • http://www.investingwithoptions.com/ steveplace

    Hey I'm hosting a stock and option happy hour, live video session if any of you are interested: http://bit.ly/zdu4i

    I know a lot of guys liked it last week, so I'm reposting.

  • BalaB

    Sorry, Couldn't do a video. Only audio.

    Audio Recording: http://www.screencast.com/users/BalaB/folders/D

    TICK Charts
    http://content.screencast.com/users/BalaB/folde

    Fibs & Today's Price Action
    http://www.screencast.com/users/BalaB/folders/D

  • http://jadedapprentice.com JadedApprentice

    this reads to me like to polar opposite of the bullish irrational exuberance we saw a year ago when the perma-bears were buying on the dip, but good luck with that investment thesis…

  • BigHouse(Aka Mr Vix)

    I cant believe Obama is on TV giving another rally speech now .Good god this has to stop.

  • BalaB

    My Eyes!! Their Burning!!!!! Damn You Multiple Lines!!!

    j/k….Looks good Fujisan

  • Fujisan

    I got it wrong yesterday and now I am posting this one more time…..

    Yes, VIX has closed below 200 day SMA today for the first time since Sep 3rd!

  • LeTrader

    Balab,

    Try Camstudio.

  • JohnyWalker

    Yes and the nasdaq has been in it for about 2 days now.

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    I will wait patiently for the market to reveal its cards and then start scaling in… Nothing is too risky… just depends on how you manage the risk

  • BalaB

    cool…let me give it try…Thx!

  • darely

    While the USD will likely weaken a little more after maybe a small bounce after today, #1 and #2 seem highly improbable considering most other countries are in a similar situation. Most countries (including China and Russia) do not want to see the USD plunge. They may not buy any more US treasuries in the short term, but it isn't in their interest to dump them either.

  • BigHouse(Aka Mr Vix)

    Looks like the boys at EWT say that low back at March 6 is just wave 1 of (5) and the current rise is wave 2 of (5), But we would have to drop down now and fast for this to play out. Guess this is a lotto alternate.

  • de3600

    It will my friend might take till sept but this economy is screwed.Take it from me I have had a family business for 30 years and this will be the last year.It has been thru recession's before but nothing like this.I already put in the paper work to dissolve the inc

  • http://www.pikertrader.com pikertrader

    I've been thinking this too. I think MS results not meeting expectations wont bring the market down hard, I think we need a fundamental shift in the economy, so USD crashing and China starts selling bonds.

  • de3600

    Never underestimate the power of the force πŸ™‚

  • http://www.pikertrader.com pikertrader

    I would love a drop but i posted this on my site http://www.pikertrader.com we have now broken resistance could this be new support, or was this just a fake out. I am leaning towards a fake out, but its hard to tell. We broke out with a good amount of volume today too. We still have the Friday Opex trickery to deal with this week too!

  • http://www.pikertrader.com pikertrader

    Yeah I saw that too, we could see it back to the 30's soon. If this happens its time to load up on puts!

  • Osso

    Gold down to 92……ah….

  • katzo7

    BigHouse, that doesn't make sense to me. How could the low be 1 of (5)? Unless there will be lower lows, it cannot be a 1? 3ows ike that are always 3s or 5s.

  • Osso

    any link…??? its confusing the labelling…..

  • Count_de_Monee

    Black swan dinner anyone?

    How about

    #7) Geopolitical surprise – like a major terrorist attack, break up of Pakistan, war with India, war in Middle East, (Israel/Ian/Lebanon), collapse of Ukraine/war with Russia, assassination of major figure (Pope, US/EU Presidents, etc)

    or

    #8) Collapse of big systemic player (like AIG). Revolt of citizens who start to refuse to pay taxes for more bailouts, protest marches, social unrest, etc

  • salvadorveiga

    No… are you talking about EWInterntational ? They say 666 was wave 5 of V of Primary 1 and we are now indeed in primary 2.

  • Iguanadon

    The wave 1 being referred to by EWT is the wave that started in Oct 2007 and could have just ended on March 6th (17 months) Wave 2 will last 4-6 months, then wave 3 down from there likely to be devastating.

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    Whoa… good god.. I wonder what 3 of (5) has in store… ouch… and I cant even imagine where 5 of (5) would end…

  • JohnyWalker

    They are saying it is a “less likely” alternative at this point their primary count is that this is primary 2 , and based on the nasdaq that is mine too.

  • BigHouse(Aka Mr Vix)

    He said these are “less-likely alternates”.

  • BigHouse(Aka Mr Vix)

    yes i just added that below. Thats why i said Lotto alternate.

  • Peasant

    They are saying that March 6th was end of minor wave 5 which completed intermediate wave 5 of primary wave 1 of C.

    Wave A was from March 2000 to October 2002
    Wave B was from October 2002 to October 2007
    Wave C was from October 2007 to ????

    A guideline for the length of Wave C is 1.618 times the price movement of Wave A. That would equal a 1270 point drop from the October 2007 high for SPX which means the end of C would be around 306 probably sometime in 2010 or 2011.

    IF March 6th was the end of primary wave 1, a guideline for the price movement of primary wave 2 is a 38% retracement of primary wave 1 which would put it around 1016. A 50% retracement would put the SPX at 1122.

  • BigHouse(Aka Mr Vix)

    http://www.intrade.com/?request_operation=main&

    Tim Geithner to depart as Secretary of the Treasury before midnight ET on 30 Jun 2009

    Price went from 8 to 12 in less than a week.

  • salvadorveiga

    oh ok thanks… i havent read everything yet… just saw the Bottom line… wow if that were to happen 5 of 5 would be going underground… -300 in SPX perhaps ? πŸ™‚

  • de3600

    For what its worth this is one big ass channel up and down to 400

  • ZigZag

    Hi Susannah,

    Yes…Everything I was looking at yesterday was saying the top was in..He was starting the count from the bottom up, and I look at previous peaks in the charts to find counts that give good odds. Most times the targets end up being correct, so I just wait them out for a while..

    BTW, I also have a strong ZZ pattern to go along with that impulse wave chart that I just posted. This one is just as strong as that TNX chart. As long as the SPX stays below $805 I think we will test $666 next week..
    http://tinyurl.com/cjulbt

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    Check your email Molecool.

    Cheers!

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    Guys,

    I uploaded 2 videos and tried my best to explain how I was able to make some coins today.

    http://www.screencast.com/t/KjaerSHbBdw
    http://www.screencast.com/t/SDHwePcLRyg

    TIA Cheers!!

  • fuzzygreysocks

    Forgive my EW noobie @$$, but lemme get this straight:
    EWI is stating that $SPX 665 MAR 6 was the end of Primary 1?
    (We'll re-work the 1-2-3-4-5 count don later.)
    And that Primary 2 is now on?

    Also, by Peasant's numbers below, Primary 2 should retrace between 38% of Primary 1 around $SPX 1016 and a 50% retracement around $SPX 1122?
    http://tinyurl.com/cpdowg

  • Zeusmith

    Bernanke sure is playing a dangerous game intervening in the treasury market the way he is. I find it worrying that he would have to do this – shows me that foreign demand for bond is waning. Of course, foreigners will just unload them on the Fed at inflated prices. The FED may temporarily be able to hold rates down, but this intervention never works in the long run. What has American capitalism come to?

    All I know is that the economy is going to get real ugly in a couple years when the yield curve implodes and inflation takes hold. The FED will succeed at this no doubt. But then, who is going to be able to afford to buy anything? tThe index that measures new jobs created is at an all-time low, and wage growth has been stagnant for over a decade despite real inflation running close to 10%. Imported goods prices are going to skyrocket when the dollar capitulates. The stock market should perform pretty well in this environment but only because unlimited fiat money is propping everything up. The middle class will be completely destroyed in 5 years.

  • Trav

    At this point?

    to turn this mkt around? It looks increasingly like the USD and the markets are being fused.

    The market will turn when bonds begin to collapse. At that point, however, the money you earn will be losing value along with the sovereign bonds.

    Printing like the Fed is about to start is always the last resort. Businesses will certainly continue to fail but in nominal terms, who the hell can say what the true price is of anything?

    We've suspended every accounting rule and continue to play pretend. I can't see much of anything going BK now, because the Fed can and will print the money necessary to backstop the debt. We're going the Weimar route. When “it” happens, you'll know it immediately.

    It is difficult to overstate how large a sea change this is in market dynamics where the Fed is now a significant participant in a major market. Their buying equities is probably next.

  • fuzzygreysocks

    Of all these blind men fondling the elephant posts I understand yours crystal clear!
    Point up for clarity of statement.

  • Trav

    TIC data, corroborated by Setser's blog on CFR seem to indicate that foreign capital is already fleeing.

    The Fed had no choice in the face of this. Again, the Dow can go to 40,000 but the price of real goods wil escalate even if the dollar maintains apparent “strength” against other currencies. Maybe the Dow hits 40,000 and a loaf of bread costs 40,000. The DX is utterly irrelevant at this point, as nation after nation, even the Swiss who were gold-backed until recently, are printing to buy their own bonds.

    The Chinese are already dollar-pegged and will decline with us. The greatest danger now is if the Gulf states break their dollar pegs, because the dollar price of oil will triple in short period of time in that event. The geopolitical trends are toward actual national-scale barter. The US and UK run finance capitalist economies and have very little at this point to trade. The US trying to print the world reserve currency will eventually cause catastrophic dislocations.

    If the Fed does not provoke credit growth somehow, the credit-based monetary system will collapse. It will anyway under the weight of the deficits and inadequate real US production. Housing and consumer spending are not a productive economy.

    It appears from the anecdotal evidence that we are in Bear primary wave 2. Wave 4 corrections don't have this type of strength. I'd love to be wrong, but I don't see a minor wave behaving in this manner. Wave 3 down will mean the catastrophic collapse of the United States. Bonds, stocks, real estate, all of it.

  • v8muscle

    so let me get this straight… if the treasury is purchasing our own bonds because foreign demand is tapering off, we have to simply print the money and monetize that $300B of debt. Since we're monetizing that debt the USD will fall in value to account for all the extra money being put into the system. The stock market will react by going UP in terms of USD valuations because the dollar is depreciating.

    Please correct me if I'm wrong, because I'm probably wrong somewhere in there

  • anotherone

    There is a clearly defined ascending channel on /ESM9 with 30 minute bars. Today's high touched the top edge.

  • Susannah

    OK, I looked back at both of them and I get it. The zigzag consists of 3 waves, subdivided 5-3-5, so Eric's chart is predicting where the last wave 5 of part c of the zigzag will go, and yours is predicting where the larger time frame wave 5 will go.

    It's all starting to sink in πŸ™‚ Thanks!

  • Fujisan

    I gave you a warning sign before…..

  • Trav

    Check Setser's blog:

    http://blogs.cfr.org/setser/2009/03/18/a-bit-mo

    wish i had been on top of this a couple weeks ago. I never bought that M2M suspension could move us up like we have, from overbought peak to overbought peak, stochs, RSI, Williams, all pegged, CPC in a historical toilet, and ISEE bullishness on tilt. Someone had to know what was coming as of that Friday reversal.

    Bid-to-cover on the last UK auction w/ QE was something like 7.7, just enormous. The offers are getting tendered to like crazy. Why wouldn't they be? Who wants to stay in a currency that's being PRINTED?

    The stock market may appear to do well in nominal terms but should suffer when compared to real assets. The risk now is that the Fed will lose control of the POG.

    But, going forward, how does this affect the short side? Bears have spent 2 years looking for companies with excess debt against a deflationary backdrop. Now, it appears that NOBODY can go BK, even the SPGs and VNOs of the world if all of their CRE sits empty. In real terms, they may have cracked business models, but in nominal terms, the Fed can simply buy all their “assets.”

    This will all end…badly. Those of us who have forecasted a catastrophic collapse via inflation seem to be having the forecasts coming to fruition, sadly. I got banned from Denninger's site for arguing that the Fed would do this.

    Somebody help me out here, because I am struggling to see the bearish case anymore in the face of this. When the final wave down comes, it is going to sweep away all asset classes; wtf good is being short into that because the money won't be worth anything?

  • Basilfawlty

    M, MM and MMM (OR TOO MUCH M, TOO LITTLE MMM)

    To be a successful trader you need to master the 3 M's:
    1. Methods (M) (ie Tech analysis; and or fundermental analysis)
    2. Mental “Masturbation” (MM) (ie the psychology of trading/traders)
    3. Money Management Methods(MMM) (self explanatory).

    Most people attach a lot of importance to Tech. analysis and beautiful graphs etc, and not enough to the “Mental” and “Money Management”.

    Many people do not give enough importance to Money Management, which In my opinion is the most important of the 3 M's.
    You may ultimately end up being right on you “call” but lose money, or even blow-up your account.

    3 Quotes are relevant:

    a) Jesse Livermore : “β€œEverything happened as I had foreseen. I was dead right and – I lost every cent I had! I was wiped out by something that was unusual……. ” )

    b) Ed Seykota:
    “If you can't take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.”

    c) Ed Seykota:
    “There are old traders and there are bold traders, but there are very few old, bold traders.”

    Folks, protect your capital, so that you live to trade another day.

    (I have been in cash since EOD 3/16/09. I am looking to re-enter the Market after I see what happens between now an SPX 805.)

  • Susannah

    In simplest terms, yes, but there are wrenches in the works. First of all, really every country wants a weaker currency to boost their exports (this argument might actually be faulty, but hey, who am I to fight the central banks), so they're all going to do screwy things like this to devalue. So, it might not actually crash the USD against other currencies (or it might). Then, you've got incredible demand destruction for the commodities right now because everyone's cutting back. So, a weaker currency does not necessarily equal higher prices (which means does not necessarily mean that company's earnings get boosted). Then, also you've got the factor that if people's money is devalued, they will probably spend what they have on food, basic shelter, heat, that type of thing, so companies like Apple, car manufacturers, etc, won't necessarily benefit, since their items are more of luxuries.

    It's all FUBAR, no one really knows how/if it will work, we just know what didn't work last time. What seems to not have occurred to the administration is that maybe *time* was the overwhelming factor in working out the last depression.

  • v8muscle

    me too, although i should have just traded the trend this entire way up because I missed out on banking some serious bucks.

    better safe than sorry though

  • Susannah

    Where's the top of the channel?

  • BigHouse(Aka Mr Vix)

    Gold going down overnight

    http://www.kitco.com/

    Nikkei not that strong overnight. up only 11.82

  • Trav

    There are a number of commentators suggesting that the Primary Bear wave 1 terminated as of 666. McHugh is waiting for a supply pressure/demand power cross before he's willing to say that, but I expect that after today, he will see such a condition.

    The only plausible alternative is the blue evil count, which meant we would have been in wave 4 out of 5 of this primary bear wave (of wave C of wave 1). This count suggests new lows coming, unless the wave 5 truncates. Functionally, the downside in this case against an inflationary bias is relatively minimal. Wave 2 should, yes, retrace 38% or 50% or another fibonacci ratio of the wave 1 move. The targets you mention are accurate in that regard, which would in either case mean a rally beyond the 200DMA, and would close all gaps opened on the way down.

    After that, McHugh, for one, forecasts a catastrophic Wave 3 decline, resulting in political upheaval, societal collapse, dogs and cats sleeping together, West Coast and East Coast rappers collaborating, etc. Real Four Horsemen shit.

    In GD1, this decline was concurrent with a collapse in the bond market. Against a potentially hyperinflationary backdrop, it's difficult to estimate what stock market “gains” might be worth, what the taxation regime on them may be, or whether the gov't might pull an Argentina and simply seize accounts. The major EW analysts such as McHugh have this correction being of “grand supercycle” degree which means a degree above that of GD1, implying that the geopolitical consequences thereof should be expected to be more severe than GD1. This correction would in effect be seen as correcting what we understand as “Western Civilization” and the “Industrial Revolution.”

    With the backdrop of Global Peak Oil in 2005, it is pretty clear as to why this can plausibly be phrased in such a way. Our culture of sustained economic growth driven by energy supply growth, stretching back 300 years, would appear to be at an end.

  • v8muscle

    Any of you guys notice something kinda odd on the Selling on Strength page?

    Usually SPY tops the list when there's about to be a big reversal, but it was strange not seeing there today…

    It gets weirder because there are ALOT of blue-chips with very lopsided institutional money flows. Much of the Dow 30 are some of the top shares being sold into the rally…. Here are the top few in order of amt of negative money flow: JPM, XOM, T, C, SHY (T-Bond etf), TGT, BK, V, CVX, ORCL, WMT, SPG, QQQQ, AAPL

    I'm kinda confused at this point because I figured if all those Dow components and blue chips were selling off, the S&P also should. Thoughts?

  • Basilfawlty

    You were right to sit out.
    As Molecool has repeatedly stated, these “Quadruple witching” periods are extremely volatile, and a desperate FED made this period even more volatile.

    People should “plan their on trades, and then trade their plan” (Emphasis on “their” and “plan”). They should not RELY on OTHERS to tell them when to get IN, and definitely not when to get OUT.

    Cheers.

  • de3600

    I think and again only a thought looking at the big picture 810 and i can see it popping to 850 out of the channel top out and get back in it. when the spx was in the range 800 to 900 it popped to 925 and dropped back in than we went all the way down to 666>Dont get me wrong 400 is not happening for months i just think we will break 666 make a new low back up again depending where the channel is 725 750 and back down again I just feel like itis a long walk down to 400

  • pristinetrader

    I'm still in the camp that says this is just a bear market rally and we're getting close to ringing the register…taking our profits…and think about getting short again. But I just follow my nifty charts and see that there is no weakness coming into price just yet. 800 on the SPX will be a sticky point for now.
    http://www.pristinetrader.com

  • ZigZag

    Hi MLMT,

    Currently I'm only in a bunch of SPY April puts…You're right, those are the areas that will fall the most. Get ready to put on that crash helmet. πŸ™‚

  • ZigZag

    Perfect! πŸ™‚

    That Armstrong date is tomorrow….I couldn't dream of a better set up than this one..

  • LeTrader

    What happened to the links?

  • ZigZag

    Thanks for the charts Keirsten…

  • http://tradingsigns.blogspot.com/ T. Waffle

    I took them out, i think the videos are not fitting the screen.

  • Zeusmith

    Futures are selling off moderately, down 48pt On the Dow and 5.6% on the S&P. I wonder if 803 S&P WAS the point in which to get short today. As the news gets digested, and people really start to thik this through, I can see a scenario in which the S&P opens down 10 pts or something and stays weak all day. This would present a quandry to market participant: Do you chase the short entry or roll the dice the market maneuvers its way back up to >800 in the coming days?

    We've had slight overnight futures weakness reverse the next morning a few times over the past couple weeks during this rally, but I think these futures are opening lower >1% across the board. It should be telling what the financials do because they were gapping up AH.

  • DrMalaka

    You are correct in the long run, but in the short run this takes time to play out. Printing $300bil is meaningless when credit is being shrunk by $5trl. Prices are collapsing everywhere, housing still has to fall another 20%, wages are decreasing. These are all deflationary things that counteract the money printing. Remember they have already printed trillions, all those alphabet soup programs were exchanging overpriced debt for treasuries/cash that the bank could then use as opposed to having to write down the crap they swapped with the Fed. All this printing and no inflation yet, why would $300bil make a difference. Also, don't neglect the additional purchase of Fannie and Freddie notes and debt to the tune of $750 bil.

  • b_rad

    The foresight is greatly appreciated +1

  • H1

    The Armstrong date is APRIL (not march). March is a typo. Calculate .3 years from 1/1 yourself.

  • slartybardfast

    You will find them on the new post πŸ™‚

  • ZigZag

    It really doesn't matter, because tomorrow is the ZigZag date….

  • Susannah

    Oh, come one we're not crashing tomorrow to 400? Where's your conviction lol

    450 sounds about right, but I think 500 would suffice, but it will overshoot.

  • Osso

    ask yourself if any of these great BB measures…….produce EMPLOYMENT…He just cares to get people on debt…liquidity for WStreet….and he, who fought Inflation increasing rates….is the one who will generate it….he should be in trial for treason….

  • Osso

    800 will be the half way between the next TOP and BOTTOM. SPX 1200 and 400…..a major pivot in both directions….

  • Artrader

    I pulled out some old newsletters from him that he wrote back in the late 90's. the next turn date is April 23rd 2009. But from following him back then the dates could be +/- as gov. interventions affect the original timing.

  • Artrader

    by the way he also wrote back then that we were in a business cycle and I think 2009 would be the turn to the government cycle. I haven't gone back through all his letters but if I remember correctly they were 40 year cycles.

  • dnarby

    I shorted more there. Wish I had waited until that point, but I deployed a big chunk too early.

  • ZigZag

    Thanks for the info Artrader..

  • dnarby

    Down 0.58% now.

  • GDII

    i don't think spx can fill the 2/17 gap around 825. 805-810 area is a heavy r. 50ma and 100% rl are both there. also if i recall correctly, we spent at least a month from mid-jan to mid-feb fighting the 825-800 zone. i am expecting some serious battle again.
    market is already heavily overbought. it's hard to go over there. i am kinda expecting spx to hit 808 (50ma) then retrace to 20ma, but i don't know if it will ret before or after the OE. if i have to guess, i will pick next week.

  • darely

    Ok, my reply wasn't worded very well. We've already known for a few months that many countries are net sellers of treasuries. My reply was specifically to points #1 and #2. Today's announcement isn't going to suddenly precipitate either of these. And by that I mean this year or next.

    Also, correct me if I'm wrong here, but didn't the chinese end their peg to the dollar a few years ago? Any correlation now is partially the result of the typical manipulation that govt do on their currency. Is this not the case?

  • ZigZag

    Hey Big,

    1 of (5) is my top count so far…I have the same count on NDX too. Don't fall in love with the upside – starting tomorrow. πŸ™‚
    http://tinyurl.com/cpdewq

  • fuzzygreysocks

    Thank you, Trav.
    Clear as day.

    >> This correction would in effect be seen as correcting what we understand as “Western Civilization” and the “Industrial Revolution.” <<

    Been arguing that plan for the better part of a year.
    Coming to a two-score near you: 50% More People!
    Feed 'em!
    (Guess what happens about 2100AD? 13 BILLION people!
    Fun, eh?)

  • Peasant

    You're correct. Bernanke says that he will buy up long-term treasuries in an attempt to keep borrowing costs low for businesses and individuals which will hopefully foster growth in the economy. It's really just a bluff and he has now put himself into a bigger predicament.

    He can't buy up long-term treasuries without issuing shorter-term treasuries which will very quickly create an inverted yield curve (i.e. hyperinflation).

    The larger supply of short-term treasuries will eventually exceed demand and the govt has no choice but to pay higher and higher yields. Borrowing costs of businesses and individuals will also pay higher and higher yields. High interest rates discourage borrowing thereby putting even more pressure on the economy.

    That's why I'm jumping on the reflation trade (for now). All this issuance of debt to print money will devalue the dollar. Buying commodities and foreign currencies are the safest bet IMO. Again, jmho but the reflation trade and short squeeze will be the catalyst for primary wave 2. It most definitely will not be earnings or improving economic indicators.

  • maya

    hi Zig as always I love your chart, what is the time frame you have?

    thank you

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    what strike price.. at what price level on spx do you put on the crash helmet.

    also, what is the success rate of this charting technique that you use?

    I still can't believe that the retail that must have loaded up on march calls is going to get it right this time… more i look at the charts, more I think that by friday end of day, we will be below 730.

  • MyLifeMyTrade

    what strike price.. at what price level on spx do you put on the crash helmet.

    also, what is the success rate of this charting technique that you use?

    I still can't believe that the retail that must have loaded up on march calls is going to get it right this time… more i look at the charts, more I think that by friday end of day, we will be below 730.

  • Zeusmith

    I don't see much evidence of deflation. remember, the gov. always under reports what the numbers actually are.

    Price increases pick up speed
    Higher gas prices lead to the biggest jump in consumer inflation since July.

    By Chris Isidore, CNNMoney.com senior writer
    Last Updated: March 18, 2009: 8:59 AM ET

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Prices paid by consumers rose as a faster pace in February, as higher gas prices in the month fed into the highest inflation reading since July, the government said Wednesday.

    The Consumer Price Index, the Labor Department's key measure of inflation, rose 0.4% in February, after climbing 0.3% the previous month. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a 0.3% rise in the latest reading.

    The even more closely watched core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% in February, the same as the increase in January. That's higher than the 0.1% boost forecast by economists.

    Still, prices are little changed from where they stood 12 months ago, as lower gas prices compared to a year ago left overall CPI up only 0.2% over the course of the last year. Core CPI is up 1.8% on a 12-month basis.

    Prices of gasoline jumped 8.3% in February, the third biggest jump in the price of that closely watched commodity since the spike that followed Hurricane Katrina in 2005. But even with the rise in both January and February, the price of gas is still 36% below year-ago levels.

    Gas wasn't the only staple with increased prices. Clothing prices rose 1.3%, and the cost of health care, education and recreation also increased.

    But the price of many essentials stayed in check. Overall food prices were down 0.1%. Household energy prices, which do not include gasoline, fell 0.2%. Telephone and information services, which include cable television and Internet costs, were unchanged as well

  • DrMalaka

    Inflation does not exist with declining home values and decreasing wages.

    Confusing rising gas prices with inflation is just missing the concept of inflation. Have you looked at raw material costs? Those lower prices have not even been passed on to consumers yet as the companies are trying to boost their profit margins to make up for lost sales. Toyota just cut the price of the Prius about 20%, you think prices of durable goods is going to increase? Have you seen the pictures of the cars sitting on the docks?

    As for government under reporting, the under report inflation, they don't want to admit to deflation, that means they are powerless and it hurts their masters. Inflation is good for the elites, bad for the populace as the worker is the last one to see increases in his income stream.

  • Zeusmith

    Nope, not true. They always under report inflation. Check out John Williams Shadowstats.com.

    There is deflation is some prodcuts like home electronics, cars, steel etc but some end prodcuts are rising in pprice. Even stripping out food $ energy, CPI rose 0.2% last month. And it was probably 0.4% if the gov hadn't jiggered the numbers.

    Gotta go to bed now

  • GMunni

    To throw more confusion into the mix… This could have been the completion of C of an ABC correcting the 1987 to 2000 bull or wave 5 of supercycle wave 4. Now we would enter an X wave and prepare to correct the entire 1933 to 2000 advance.

  • ZigZag

    Hi MLMT,

    The ZZ patterns are about 80% accurate. I have the April SPY $80 puts…I bought some SRS today based on the IYR and SPG charts. URE is going to be a penny stock within a month. Nobody will believe what is about to happen IMHO.

  • ZigZag

    Hi Maya,

    I couldn't post for a while.. Discus or something was screwed up. This should start to at least test $666 by next week.

    I was looking at $RIFIN today and I think FAZ is about to go parabolic again. I bought a tiny bit of April $50 FAZ calls today..

  • maya

    thank you so much, why is everyone thinking that we will only pull back to about 750-770 and than rally again to 1100 spx, is that very possible

    ________________________________

  • ZigZag

    I don't think it will happen…SPX has to close over $804 to make me cover. Have a good evening!

  • maya

    you too than kyou

    ________________________________

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  • maya

    irina invites you to join ideeli, the first invite-only shopping community. Membership is free. Use this invitation link to join: http://response.ideeli.com/t?ctl=2BE9B31:AEA385

    Coming soon to ideeli: spectacular prices (up to 80% off) and fabulous giveaways. Here are some of our upcoming events:
    – ideeli giveaway (THANKS A MILLION)
    – tusk sale (Up to 55% off)
    – sine sale (Up to 74% off)
    – press sale (Up to 66% off)

    Additional sale and giveaway events include marc by marc jacobs, christian lacroix, bcbg, lovely people, fendi, and many more.

    What is ideeli?
    ideeli is the first invite-only shopping community. We offer privileged access to not only sought-after products in fashion, home and beauty, but also to lifestyle experiences like fashion shows and sold-out concerts. Members get exclusive shopping privileges, including insider prices (up to 80% off) on products from top brands, exciting giveaways, and much more. You're in luck! Since your friend invited you, you can join now using this invitation link: http://response.ideeli.com/t?ctl=2BE9B31:AEA385

    To opt-out of all future emails from ideeli, click on the following link: http://whatcounts.com/u?id=AEA3859A53DD6D1CFECC

  • maya

    irina invites you to join ideeli, the first invite-only shopping community. Membership is free. Use this invitation link to join: http://response.ideeli.com/t?ctl=2BE9BE6:90580D

    Coming soon to ideeli: spectacular prices (up to 80% off) and fabulous giveaways. Here are some of our upcoming events:
    – ideeli giveaway (THANKS A MILLION)
    – tusk sale (Up to 55% off)
    – sine sale (Up to 74% off)
    – press sale (Up to 66% off)

    Additional sale and giveaway events include marc by marc jacobs, christian lacroix, bcbg, lovely people, fendi, and many more.

    What is ideeli?
    ideeli is the first invite-only shopping community. We offer privileged access to not only sought-after products in fashion, home and beauty, but also to lifestyle experiences like fashion shows and sold-out concerts. Members get exclusive shopping privileges, including insider prices (up to 80% off) on products from top brands, exciting giveaways, and much more. You're in luck! Since your friend invited you, you can join now using this invitation link: http://response.ideeli.com/t?ctl=2BE9BE6:90580D

    To opt-out of all future emails from ideeli, click on the following link: http://whatcounts.com/u?id=90580DE5FA665D6E45C2

  • maya

    GET $10 OFF WHEN YOU JOIN RENT THE RUNWAY! Your friend has invited you

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  • maya

    GET $10 OFF WHEN YOU JOIN RENT THE RUNWAY! Your friend has invited you

    to Rent the Runway now and get $10 off your first order! PROMO CODE:

    WELCOME http://www.renttherunway.com/r

    View the online version : http://e.renttherunway.com/a/t

    Follow Us On:

    Follow us on Facebook http://e.renttherunway.com/a/t

    Follow us on Twitter http://e.renttherunway.com/a/t

    Subscribe to our RSS Feed http://e.renttherunway.com/a/t

    To ensure delivery to your inbox, please add RTR@e.renttherunway.com :

    mailto:RTR@e.renttherunway.com to your address book.

    If you would like to unsubscribe from this mailing,

    please click here : http://e.renttherunway.com/a/t…= .

    View our Privacy Policy : http://e.renttherunway.com/a/t

    Rent the Runway | 163 Varick Street, 4th Floor | New York, NY 10013 | US

    Β©2010 RENT THE RUNWAY. All Rights Reserved.