Escape Velocity

In physics, escape velocity is the speed at which the kinetic energy plus the gravitational potential energy of an object is zero. It is the speed needed to ‘break free’ from the gravitational attraction of a massive body, without further propulsion. Now if you apply this concept to the current situation in equities then it’s easy to see the gravity well that’s been holding our butts inside this year’s sideways churn zone from hell:

I’ve pointing at this volume profile chart for weeks now and for a good reason. Every time we get near the edges we get pulled back in. Manna from heaven for skilled swing traders but a bit exhausting for anyone waiting for this thing to pick a direction. I frankly couldn’t care less as I’m drowning in setups today but as you guys are hell bent on playing equities I’ll be Huckleberry.

However I have to concede that we are looking good on the equities front. I mean come on – a small inside day candle near upside resistance, that’s the stuff we’ve been waiting for. I did expect a little shake out, yes – but quite frankly I didn’t expect it to be this little.

Same setup on the YM – almost identical. FWIW – I won’t be taking either of them as I have two with better context. Unfortunately for you leeches those I’ll reserve for my loyal subs :-P

I won’t be an Unmensch however, so here’s gold which I think is painting awesome context and now we’ve got an inside candle to get us positioned. Either direction on that IP candle is looking good IMNSHO.

USD/CAD – you’ve got two options on this sucker. Either long courtesy of that shooting star (which we would like to fail if it’s not too much to ask) or long above that NLSL. Maybe we’ll have to play both to get positioned. And yes, although the downside cannot be ruled out I think that the upside would be the easier play. As you know I like my victims in prime condition and ready for the plucking.

Alright, quite a bit more where this came from – please step into my lovely spring lair:


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So, did I promise too much? Didn’t think so! And on top of all that I managed to finish testing the new CrazyIvan release which will be deployed tonight. Very excited about that and I hope everything is going to run smooth.

Cheers,

Wednesday Morning Briefing

Welcome to our morning briefing. Here we are reviewing short term setups ahead of the NYSE opening bell. If you are a scalper or swing trader then these setups may be of interest to you. As usual keep in mind that these are short term setups although they could be used as early entries for more longer term positions.

The NQ inside day triggered this morning and if you set your alerts then you ought to be in a long trade right now with a stop below yesterday’s low. The odds here are still mixed – let’s see if it takes off.

Gold got stopped out at 1R this morning. It sucks IMO because I have an inkling it’ll really go gangbusters after shaking out some of us retail monkeys. But the rules are the rules, sometimes for the better and sometimes for the worse.

Not much else going on this morning on the futures side – I did however find a few good entries over in Forex:


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Cheers,

Bounce It!

Equities seem to be hooked onto Juicy J’s recording studio as they’re on their way to winning his much publicized twerking scholarship (cough it back up Ms. Holmes!). Now we’re back at the bottom of ‘ze zone’ and whether we’re bouncing back up now is of course the big question as there’s not too much in terms of technical context.

As a matter of fact all we really have right now is our trusted volume profile chart on the spoos:

As usual a spike into the no fly zone after which point the bids dried up quickly. Basically we’ve now built our house of pain with the floor being near 1830 and the roof somewhere around 1880 – 50 handles of market maker bliss.

If you haven’t lost your appetite for equities then that IP candle on the NQ may look tasty. Triggers on the chart – not a bad range and I may throw 1/2R on it.

I tried to get in early this morning but got whipsawed out. That hourly NLBL would have been a great catch per our plan but it didn’t work out for me.

Gold update – I actually realized that I committed an operator error. Technically I should have closed out on Friday as it had touched 1R and then pulled back. Well, sometimes it’s better to be lucky than to be good – I’m staying in it and will move my stop to 1306 – 1R locked in.

NG – almost touched the 1R mark today and here we also will keep her running.

Wheat – a setup this morning which I also tried to get in but then got stopped out. Afterward I was heading to the gym and I missed the spike higher. BUT this is a textbook example of an inverse H&S as that little head fake is very very typical. The perfect entry IMO would have been that little IP near today’s bottom. If you caught it then call yourself one lucky bastard (probably not – if so speak up and reel in your glory). Anyway, good chart – keep it around as a great example of H&S formations. They are not easy to trade despite their popularity.

AUD/USD update – 1.5R in one day – that’s how we like it. Move your stop to 0.9339 – you’ve locked in one R.

More below the fold for my intrepid subs:


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Cheers,





    Zero Indicator
  1. recent misdeeds

    1. Escape Velocity
    2. Get Ready For The Whipsaw And Squeeze
    3. Equity Curve Trading With Crazy Ivan
    4. Looking A Bit Iffy There
    5. Kicking Off This Week
    6. Drop The Baseline
    7. Lazy Thursday Morning Briefing
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