Wall Street bull and bear frenzy

“Backtesting is just an expensive way to find out you would have been wrong with more confidence.”
— THE MOLE

Latest

Altcoin Bros Still Waiting For Godot

Every time one altcoin rips while Bitcoin chops, the same question comes back: is this the start of a rotation into alts, or just one name having its own party?

The Mole  /  Oct 11, 2026  /  8 min read

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Market Outlook

Eighteen cents short of a breakout

Small caps are being punished by the cost of money while Tesla is being bid on a technical breakout level. IWM is near the bottom…

The Mole  /  Oct 9, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

$82k – Back From Whence We Came

BTC has spent the week toying with $85K resistance while the S&P added almost 2% and the Nasdaq tacked on 2.4%. If broad risk appetite…

The Mole  /  Oct 8, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

763% Is The Boring Part

Everyone’s attention today is on Samsung, which is expected to report a record tonight: ₩105 trillion, up roughly 763% from a year ago, with the…

The Mole  /  Oct 7, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

New All Time Highs. Put Buyers Galore.

The S&P printed a fresh all-time high at 7,817 on Monday. SPY closed at 779.64, which is above the top of its own weekly expected…

The Mole  /  Oct 6, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

7 Out Of 10 Stocks Didn’t Get The Memo

The cubes closed Friday near $750, within a whisker of its highs. Meanwhile roughly 7 in 10 stocks are trading below their 20- and 50-day…

The Mole  /  Oct 5, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

AI Momentum Trade For Mortals

NVDA closed the week at $234, poking above the top of its weekly expected move near $232. Friday’s candle faded from the open and it…

The Mole  /  Oct 4, 2026  /  9 min read

Systems

Expected move vs. reality

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

Crypto

Same scams, new narratives

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

Macro

The everything bubble, again

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

From the dungeon

Older posts that made us cringe.

Reset your market perspective

A timeless reminder that nothing is new, and you are not as smart as you think you are.

Nov 15, 2019

The game hasn’t changed

Same incentives. Same players. Same nonsense.

Apr 3, 2018

Why systems beat opinions

Feelings do not compound. Edge does.

Jan 10, 2016