By all definitions the past two years have been pretty challenging to many retail traders and not surprisingly the exhaustion I sense in the comment section is palpable. A lot of what has transpired can be attributed to a marked increase in realized volatility which over time has contributed to a now permanently elevated baseline in implied volatility.
Once again the prospect of a war with Iran hangs in the air this morning. True to form pundits in the mainstream media are falling all over each other peddling opinion pieces rife of impending doom & gloom. The lowest hanging fruit, especially when it comes to any conflict in the Middle East, is of course the prospect of an explosion in crude prices as purportedly evidenced by a record spike overnight in the Brent and (strangely) the WTI futures that briefly scraped the 20% mark.
True to form Draghi decided to go out with a big bang. More QE, more asset purchases, more whatever it took to secure his final legacy of kicking the can down the road and having burdened Europe’s citizens with trillions of Euros in debt never to be repaid.