Wall Street bull and bear frenzy

“If you need conviction to hold a position, you don't have a system. You have a religion.”
— THE MOLE

Latest

CPI Decides Who Gets Hurt

Bitcoin has spent days pinned inside a $2,500 box, and both sides of it are loaded. Today’s CPI print decides which side gets hurt: does the break come up through $84.5K and squeeze the crowded shorts, or down…

The Mole  /  Oct 14, 2026  /  8 min read

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Market Outlook

Can Banks Plug The Tech Leak?

Earnings season opens with one question hanging over the tape: can the banks put a floor under this market, or does the tech leak turn…

The Mole  /  Oct 13, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

Two Earnings Calls Are Carrying This Market

How many stocks does it take to hold up an index? Right now the honest answer is: not many, and two of the most important…

The Mole  /  Oct 12, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

Altcoin Bros Still Waiting For Godot

Every time one altcoin rips while Bitcoin chops, the same question comes back: is this the start of a rotation into alts, or just one…

The Mole  /  Oct 11, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

Eighteen cents short of a breakout

Small caps are being punished by the cost of money while Tesla is being bid on a technical breakout level. IWM is near the bottom…

The Mole  /  Oct 9, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

$82k – Back From Whence We Came

BTC has spent the week toying with $85K resistance while the S&P added almost 2% and the Nasdaq tacked on 2.4%. If broad risk appetite…

The Mole  /  Oct 8, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

763% Is The Boring Part

Everyone’s attention today is on Samsung, which is expected to report a record tonight: ₩105 trillion, up roughly 763% from a year ago, with the…

The Mole  /  Oct 7, 2026  /  9 min read

Systems

Expected move vs. reality

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

Crypto

Same scams, new narratives

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

Macro

The everything bubble, again

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

From the dungeon

Older posts that made us cringe.

Reset your market perspective

A timeless reminder that nothing is new, and you are not as smart as you think you are.

Nov 15, 2019

The game hasn’t changed

Same incentives. Same players. Same nonsense.

Apr 3, 2018

Why systems beat opinions

Feelings do not compound. Edge does.

Jan 10, 2016