Wall Street bull and bear frenzy

“If your trading system needs you to be smart, it's not a system. It's a liability.”
— THE MOLE

Latest

New All Time Highs. Put Buyers Galore.

The S&P printed a fresh all-time high at 7,817 on Monday. SPY closed at 779.64, which is above the top of its own weekly expected move, a range that was pricing about 1.15% of travel for the entire…

The Mole  /  Oct 6, 2026  /  8 min read

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Latest articles

Market Outlook

7 Out Of 10 Stocks Didn’t Get The Memo

The cubes closed Friday near $750, within a whisker of its highs. Meanwhile roughly 7 in 10 stocks are trading below their 20- and 50-day…

The Mole  /  Oct 5, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

AI Momentum Trade For Mortals

NVDA closed the week at $234, poking above the top of its weekly expected move near $232. Friday’s candle faded from the open and it…

The Mole  /  Oct 4, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

Market Loaded! Powder Damp.

On Friday, the market got exactly the news it wanted. The September jobs report printed at +29k against a consensus of +90k. A big, soft,…

The Mole  /  Oct 4, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

NVDA is cheap. One analyst says so.

Nvidia is sitting at three-month highs on a thesis that needs basically everything to go right for the next two years. Morgan Stanley just told…

The Mole  /  Oct 2, 2026  /  9 min read

Market Outlook

MU Beat – The Market Shrugged

Micron printed $54 billion in revenue last quarter. Nearly 4x year-over-year. Net profit up more than 10x. Guidance well above consensus. Management said supply and…

The Mole  /  Oct 1, 2026  /  9 min read

Systems

Expected move vs. reality

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

Crypto

Same scams, new narratives

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

Macro

The everything bubble, again

Charts, credit, and real-world positioning for people who prefer an actual plan.

From the dungeon

Older posts that made us cringe.

Reset your market perspective

A timeless reminder that nothing is new, and you are not as smart as you think you are.

Nov 15, 2019

The game hasn’t changed

Same incentives. Same players. Same nonsense.

Apr 3, 2018

Why systems beat opinions

Feelings do not compound. Edge does.

Jan 10, 2016