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The Big Roll Over

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December 7, 2017

The Big Roll Over

Equities futures are rolling into their March contracts today which is in part why we saw a distinct increase in realized volatility over the past week or two. Not being a huge fan of rainy winters in the Mediterranean I for one can’t wait for expiration day which also happens to be my spring vacation season. Then again I shouldn’t complain about the weather judging by what some of my trading buddies in Chicago are going through right now. Scraping ice from your windshield is one thing, scraping it off your contact lenses is another.

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Cowabunga Time

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October 30, 2017

Cowabunga Time

We’ve got movement across the futures this morning which gave a much awaited boost to our sugar and soybeans campaign. I am the first one to admit that these types commodities contracts may seem a bit exotic to the average trader but in my experience they are a lot less painless than equities that most of you have been told are a ‘relatively save asset class’. That always seemed strange to me as I have seen stocks go to zero many times in my trading career, but I’ve never once seen it happen with a futures contract  

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Junk In The Trunk

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October 26, 2017

Junk In The Trunk

An early rising (or European) steelrat asked me about a possible correlation between the USD and treasuries this morning. It seems that the old greenback may just have another lease on life and if it can create headwind on the futures and equities side then will it do the same for bonds? Or will it be supportive as a related shelter from a much overdue correction? Well, this really isn’t too hard to figure out via a ratio or left chart.

I simply dropped an inverse (use the minus sign ahead of the symbol in stockcharts) signal of the 30-year treasury yields ($USDT30Y) against the $USD. What do we see? It seems to be correlated in that a stronger dollar appears to [...]

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No Casual Fridays At The Lair

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October 20, 2017

No Casual Fridays At The Lair

Sorry guys but casual Friday will have to be postponed until further notice as we’re too busy banking coin and taking numbers. On top of a veritable laundry list of winning campaigns over the past few weeks we managed to grab a very fortuitous entry on the E-Mini yesterday right ahead of the opening bell. As I was a bit pressed for time Thursday morning I thought it worthwhile to share some of my pertinent perspectives today, i.e. what caused me to suggest this campaign in the first place and how my initial beliefs were confirmed later in the session.

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    As the long weekend approaches we should expect only minimal participation today, which is a good opportunity to pass along some food for contemplation. A seasoned …
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