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November 13, 2018

Breaking Bad

If I were to use a reference in popular culture to describe what’s currently unfolding in equities then I’d probably point at Walter White walking into the local drug kingpin’s lair with a bag of fulminated mercury in his pocket [episode 1-6]. Up until this point he’s merely been toying with evil, skated around embracing it, conveniently rationalizing his growing series of illegal activities and the drama he is about to unleash.

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October 11, 2018

You Only Have Yourself To Blame

I know – great timing on calling in sick on a sell off day like yesterday. But in my defense, the possibility of a pending medium term correction was discussed in rather exhausting detail in last Friday’s momo update. So plenty of ahead warning and if you cheaped out of a membership and blissfully bought the dip again on Tuesday, well then you only have yourself to blame.

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October 5, 2018

Equities Derailed

I have said it before and I will say it again: Good campaign management is everything. And that spells double true in the type of volatile market conditions we’ve all been exposed to over the past six months. Every ambitious schmuck can eek out an edge when markets run uni-directionally but if nothing else 2018 has served to separate the wheat from the chaff in the trading community.

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August 21, 2018

Volatility Heading Our Way

Honestly, I have no idea how we made it through this summer largely unscathed (at least thus far), and -assuming you played along our setups – even managed to accumulate some more ill-gotten (and very politically incorrect) gains. A bit of luck didn’t hurt of course but for the record: we truly worked our butts off in order to squeeze whatever edge we could find out of an impossibly volatile and sometimes erratic market.

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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Ten Glorious Years
Realized Versus Implied Volatility