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January 17, 2020

The Big Squeeze

When it comes to financial news in particular, can you remember reading a single bullish headline over the past week? Or perhaps over the past month? The past year? Past decade? Me neither. Instead it’s been doom & gloom every step on the way up from SPX 667 back in 2008 to now over 3300 eleven and some years later. If nothing else the political culture war triggered by the election of Donald J. Trump has only served to exacerbate a mainstream media landscape addicted to that next juicy bit of angst inciting clickbait.

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January 2, 2020

Launching The Decade In Style

The teens are over and done with and we’re now heading straight into the roaring twenties. I know it’s supposed to be hip to be all cynical and black pilled these days; but let me be among the first to buck this nauseating trend and predict that it’s going to be an awesome decade for anyone serious about being successful – and most importantly the very few willing to put in the work.

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December 18, 2019

Drop To The IV Baseline

It’s EOY rally season and apparently everyone has been at their best behavior this year as Santa already has delivered in spades. At this point however what I care more about is what lies ahead for us, and given a technical vacuum at all time highs it may be worthwhile to take a look at implied volatility for clues.

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December 6, 2019

VIX Buy Signal Triggered

I have been posting here on Evil Speculator for over 11 years now but this is the first time I recall a VIX Buy Signal following a Sell Signal in such short succession. Can it be trusted? Did I miss the pre-Santa-Rally dip? Is it too late to load up on long positions? So many nagging questions but as usual the Market Mole’s got you covered:

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • What Does It Take?What Does It Take?
    The greatest games have always been dominated by the masters of obfuscation, misdirection, misinformation, if not outright deceit. Of course the financial game is no …
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