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January 18, 2018

It’s Wabbit Season

I’ve been literally in stitches over the past few days marveling over the Shakespearean drama unraveling behind the curtains of the crypto universe. And I’m not even talking about the big sell off which now seems to be reversing. Apparently BitConnect is shutting down exchange operations and a bunch of people found themselves unable to convert their tokens to bitcoin or any other crypto currency. Seems to me a bunch of unhappy folks just learned the difference between (imagined) paper profits and real profits.

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December 22, 2017

No Lift No Gift!

Yesterday was my first day back at the gym and managed to snap right back into my full routine in stark contrast of me barely being able to walk upright just last Sunday. As the saying goes: No Pain – No Gain, or in Yuletide terms: No Lift No Gift! Which pretty much has been my motto for most of this year as I’ve been working my ass off 10 hours plus seven days a week on the quant system front, all of which is slowly starting to pay off now. More on that to follow over the coming weeks after alpha testing has completed.

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December 4, 2017

Mind The Booby Traps

The equity market in particular has become extremely good at luring and then trapping people into highly volatile reversals. Which especially is true for those rare moments when we may be tempted to  trade against the prevailing trend, which of course continues up, up, and then up. Given the increasing number of traps placed in front of us on a weekly basis I have a hard time imagining how anyone could succeed trading equities on a long term basis without the aid of some sort of participation measure (a.k.a. market lie detector) as for example our very own Zero indicator:

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December 1, 2017

Friday Lottery Ticket

I probably should be easing up on my meds as I have started seeing short opportunities and you all know how that usually ends up. Except of course when Bitcoin once again goes stratospheric and then instantly crashes as it did on Wednesday literally an hour after I posted about that very scenario. Clairvoyance you wonder? I very much doubt it as I never win anything. But I have developed a pretty keen sense of human nature, which fortunately is a lot more reliable than the financial markets. When in doubt during a buying frenzy always bet on the woodshed.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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