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September 14, 2020

Skewed Coin Flip

Navigating this week is going to take some finesse as the market is giving us more conflicting signals than a teenage girl on her first date. First up the main key to survival and – better yet – prospering in high volatility market environments is to not attempting to find order where there is chaos, to not fill in a gaping chasm of confusion with your own personal opinion. If you have the mental discipline to do that then – congrats, you’re already way ahead of over 90% of all market participants.

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June 3, 2020

Riots Rally

A day or two ago I was cruising around on reddit as I am subscribed to a few hobby related groups as well as some related to crypto currencies. To be honest I haven’t been dabbling much in crypto since early last year but it’s always good to keep one’s ear to the ground, as they say.

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May 18, 2020

Bad News For Perma Bears

Everything I touch today seems to either be out of commission, requires maintenance, or repeatedly crashes. One of those U2 Mondays I guess, so after burning through two frustrating hours this going to be a pretty snappy post. That said – the two charts I was able to scrape together should be raising your eyebrows, especially if you’re bearish.

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January 17, 2020

The Big Squeeze

When it comes to financial news in particular, can you remember reading a single bullish headline over the past week? Or perhaps over the past month? The past year? Past decade? Me neither. Instead it’s been doom & gloom every step on the way up from SPX 667 back in 2008 to now over 3300 eleven and some years later. If nothing else the political culture war triggered by the election of Donald J. Trump has only served to exacerbate a mainstream media landscape addicted to that next juicy bit of angst inciting clickbait.

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • What Does It Take?What Does It Take?
    The greatest games have always been dominated by the masters of obfuscation, misdirection, misinformation, if not outright deceit. Of course the financial game is no …
Status Quo Bias
At The Edge Of Expectation
Binding Implied Volatility
Scoring Implied Volatility
Brave New World
Big Tech Crunch