It’s difficult to explain it all in layman terms, but I’ll give it my best shot. None of what follows below should be taken as chiseled in stone and it’s only my personal theory. As always do your own research, and if you come up with a better theory be sure to let me know.

After a decade plus of blue balling the bears to the max it appears that the days of reckoning may have finally arrived. Of course we here at Evil Speculator always knew that it would happen eventually. Even as far back as 2009 when the Federal Reserve panicked and first embarked on its quest to single handedly change the laws of finance and in the process managed to enrich a small group of connected insiders as an unexpected bonus. What we of course didn’t realize back then was how long it would actually take for the bubble to burst.

If you seek to plot a way out of a particular conundrum you may have found yourself in it’s always advisable to take a step back and figure out what got you into that pickle in the first place. However if one would attempt to take stock of the sheer number of misguided and short sighted policy decisions taken over the course of the past decade across the board I fear it would probably end up filling a volume as thick as Tolstoy’s War And Peace. So the real question we may need to ask ourselves is why the heck things haven’t blown up in our faces already many years ago.

Throughout my trading career I’ve never been much of a perma-bear, mainly because I have a basic understanding of math and statistical probability in particular. In case you are unaware of a few simple realities of life allow me to share a few salient data points for your general edification: In essence throughout your average trading career only about 11% of your time is spent in downside corrections, the rest is either sideways or advancing tape.