E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
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E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
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6874sachertorte
 
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2442yellen-federal-reserve

 
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3570skeptical_fox
 
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August 18, 2017

We Are In Good Shape

I can’t believe it’s Friday already, this year seems to be passing by me like a flash and there never seem to be enough hours in the day. Burning the candle on both ends doesn’t really help matters either as it only leads to less productivity afterward. Perhaps if all that science fiction one day turns into science fact and we get to live another 50 or 100 years then I may just be able to complete all those projects and various studies I constantly seem to be immersed in. But at least years of hard work continues to pay off today. Let’s review where we are:

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August 17, 2017

Have Your Cake And Eat It Too

The old saying goes that can’t have your cake and eat it too. However that is exactly what the Federal Reserve is apparently attempting to accomplish at the moment, as chairwoman Yellen continues to assure that a rate hike is just around the corner, and this time it’ll absolutely be for real. Of course invariable by that date absolute economic perfection has yet to be achieved which naturally is why any meaningful hike in the federal funds rate continues to be looming just around the corner, in perpetuity.

6874
 
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August 16, 2017

FOMC Day

It’s going to be a quiet day here at the lair until chairwoman Janet Yellen delivers the Fed minutes at 2:00pm Eastern. The Euro continued its downward trajectory after a purported ‘trial balloon’ report that Draghi’s speech at Jackson Hole would not announce the start of the ECB’s taper. Now if that sounds somewhat confusing to you then console yourself knowing that you are not alone, as spending any time on trying to decrypt the confusing and contradicting reports coming out of central banks these days is an utter and complete waste of time.

2442
 
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August 15, 2017

Skeptical

Something doesn’t add up here. We got our VIX Buy Signal confirmation and that is short to medium term bullish for equities (again, the buy refers to the latter, not the former). However I’m smelling a potential rat as the Dollar finally looks like it may be ready to squeeze the heck out of the shorts. And usually that is not exactly bullish for equities, is it now? Let’s look at some key markets and then decide the best course of action:

Alright, so there’s the lower close on the VIX which, per the rules discussed yesterday, officially puts a confirmed VIX Buy Signal on the map. No, there won’t be a parade, sorry. First up it’s too [...]

3570
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End of the line!
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Cognitive DissonanceCognitive Dissonance
    I had to think long and hard about what exactly to post today without insulting at least half of my readership. As you know I have … more
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