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May 21, 2019

When You Get To A Fork In The Road…

… Take It! Yogi Berra played, managed and coached the New York Yankees from 1946 through 1985. Yogi is known for not only his baseball career but also for his countless expressions that were memorable because most of them didn’t make any sense. However, every one of them has some truth to it and some of his quotes even relate to trading. Does “It ain’t over till it’s over” ring any bells?

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May 3, 2019

The Death Zone

So here I was sitting in my trading lair this morning, staring at my E-Mini chart for what must have been an entire hour. Whilst digesting the price action a whole range of emotions and thoughts passed through my mind which I attempted to process and internalize without becoming attached to one particular perspective or directional bias. I usually pride myself of maintaining a relatively neutral outlook on things, but was forced to admit that seeing the index futures pump higher overnight was creating a strong sense of frustration. What was going on?

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November 14, 2018

What Does It Take?

I am somewhat occupied today but since we are clearly heading into rough waters I decided mix things up a bit and do a blast from the past which may benefit especially some of my newer readers. If you think the past year has been rough for you then understand what may loom straight ahead will test your mettle and skills in ways you may be unprepared for. This post aims at highlighting a few common misunderstandings and confusions that traders from all stripes seem to chronically fall prey to.

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September 19, 2018

Better Tread Cautiously

We all wish we could predict the future. After all trading would be a hell lot more profitable and given a year of prescient entries/exits we’d be able to retire in comfort on our own private islands. Unfortunately it is exactly this deep-set desire for clairvoyance mixed with a healthy helping of hubris that more often than not drives us to engage in hare-brained campaigns. What’s worse however is when you get exactly what you wished for. The tape turns almost exactly where you thought and your ego instantly puffs up like the chest of a male frigate bird.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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