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May 1, 2020

Captain One Lot Strikes Again

This is a quick update on my Tuesday post in which I strongly suggested everyone to detach yourself from trading direction and instead focus on much more predictable parameters such as 1) time and 2) volatility. To that end I introduced you to the concept of selling calendar spreads which is one of several strategies Tony and I have been experimenting with over the recent past. Now let’s see how we fared!

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April 27, 2020

Let’s Crush Some Vega

The only thing that retail traders love more than earnings season is to endlessly debate the direction of how each issue may resolve. Now if you intent to BUY stock at a discount then waiting for a negative announcement and purchasing shares before the rebound can – on average – work out famously during bull markets. However when it  comes to profiting from earnings via speculation the name of the game is not to pick a direction, rather it’s to profit from a large stock price move no matter the direction.

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March 18, 2020

How To Thrive In Bear Markets – Part 1

For the next three days I will still be pretty limited in my ability to properly follow the market all the way out here in the Spanish boonies. Internet access is acceptable at about 10Mb/sec but my MBP’s 15” Retina display – albeit crisp and more than appropriate for regular tasks – hampers my abilities to properly run through my extended list of charts and market scanners. Although I am really not looking forward to returning to Valencia during a nationwide quarantine I am eager to jump back into the action in full force. For there are real fortunes to be made in the days, weeks, and months ahead. And this is the moment when you should start paying very [...]

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January 15, 2020

Scary Setups

If I could have a penny for every setup I felt enthusiastic about and that invariably blew up in my face I would be… well, a lot richer than I am. To be honest when it comes to picking juicy entries off a chart I rank about average. What may set me apart from the rest, and what has helped me survive in a wide range of market conditions over the years was learning to overcome my instincts and engage in setups that scared the heck out of me.

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Market FragilityMarket Fragility
    I feel rather conflicted about the price action over the past month and quite frankly that’s exactly how I should feel and thus act accordingly. Just …
Binding Implied Volatility
Scoring Implied Volatility
Brave New World
Big Tech Crunch
Let’s Crush Some Vega
How To Thrive In Bear Markets – Part 2