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March 14, 2018

Confessions Of A Teutonic Beach Dweller

The featured image above shows the view we found upon our arrival mid last week, but in the interim cloudy weather has moved in turning the horizon into one giant white reflector. Quite frankly I’m actually not a big fan of neither the beach nor the ocean. I just don’t get the point of aging your skin with damaging UV levels whilst constantly picking sand out of every orifice. And having been raised in the Austrian highlands I’ll take an alpine excursion over a day at the beach any day. Before you get your hopes up – all incriminating photos of me wearing Lederhosen as a young child have long been destroyed.

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March 6, 2018

Steady As She Goes

I am starting to slow down my trading activities a little as I’m busy preparing for a trip down to the Costa Blanca here in Spain. In case you missed some of my lamentations from previous years: The beginning of March marks the launch of Las Fallas, which slowly metamorphoses the city of Valencia from a quiet secondary Spanish enclave into the veritable Sodom and Gomorrha of Europe.

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March 5, 2018

Cautiously Optimistic

Not a bad start of the week as the E-Mini long campaign I took out last Friday, courtesy of our trusted Zero indicator, appears to have survived the weekend. Of course equity bulls are far from being out of the woods yet as it’s not the dead cat bounce that matters but the ensuing follow up. So color me cautiously optimistic for now. However once the opening bell tolls it’s time for more aggressive bidding to arrive lest things may take another (rapid) turn southward.

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February 28, 2018

Volatility Begets Volatility

Markets never move in a straight line and the 12% correction in the S&P 500 in late January sent an IV shockwave through the financial system from which it is still attempting to recover. What usually follows a large volatility event is a counter reaction followed again by smaller events until either the old market regime re-asserts itself or something even more dire happens.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Confirmation BiasConfirmation Bias
    When equities turns volatile each added gyration serves to stir the collective emotional cesspool of market participants. An unfortunate cognitive bias we as human beings all share is … more
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