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May 21, 2020

A Few More For The Road

Unbeknownst to most retail rats a fight is taking place in the equities market, and it revolves around an exotic concept only known to a select few in the options trading world. I’m speaking of course about the weekly expected move, and what makes it so important is the fact that much of what drives stock markets these days is driven by the options market. How so? Let me explain.

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May 11, 2020

Time Is Running Out!

If you’ve dropped by the blog recently then you know that it t’s been another profitable earnings season for both Tony and the old Market Mole. One that was even more amplified by the huge jump in volatility exhibited by this market cycle. However for anyone purely trading on direction this increase in volatility most likely has been very bad news as event risk and endless hyperbole in the financial media served to trap quite a few traders in losing positions over the past three weeks.
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May 4, 2020

May 2020 Earnings Week

I burned quite a bit of time fiddling with my earnings parsers this morning, so this post will be quick and snappy. But in a nutshell I was trying to write a Thinkscript indicator that would plot only the front week IV but ended up drawing them manually as their API documentation sucks blocks. Hopefully TOS support will sort me out by next earnings season as it’s a royal PITA. Anyway, the opening bell is only a few minutes away, so let’s get to this week’s goodies:

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May 1, 2020

Captain One Lot Strikes Again

This is a quick update on my Tuesday post in which I strongly suggested everyone to detach yourself from trading direction and instead focus on much more predictable parameters such as 1) time and 2) volatility. To that end I introduced you to the concept of selling calendar spreads which is one of several strategies Tony and I have been experimenting with over the recent past. Now let’s see how we fared!

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Blast OffBlast Off
    I know exactly how you feel. For weeks on end equities gyrate inside a 50 handle channel and suddenly we get a blast off out of …
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