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October 9, 2020

At The Edge Of Expectation

It’s Friday morning before the open and the SPX is pinned right at the edge of the weekly expected move (EM). The ES futures pushed a little bit higher overnight but are now treating water awaiting further instructions. Which makes it a textbook example of the very phenomenon that has driven equity markets to the edges of the weekly EM since the introduction of weekly options by the CBOE in 2016. But what exactly is causing this phenomenon, or market behavior in the first place?

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May 11, 2020

Time Is Running Out!

If you’ve dropped by the blog recently then you know that it t’s been another profitable earnings season for both Tony and the old Market Mole. One that was even more amplified by the huge jump in volatility exhibited by this market cycle. However for anyone purely trading on direction this increase in volatility most likely has been very bad news as event risk and endless hyperbole in the financial media served to trap quite a few traders in losing positions over the past three weeks.
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November 15, 2019

Reset Your Market Perspective

Most retail rats launch their trading endeavors (calling it a ‘career’ would be a vast exaggeration) by voluntarily checking themselves into a financial industry indoctrination camp where they are force fed a corrosive diet of nonsense such as magic candle patterns, Elliott Wave theory, moon phases, solar cycles, Bradley Turn Dates, Hindenburg Omens, etc.

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August 28, 2019

Make Your Trading Life Easy!

In my time here at Evil Speculator I have come across a considerable number of traders who seem to have a particular obsession with a handful of symbols they feel ‘most comfortable’ trading. This seems to apply in particular to indices and ETFs – I can point at a few traders in this comment section who seem to be focused on three or four symbols they trade on almost a daily basis.

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Dirty Trading Words – Part 1
    The late George Carlin used to have a great routine on the hypocrisy of the seven unspeakable dirty words not permitted on radio or television. …
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