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May 11, 2020

Time Is Running Out!

If you’ve dropped by the blog recently then you know that it t’s been another profitable earnings season for both Tony and the old Market Mole. One that was even more amplified by the huge jump in volatility exhibited by this market cycle. However for anyone purely trading on direction this increase in volatility most likely has been very bad news as event risk and endless hyperbole in the financial media served to trap quite a few traders in losing positions over the past three weeks.
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November 15, 2019

Reset Your Market Perspective

Most retail rats launch their trading endeavors (calling it a ‘career’ would be a vast exaggeration) by voluntarily checking themselves into a financial industry indoctrination camp where they are force fed a corrosive diet of nonsense such as magic candle patterns, Elliott Wave theory, moon phases, solar cycles, Bradley Turn Dates, Hindenburg Omens, etc.

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August 28, 2019

Make Your Trading Life Easy!

In my time here at Evil Speculator I have come across a considerable number of traders who seem to have a particular obsession with a handful of symbols they feel ‘most comfortable’ trading. This seems to apply in particular to indices and ETFs – I can point at a few traders in this comment section who seem to be focused on three or four symbols they trade on almost a daily basis.

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August 23, 2019

Let’s Talk About Gamma Risk

In a featured comment yesterday I mentioned gamma risk in SPX and SPY options as one of the reasons explaining recent hedging activity in the VIX and ES futures. It’s a complex topic that we’ll have to peel one slice at a time. Let’s begin by considering that options in essence are multi-dimensional financial derivatives in that they exhibit sensitivity to not only price, but also time and volatility (yes interest rates as well but that’s not an issue in our current market environment).

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
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    It’s super late over here in Spain – way past midnight – however I just caught up on a few comments in the prior thread and …
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