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December 8, 2017

Lack Of Participation

Equity futures pulled an NFL yesterday judging by the complete lack of participation throughout the big roll over day into the 2018 March contract. Fairly unusual at least in my (not so) humble opinion, and it seemed as if everyone rolled (or perhaps not) and then simply walked away.

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December 4, 2017

Mind The Booby Traps

The equity market in particular has become extremely good at luring and then trapping people into highly volatile reversals. Which especially is true for those rare moments when we may be tempted to  trade against the prevailing trend, which of course continues up, up, and then up. Given the increasing number of traps placed in front of us on a weekly basis I have a hard time imagining how anyone could succeed trading equities on a long term basis without the aid of some sort of participation measure (a.k.a. market lie detector) as for example our very own Zero indicator:

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November 21, 2017

Money Talks

I ought to be dedicating my E-Mini campaigns to rock legends more often as it seems to instantly bestow them with extra mojo right after entry. Of course the bullish divergence I observed on our Zero indicator Friday afternoon may have been a contributing factor as it was flashing ‘bear trap’ pretty much most of the session.

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November 20, 2017

For Those About To Rock

In case you have been hiding under a rock this weekend I’ve got good and bad news to report. In true Evil Speculator fashion let’s start with the bad news first: Malcolm Young died this weekend and rock & roll will never be the same. I was literally close to tears when I heard as Acadaca (how it’s often pronounced down under) was a huge inspiration not just for me but for my entire generation of troublemakers, and it is probably single handedly responsible for at least 10% of reported hearing loss in the West.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Confirmation BiasConfirmation Bias
    When equities turns volatile each added gyration serves to stir the collective emotional cesspool of market participants. An unfortunate cognitive bias we as human beings all share is … more
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