Bait And Switch Tuesday

Guys – don’t let this happen to you! If you’ve been trading equities for more than a few months then you probably have seen the following play out: Equities are dropping near the open, everything is screaming sell. Suddenly there’s a spike to the upside which triggers more bids and results in a short squeeze continuing most of the session. So how to keep from getting screwed like this and in many other ways on a recurring basis?

2015-04-14_zero

Simple! Sign up for the Zero which shows you real participation on a 5-minute basis. What you are looking at above is a textbook bullish divergence on the Zero Lite during the quick drop post NYSE open. May I also add that yesterday’s sell off had very little juice as evidenced by the tiny signal range accompanying it. That’s not always a sure sign of a bear trap but it bodes paying attention the following day near the open.

What worries me more however is the ‘heartbeat’ like signal on the hourly Zero (left panel). I have seen this a few weeks ago and it preceded a shake out a few days after. Which brings me to the next chart:

2015-04-14_spoos_entry

The E-Mini is continuing to flesh out a sideways wedge of some sort and I have a hard time justifying entries anywhere except near the extremes. However, that said – the hourly is looking good and I just added 1/4R with a stop below 2084.25 (VWAP). Low odds on this one succeeding however, you have been warned.

2015-04-14_NQ_update

My NQ campaign met Sir Gregor Clegane today who made quick business out of my long positions by chopping them into pieces. Not a big deal as they were nicely in profit but a shame nevertheless given the jump higher.

2015-04-14_sugar_update

Updates updates – Sugar looking good but I’m moving my stop to break/even as I don’t trust a concerted number of pull backs all across the futures and forex.

2015-04-14_coffee_update

Coffee – always suspected this one may be a trap and I closed it out near break/even. This one just doesn’t have the mojo and I’m too correlated with all the other open futures positions already.

2015-04-14_copper_update

Copper – looked so juicy and then pulled back. Still like this one but I’m moving my stop to break/even as well.

2015-04-14_silver_update

Silver – also moving my stop to break/even. Not a definite rule in my systems but when it happens across the board I think it’s more than justifiable, especially given my current exposure. So let’s see how many of them survive the night and into tomorrow – if they hold below I think we may have real runner potential as this was quite a shake out today.

2015-04-14_CL_update

Crude – I bet you all forgot about this one already! I took a second long position on the 9th and so far it’s remained in play courtesy of my more conservative stop below the 50 mark. It’s finally tickling the 100-day SMA now and perhaps it’ll muster up enough mojo to finally break free. Anyway, keeping my stop below the 50 mark as I’ve been waiting for this one to play out a while now.

The future is now – so don’t bring a knife to a raygun fight. If you are interested in becoming a Zero subscriber then don’t waste time and sign up here. A Zero subscription comes with full access to all Gold posts, so you actually get double the bang for your buck.

Cheers,

Futures Setups Galore

After a fake out spike higher in the morning the day did indeed turn into a shake out session. I’m not seeing much participation here yet, so let’s see what the close looks like. Definite possibility they’ll drive a bit lower but for now there’s little to do for us:

2015-04-13_spoos_update

As you can see we’re kind of dangling in the midst of it all – if the 25-hour BB doesn’t contain this push lower then we’ll most likely revisit the 100-hour near 2080. On the daily panel we have zero context, therefore I’ll stick with the hourly. FYI – my trailing stop on the NQ has also been advanced below the 100-hour SMA.

2015-04-13_soybeans_setup

The title of this post promises futures setups and yes – there quite a few juicy ones today. Soybeans sporting a shooting star and I want to be short below it with a stop above today’s highs. Long if we trigger today’s highs – as you may guess my stop would be below today’s lows. Boilerplate inside day slash shooting star setup. FYI – I do like the context on the daily panel as everything is starting to point down now, including the 100-day BBs.

FYI – if the long side triggers I’ll take profits rather quickly – for me that would be 970.

2015-04-13_copper_setup

Copper – that one has got a SS sitting on top of two converging daily SMA – cannot resist this setup and I’m playing it just like soybeans.

More futures setups waiting below the fold:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

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Hope that keeps you guys busy for a while. Have fun but keep it frosty.

Cheers,

Kicking The Ball Around

Absolutely no participation today which was pretty clear about an hour or so into the session. We are still near the bullish inflection point with no resolution in sight. And I’m still in my OTM SPY puts but also long the NQ via Thor – so I need a big move here to be flashing some green.

2015-02-10_zero

Here’s today’s tape courtesy of the Zero indicator – extremely small signal range here today as well as yesterday. The hourly panel reflects just that and the current formation is a bit ambivalent. But the take away message here is to not fall in love with a direction or an opinion. Limited participation like this encourages monkey business – i.e. intra-day volatility and stop runs.

2015-02-10_AUDJPY_setup

Meanwhile I have been trying to stay productive on the forex and futures side – AUD/JPY was one of this morning’s setups and I still think it could bust higher here. On the daily you’ll see that there’s a seller below 93. If it can work its way higher than I think it’s good until 94+.

2015-02-10_coffee_setup

Coffee is attempting to find a foothold here near 159 – I took an experimental 1/4R long here with a stop below 158.8.

A few more setups below the fold – please join me in the lair:


More charts and commentary below for anyone donning a secret decoder ring. If you are interested in becoming a Gold member then don't waste time and sign up here. And if you are a Zero subscriber you get free access to all Gold posts, which gives you double the bang for your buck!

Please login or subscribe here to see the remainder of this post.

Cheers,




    Zero Indicator


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