E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
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6002Am 18.08.2011 um 19:11 Uhr
 
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February 4, 2016

The Iron Is Lukewarm

I’m seeing a infinitesimal chance at grabbing NQ longs here. To be clear – the odds are very low and if you follow me into the abyss then don’t risk more than 1/2R at most.

My stop has been set below 4115 (chart says 4119 but I changed my mind) as that’s below both, the 100-hr and 25-hr BBs. Let’s see what happens here in the coming hour – if this campaign survives the first hour into the open then it’s got better chance of success.

I hope everyone is aware of the implications of failure here. Meaning if we drop below 4000 then odds are we are going all the way – my minimum target would be 3500. So this is [...]

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February 2, 2016

Too Many Damn Setups

I’m having way too much fun this morning, which accounts for my somewhat belated post. There literally seem to be juicy setups crawling out of the woodwork and I just kept adding new ones while reducing exposure on others in order to reduce correlation risk. So without further ado let’s jump right in:

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February 1, 2016

Crossing The Chasm

Equities are soon facing a veritable chasm on our volume profile chart, one which spans roughly between ES 1940 and 1980 – 40 handles of non-participation where pretty much anything can happen. At the current velocity I have some doubts as to whether we’ll even make it half way through there but I don’t want to be too hasty with making an assessment as we’re slowly dropping out of a high volatility range and may be seeing more trending tape later this week.

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January 29, 2016

Japan Goes Sub Zero

I’m sure you’ve heard the news by now – in a surprise move the BOJ introduced negative interest rates, which caused for some interesting spikes across all JPY crosses. And I may I add that Kuroda was quoted by Reuters just a week ago that he had no plan to adopt negative rates now. Well, in his defense – he did explicitly say ‘now’ – by which he only could have meant ‘right now, this second’. Nobody asked him about the following week, did they?

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End of the line!
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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