E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
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May 12, 2017

Vertigo

We’ve been seeing a lot of whipsaw as of late but apparently the respective dominant trends appear to always assert themselves. Which continues to be manna from heaven for dedicated mean reversion traders and habitual dip mongers. If you remember my posts earlier in the week, we were waiting for a few promising looking entries. So let’s see where we are today and if it’s time to pull those triggers:

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May 11, 2017

Quantutorial – Standard Deviation

Standard deviation. You see it mentioned all the time but if that inquisitive little niece of yours would ask you what it is, could you actually explain it? No, I’m not talking about googling the formula on your mobile and then telling her to scram and kick a ball or something. What I mean is explaining standard deviation (SD) in a way that actually makes sense and may lead to her to taking an interest in STEM sciences later in life. Yeah, I didn’t think so. And you call yourself a trader? Step aside and let uncle Mole handle this.

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May 10, 2017

Euro Island

The 2nd round of the French presidential elections almost seemed procedural to me in that Macron was clearly the front runner plus it was clear that various voting blocks would coalesce in order to prevent Le Pen from gaining a majority. So suffice to say that Monsieur Macron’s overwhelming 65% win wasn’t exactly a big surprise to me. Which is exactly why I had been accumulating a big stack of € cash ahead of the final round. Although I anticipated a bit of weakness after the election I did not think we would find ourselves near the lower edge of the current island again.

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May 9, 2017

Temptations

I had to kick that mythical German discipline into overdrive today as I kept tripping over juicy looking but yet immature setups. Practice what you preach they say. If you read yesterday’s post then you recall my thoughts on why premature (discretionary) entries can lead to early stop outs, that they will affect your position sizing, and that they affect you psychologically if you let them. Another perhaps more obvious aspect I didn’t delve into was the fear of missing out, a.k.a. greed’s ugly cousin.

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End of the line!
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
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