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2307Riders participate in the 74th "That Famous Preston Night" Rodeo in Preston Idaho, August 1, 2009. The annual event is billed as one of the region's biggest rodeos, bringing top riders and thousands of fans to the small southern Idaho town. Photo by Colin E. Braley
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September 23, 2016

German Comedy Contest

This may come as a complete shock to you, but this may be the first time in modern history that a German has won a comedy contest, and without British assistance. Yes, just let that sink in for a while. Now I already know what you’re thinking: If this isn’t a clear sign that the West is heading straight into the new Dark Ages then I don’t know what is. And I would agree with you, but let me explain. It all started with Howard Lindzon snapping a screenshot of Marc Faber, a.k.a. Dr. Doom, who was trying out what must have been his new comedy routine on MSNBC, suggesting that the Dow may at some point touch the 100,000 mark. So Howard snaps a screenshot and puts it on [...]

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September 22, 2016

The Emotional Purgatory Of Cognitive Biases – Part 2

After Yellen and Kuroda in one single day we’re now being treated to Draghi’s updated postulations on how to safe modern finance as we know it. Not a day to be active which is why I’m posting the second part of our little mini series on cognitive biases. Once again a PDF of the original draft by Endika Aboitiz, Jr. can be downloaded here. The first part received quite a bit of praise/approval but also some well founded criticism. And that’s fine – if we are starting to believe that we have all the answers then we probably just stepped into another mental trap. Let’s be reminded that looking in the mirror doesn’t guarantee you that [...]

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September 21, 2016

The Emotional Purgatory Of Cognitive Biases – Part 1

Today and tomorrow we are being treated to a veritable triple whammy of central banker sponsored market perturbations. For an early sample of what to expect over the next two sessions look no further than the spasmodic whipsaw the USD/JPY just painted earlier this morning.

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September 20, 2016

Coiled Up Ready To Strike

We’ve got a lot to cover today, so I will spare you the pleasantries and dive right in. Yesterday’s session once again must have been frustrating for many participants due to a continued lack of direction. But I expect resolution to be delivered swiftly and brutally as the equities are now coiled up like the proverbial snake. 

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End of the line!
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Loss AversionLoss Aversion
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two … more
Ten Trading Rules For Avoiding Extinction
The Emotional Purgatory Of Cognitive Biases – Part 1
Practice Makes Perfect
Option Basics – Credit Spreads
Option Basics – Debit Spreads
Option Basics – The Greeks