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February 5, 2016

Hanging By A Thread

We are literally hanging by a thread here as the bulls have been able to defend the last hurdle separating the winter of tears from the spring the bears. The 1900 mark may look innocuous enough but if we close below it today then the odds of more downside momentum next increase by a large margin.

I’m sensing quite a bit of exhaustion in the comment section and I can’t really blame you guys. Not only did we have to suffer through almost an entire year of sideways churn, but now that things are more directional we still have to put up with an increasing amount of intra-day volatility. Well, better get used to it, because conditions like these is going to be [...]

9675
 
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February 2, 2016

Too Many Damn Setups

I’m having way too much fun this morning, which accounts for my somewhat belated post. There literally seem to be juicy setups crawling out of the woodwork and I just kept adding new ones while reducing exposure on others in order to reduce correlation risk. So without further ado let’s jump right in:

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January 27, 2016

Let’s Try This Again

I had the right ideas yesterday but for some reasons various entries didn’t trigger. So let’s try this one again, shall we? On the equities side I missed out by just a matter of ticks but there is a reason why I’m being such a hard ass with my entries.

We’ve seen a ton of intra-day volatility in the past few weeks and I don’t expect things to quiet down anytime soon. So a more disciplined entry afford me a stop with higher odds of survival. Keep in mind that the stop distance affects the amount of contracts I need to fulfill my R size. The wider my stops the smaller the amount of contracts. That not only affects my leverage but more [...]

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January 26, 2016

Soylent Orange

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. When in doubt always choose the scenario that screws with the maximum amount of market participants. Mrs. Market may be evil down to the core of her raven black heart but at least she’s consistent. So Soylent Orange it is apparently, now let’s see what we’ve got to work with here.

The drop in equities yesterday should have cleaned out the majority of the longs. Quite frankly Soylent Red is still on the table and I’d give it about 30% at this point. Although I doubt I’ll catch this entry I would be long near 1867, so perhaps I get my fill after the bell.

The EUR/USD is [...]

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11654TOKYO - AUGUST 17:  People sit behind ice blocks at Icebar Tokyo on August 17, 2009 in Tokyo, Japan. The entrance fee of 3500 Yen with one drink and customers can borrow a coat upon entry. Everything in the bar including the counter, the wall, table, glasses, chairs are made from blocks of ice cut from Sweden's Torne river.  (Photo by Junko Kimura/Getty Images)
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    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Also known … more
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