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December 30, 2019

Happy New Decade

I’m not even supposed to be posting this as I promised Mrs. Evil to take the rest of the month off. But a) we needed a comment cleaner and b) we’re on the brink of a new decade – so here I am but I better be quick. Not sure what’s on your new ‘decade’s resolutions list’ but mine is pretty succinct: good health, less work, more travel, and of course more coin. Too much to ask?

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December 23, 2019

Merry Frackin’ Christmas

I’m pretty ecstatic this morning! And although the prospect of a looming EOY holiday week may play some part, the main reason for my emotional exuberance is that I’m putting the finishing touches on a project that combined has taken me nearly 2 years to bring to fruition. It’s been a monster effort that launched in early 2018 has cost me literally 5000+ man-hours of hard work to get to this point.

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December 18, 2019

Drop To The IV Baseline

It’s EOY rally season and apparently everyone has been at their best behavior this year as Santa already has delivered in spades. At this point however what I care more about is what lies ahead for us, and given a technical vacuum at all time highs it may be worthwhile to take a look at implied volatility for clues.

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December 13, 2019

Fed Stomps Statistics

Over the past few days I’ve kept hearing about Zoltan Poszar’s ‘doomsday’ report warning about an impending crisis in the Fed’s overnight repo market. Let me dumb it down for you: According to Zoltan a massive liquidity squeeze is taking place as treasury cash balances have fallen, in turn suggesting that bank reserve balances will follow lower any day now. In a nutshell some (European – cough cough) banks may go poof by year’s end.

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NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Please Report To The Psych Ward!
    So Thor triggered on crude a few days ago and after weeks of sideways pain I wasn’t particularly thrilled. But nevertheless the entry was taken according …
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