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April 6, 2016

Volatility Musings

Frankly I have very little worth sharing today, and it’s not for a lack of trying. Having scanned through my entire charting universe over the past two hours I found very little worth consideration. Clearly equities are stumbling as we’re running a bit out of participation, which by the way has been pretty thin for the past few weeks, only emerging in sudden surges when necessary.

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March 31, 2016

The Market’s Purgatory

The mindset of the average retail trader is pretty predictable. For example, if markets are strongly trending to the upside then most participants wonder: ‘how much more upside?‘ Inversely if markets are falling hard for days on end then most of the discourse revolves around ‘how much more downside?‘ If however we’re stuck in a sideways range then all they can think about is: ‘how much more of this’?

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March 7, 2016

European Vacation

Quite frankly I don’t really enjoy taking vacations very much. I used to love to travel back when I was a young buck, but since 9/11 the security rituals involved have become such a pain in the rectum that it’s hardly worth the trouble. Plus after Russia and China opened up most places are now completely overrun and you’re effectively competing with hordes of elbow pushing camera stick donning budget tourists eager to update their Facepuke profiles with carefully choreographed snapshots of their mediocre existence.

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February 17, 2016

Diet Tape

I feel like I’m on a tape diet as of late. Amidst surging volatility finding technically promising setups has been difficult as many of the most crucial moves happen after-hours or are preceded by massive intra-day volatility almost guaranteed to touch your ISL. And if you manage to get a seat on the bus good luck holding through deep retracements and sudden double whips triggered by rumors, Fed/ECB/BOJ machinations, or the occasional talking head trotted out to bang the tape in three directions.

Basically it feels like 2008 all over again – well, not quite to be honest. The damage thus far has remained contained as equities are still trading near their respective [...]

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
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