We’re being treated to a veritable laundry list of market moving events today, which for me means to hunker down and wait for less volatile conditions. By the time you read this Mario Draghi will already be delivering his speech which is scheduled for 8:45am Eastern. At 10:00am we get the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision and just to round things off at 2:00pm it’s Yellen’s turn to deliver this month’s FOMC minutes.
General consensus thus far suggests that the Fed will be hiking rates a little in June. But as always attempting to predict Fed action is a roulette game and what’s being said is primarily aimed at gauging public [...]
Please forgive the blatant clickbait but I’ll have to stir up participation a little after my pre-summer mini excursion into Austria and Italy. Plus it’s not 2010 anymore when we were content to just bitch about the Fed and excessive quantitive easing. These days I have to compete with daily Trump bashings, terrorist attacks, social media scandals, and whoever’s turn it is today to be labeled a gay-commie-nazi-bigot-racist-marxist-global-warming-denier. Did I leave anything out?
Over the past few weeks several readers proclaimed that they were heading on a little vacation and I decided to follow suit. For one May is really the last month before Spain is being invaded by wave after wave of sun deprived Nordic barbarians, thus travel becomes all but impossible and of course more expensive throughout the Mediterranean. Besides if you want to enjoy Europe in relative tranquility but without the occasional surprise spring snow storm then May is a great time.
The 2nd round of the French presidential elections almost seemed procedural to me in that Macron was clearly the front runner plus it was clear that various voting blocks would coalesce in order to prevent Le Pen from gaining a majority. So suffice to say that Monsieur Macron’s overwhelming 65% win wasn’t exactly a big surprise to me. Which is exactly why I had been accumulating a big stack of € cash ahead of the final round. Although I anticipated a bit of weakness after the election I did not think we would find ourselves near the lower edge of the current island again.