E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
FX
Most Recent
 
Read More
August 15, 2017

Skeptical

Something doesn’t add up here. We got our VIX Buy Signal confirmation and that is short to medium term bullish for equities (again, the buy refers to the latter, not the former). However I’m smelling a potential rat as the Dollar finally looks like it may be ready to squeeze the heck out of the shorts. And usually that is not exactly bullish for equities, is it now? Let’s look at some key markets and then decide the best course of action:

Alright, so there’s the lower close on the VIX which, per the rules discussed yesterday, officially puts a confirmed VIX Buy Signal on the map. No, there won’t be a parade, sorry. First up it’s too [...]

3578
 
Read More
August 1, 2017

Summer Hole

A lot of people are on vacation and traders are of course no exception, evidenced by a general lack of participation across equities over the past few weeks. Here in Spain the month of August is pretty much synonymous with going on holidays. Almost everyone closes up shop (doctors included!) and takes off to spend the next few weeks with their family in some mysterious ‘pueblo’. It doesn’t matter if you’re from Madrid or Barcelona, the part of the city you grew up in is your ‘pueblo’ and that’s where you’ll pass your vacation. Unless you’re married of course, in that case you are condemned to spend the entire month with your [...]

5578
 
Read More
July 17, 2017

Draghi On The Tightrope

The ECB is scheduled to meet on Thursday, however it’s only an internal meeting and no new economic staff projections (ESPs) are expected. Bond investors in particular are looking for Draghi’s press conference for clues as to what interest rate policy to expect for the third and fourth quarters of this year. But given that the EUR/USD is now heading toward 1.15 I have an inkling that Mr. Draghi will choose his words very cautiously as he is now walking a precarious economic tightrope.

3225
 
Read More
June 28, 2017

When The Going Gets Tough

For the past quarter equities in particular have entered a market phase eerily reminiscent of the mind numbing churn we had to endure for most of 2016. Meaning a lack of direction, high intra-day volatility, and sudden directional spurts which are either news driven or the result of FOMC or ECB deliberations. Obviously the supposed phasing out of quantitive easing already has and will increasingly affect the effervescence of what we all most likely will remember as a one-in-a-generation bull run.

1360
Latest Posts
 
Read More
2238dead_cat_bounce2
 
Read More
2767lost_a_few_pounds
 
Read More
2705good_shape_crossfit

 
Read More
6897sachertorte
 
Read More
2447yellen-federal-reserve
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Herding BiasHerding Bias
    Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a … more
Popular
 
Scientific-randomness
Fooled By Randomness
 
dinos
Ten Protocols For Surviving Extreme Volatility
 
the-usual-suspects-lead
Quantutorial – Standard Deviation
 
landfill
Quantutorial – Garbage In Garbage Out
 
brewing_storm
How To Trade Realized Volatility
 
curly_stooges
Curly’s Massive Momo Update
Compare
Go