E-Mini Swing Trading
Discretionary Trading
System Trading
Options
Most Recent
 
Read More
October 19, 2020

Presidential Election Pre-Analysis

For all intents and purposes 2020 has already been the most contentious and violent U.S. election season in living memory. With a nation in a state of a cold civil war one would assume that the financial markets would take note. And under the hood they did indeed respond by keeping implied volatility elevated throughout the year. However, with the exception of a much overdue correction earlier this month we currently seem to be in a pre-election holding pattern. What should we make of that and where are we heading next?

458
 
Read More
October 16, 2020

Wild Gamma Friday

The past four sessions turned into a wild ride but as of the Friday open the SPX has been getting nowhere fast and finds itself almost exactly where it started the week. This puts us in a very interesting situation for one main reason: With a monthly and a weekly contract expiring this morning, a 70 handle EM range, and quite a bit of gamma risk there is potential for a significant move today.

372
 
Read More
October 14, 2020

Earnings Week 43/2020

Financials kicked off the final earnings season of 2020 and as a card carrying manic market megalomaniac it is incumbent on me to start parsing for potential IV squeeze victims. Much to the chagrin of some of you directional cowboys that is my favorite play but I would be remiss to not point out that implied volatility is not the only way to play earnings. But let’s take things from the top by looking at the overall market:

314
 
Read More
July 17, 2020

Reloading On Big Tech

While the SPX has been retesting overhead resistance big tech (e.g. MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, FB) continues to linger near recent support levels. That’s a bit surprising given that the NDX immediately surged higher on Tuesday. Whether or not we are looking at sector rotation again, this retest offers us a short term entry opportunity with very defined risk. Just the way we like it.

481
Latest Posts
 
Read More
344
 
Read More
458
 
Read More
372

 
Read More
314
 
Read More
369
NEW! Market Statistics
Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • At The Edge Of The AbyssAt The Edge Of The Abyss
    Over the past few sessions a situation has arisen which effectively puts us at the edge of the abyss on two separate but related fronts: U.S. …
Popular
 
Status Quo Bias
 
At The Edge Of Expectation
 
Binding Implied Volatility
 
Scoring Implied Volatility
 
Brave New World
 
Big Tech Crunch
Compare
Go