Day Of Truth

I’m running a bit late this morning as I have been shifting my circadian rhythm over the past week and am already operating/living on Eastern time. Fortuitously the change to daylight saving time yesterday works hugely in my favor as it shaves off yet another hour in preparation to my journey to Los Angeles.

It seems that we are at important turning or inflection points across various markets so I expect this to be a turbulent week. Some of you senior rats recall that every time the Mole travels we seem to experience big moves – so let’s see if my streak continues 😉

The E-Mini managed to bounce toward its 25-hour SMA where it seems to meet resistance. We don’t have much context on this one right now but the NLSL at 2066.25 should be considered the gate to a significant drop lower. I am keeping my short positions as is and have moved my stop to break/even.

NQ futures look quite a bit more bearish this morning as we’re back near last week’s lows. Keep an eye on this one as it may be our canary in the coal mine in all things equities. However the reason why I titled this post ‘Day Of Truth’ is that the follow up days are the true measure of assessing potential trend changes. This thing has to continue lower today or, as we have seen so often, support will start establishing itself courtesy of a lackluster or sideways session. The onus is now on the bears to lead this lower. Watch the Zero for signs and/or lack of participation in either direction.

Cable – I want to be long above 1.512 – stop below 1.507.

Gold – I’m short here with a stop above 1175. The odds for a bit of whipsaw here are pretty significant which is why I’m only attributing 1/4R.

More below the fold – please join me in the lair:

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Alright – that should keep you guys busy for a while. See you guys later this afternoon.

Cheers,