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The Big Unraveling
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The Big Unraveling

The Big Unraveling

by The MoleAugust 10, 2010

It seems that the big unraveling in equities has switched into second gear.

If you are still positioned to the long side I have two charts you should see:

Exhibit A: The AUD/JPY against the spoos. The AUD/JPY has been leading equities in the past few months, however lately a new trend has emerged in which equities (and thus the ES futures) completely started fading any downside in the AUD/JPY. Today this apparent unraveling has kicked into second gear as the two are now moving completely against each other.

Exhibit B: 10-year treasury bonds against the spoos – the former here shown as its inverse moving yield (TNX). In general (and some will argue this point) equities and the TNX move in tandem. This more long term chart shows a distinct detachment by equities (and index futures) traders as of late. However, today’s respective moves tops the all time charts – and someone has to explain to me how/if that makes sense.

The big unraveling that I expect to ensue in the near future won’t be kind to anyone with long exposure in equities. I strongly recommend that look for exit signs near you. You have been briefed.

Cheers,

Mole

About The Author
The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious schemes at the usual social media waterholes.
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