Limbo tape – it’s what I call the annoying volatile sideways churn devoid of technical context we’ve been experiencing across the board since the beginning of June which has pushed retail into an early summer identity crisis. You may recall that it’s not the first time I’m talking about limbo tape and it probably won’t be the last. Now this may be a good time to once more remind everyone that we as retail traders have one principal advantage over fund managers or institutional participants such as trade desks or system operators.
A final reminder that equity futures have now rolled into September, which is the official front month contract for the next three months. Time flies indeed! Before I know it I’ll be shopping for Christmas presents again and bitching about the cold weather. In the interim we’ll have to earn our keep, so let’s see if the brand spanking new ESU7 contract offers us a decent entry opportunities:
Another difficult lesson to be learned as an aspiring trader or investor is that trending markets are either the easiest or the hardest to trade. Clearly it’s great if you got in early and your positions are flashing bright green. Otherwise it very much depends on your trading style and of course whether or not you managed to get a seat on the bus. You may prefer to wait for a confirmation retest before hopping on an unfolding trend, you may not get filled (it happens!), or perhaps you simply got kicked off just before it took off.
I’m sure it hasn’t escaped your attention that the Dollar has been getting it on the chin lately. Just a few weeks ago I proposed that the Euro was about to break out of its recent floor pattern and accelerate higher. Unfortunately that perspective turned out to be correct and I have been watching my EUR/USD exchange rate degrade relentlessly over the past few weeks.