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August 22, 2017

Dead Cat Dollar Bounce

I wish it wasn’t so but every single campaign I am currently holding or considering as an entry is tied to the greenback, at least to some extent. This unfortunately is the state of affairs in the age of perpetual quantitive easing, which over the past decade has become the primary purveyor of perceived growth and the number one determinant of market direction. Cut off the easy money injections and down goes the market, simple. Everyone knows it and the longer this drags out the more violent the patient is expected to respond when finally forced to face cold turkey.

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August 18, 2017

We Are In Good Shape

I can’t believe it’s Friday already, this year seems to be passing by me like a flash and there never seem to be enough hours in the day. Burning the candle on both ends doesn’t really help matters either as it only leads to less productivity afterward. Perhaps if all that science fiction one day turns into science fact and we get to live another 50 or 100 years then I may just be able to complete all those projects and various studies I constantly seem to be immersed in. But at least years of hard work continues to pay off today. Let’s review where we are:

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August 17, 2017

Have Your Cake And Eat It Too

The old saying goes that can’t have your cake and eat it too. However that is exactly what the Federal Reserve is apparently attempting to accomplish at the moment, as chairwoman Yellen continues to assure that a rate hike is just around the corner, and this time it’ll absolutely be for real. Of course invariable by that date absolute economic perfection has yet to be achieved which naturally is why any meaningful hike in the federal funds rate continues to be looming just around the corner, in perpetuity.

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August 16, 2017


It’s going to be a quiet day here at the lair until chairwoman Janet Yellen delivers the Fed minutes at 2:00pm Eastern. The Euro continued its downward trajectory after a purported ‘trial balloon’ report that Draghi’s speech at Jackson Hole would not announce the start of the ECB’s taper. Now if that sounds somewhat confusing to you then console yourself knowing that you are not alone, as spending any time on trying to decrypt the confusing and contradicting reports coming out of central banks these days is an utter and complete waste of time.

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Cognitive Bias Carousel
  • Sunk Cost EffectSunk Cost Effect
    The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Also known … more
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