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April 12, 2021

Nothing Goes Up Forever

With equities not just reaching but far exceeding stratospheric levels the question of how much longer this can be sustained obviously comes to mind. In fact it’s the prevailing sentiment in light of a face ripping rally that is unparalleled in financial history. I have repeatedly pointed out the obvious disconnect between the stock market and what has transpired across Main Street. Not just all over the United States but also in the rest of the Western hemisphere, which continues to be on the receiving end of various well intended policy decisions.

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March 1, 2021

The Prospect Of Green Shoots

It’s been almost 30 years since I’ve lived in Northern Europe and among several personal reasons a major incentive to leave for warmer climates was that I don’t care much for six months of non-stop crappy weather. The are two things I absolutely miss every single year however. One is a white Christmas (yes, I’m hypocrite) and the other is a real spring, especially early spring when the snow begins to melt and the first snowdrops push their tiny heads through the remaining vestiges of snow. And based on the numbers it also happens to be a good time for equities. So let’s review the freshly updated monthly stats for March.

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February 1, 2021

The Worst Month Of The Worst Decade

Clickbaity enough for you? I think we all can agree that February is bad enough even during regular non-epidemic years. Let’s start with the spelling which makes no sense whatsoever and is impossible to pronounce as a foreigner no matter how long you practice. Ask your Chinese friend. The weather sucks and there are no holidays or vacations to soften the blow. Valentine’s Day is depressing no matter what your relationship status may be. Too much negativity? Wait there’s more, I’m just getting warmed up.

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January 11, 2021

Look Behind The Curtain

Given all the political drama drowning out any common sense at the current time I wouldn’t blame you for having missed the news. Turns out 140,000 jobs were lost in December alone and I fear things may only get worse from here. Unfortunately if 2020 reconfirmed anything then would be to never underestimate the market’s ability to fade structural economic problems of tectonic proportions. However as the old saying goes: you can run but you can’t hide (forever) as we are now starting to see the first emerging cracks.

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